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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-72
18-21 19-14 19-20 25-17
Position#9
Record6-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game78.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2022
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Real Madrid
12 Feb 2027
ZAL v MAD
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ZAL87
MAD85
10 Jan 2025
ZAL64
MAD83
11 Apr 2024
ZAL62
MAD64
15 Dec 2022
ZAL81
MAD72
24 Feb 2022
ZAL68
MAD47
06 Nov 2020
ZAL90
MAD93
02 Nov 2018
ZAL79
MAD90
26 Oct 2017
ZAL66
MAD87
20 Jan 2017
ZAL59
MAD74
11 Mar 2016
ZAL75
MAD90
12 Feb 2015
ZAL71
MAD88
21 Nov 2014
ZAL66
MAD68
11 Apr 2014
ZAL87
MAD80
18 Oct 2013
ZAL63
MAD83
07 Mar 2013
ZAL104
MAD105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
68avg 76
H18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
95avg 76
A20/11
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 76
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
75avg 76
A25/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 76
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 76
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 76
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 76
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 76
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 76
A13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
18-13
15-15
22-23
24-14
23-13
25-21
20-11
20-21
24-21
14-22
15-29
24-31
13-13
22-17
21-15
21-15
23-24
24-29
22-17
13-27
15-17
25-16
14-21
23-18
20-18
13-22
24-17
19-25
14-8
15-30
12-23
19-14
21-18
21-13
23-16
22-14
15-22
21-20
15-21
152.5Avg total
77.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.879.2155.0-3.546%
Season at home (6)71.274.5145.7-3.367%
Season away (7)79.783.3163.0-3.629%
Last 10 (10)77.075.5152.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)72.876.0148.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.085.2162.2-8.220%
vs Similar (8)72.876.8149.5-4.050%
vs Weaker (17)88.772.9161.6+15.894%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 78
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
93-57
93
57
+36
89avg 78
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 78
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
105-97
105
97
+8
104avg 78
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
73-55
73
55
+18
69avg 78
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
92avg 78
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
no box
H04/12
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 78
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 78
A13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
27-17
17-15
20-20
27-9
25-13
19-21
22-14
31-19
10-12
18-15
21-27
32-40
22-11
32-23
19-23
23-16
16-10
14-11
20-18
25-16
21-18
22-20
17-17
19-7
13-20
26-16
21-19
23-17
25-28
14-20
26-23
23-16
23-19
34-26
23-28
21-22
21-17
12-11
14-14
160.5Avg total
87.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.178.2162.3+5.869%
Season at home (7)90.484.1174.6+6.357%
Season away (6)76.771.3148.0+5.383%
Last 10 (10)87.073.5160.5+13.590%
Last 5 (5)85.876.2162.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)83.778.4162.1+5.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.175.3161.3+10.883%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
Zalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H18/11
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A20/11
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/12
Euroleague
74.4Avg total
38.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.479.4+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.135.677.7+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)42.138.980.9+3.275%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.774.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.272.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
vs Similar (8)33.038.271.2-5.225%-
vs Weaker (17)46.535.582.1+11.0100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/12
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/12
Euroleague
80.0Avg total
45.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.378.5+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.336.480.7+7.988%-
Last 30 away (14)39.836.276.0+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)45.334.780.0+10.6100%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.078.8+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.237.178.3+4.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.835.978.7+6.978%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.2
53.5%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
36.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.115.4
85.1%
78.5%15.4
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.5
56.7%
53.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.716.4
83.2%
78.5%16.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWLWWLWW
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#2
+2.4
Net rating
+20.2
109.6
Offensive rating
117.6
107.1
Defensive rating
97.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
56.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.8%
3-point %
36.9%
62.9%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 117.6Defence107.1 · 97.5Shooting51.7% · 56.2%3-point %32.8% · 36.9%Ball care19.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.3% · 33.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22ACrvena zvezda73-77
11/12/22HPieno Zvaigzdes84-61
09/12/22HAnadolu Efes60-86
05/12/22AJonava80-75
02/12/22HPanathinaikos67-81
28/11/22HBC Wolves90-85
25/11/22AValencia80-76
23/11/22ABaskonia73-93
20/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes92-59
18/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22ABayern68-64
11/12/22HManresa103-89
08/12/22HMonaco94-95 OT
04/12/22HValencia79-62
02/12/22AFenerbahce85-71
27/11/22AReal Betis73-55
24/11/22HPartizan105-97
22/11/22AValencia80-73
20/11/22HMurcia93-57
17/11/22HAlba Berlin90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game75.871.279.7
Allowed / game79.274.583.3
Point differential-3.5-3.3-3.6
Avg total155.0145.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%57%83%
Points / game84.190.476.7
Allowed / game78.284.171.3
Point differential+5.8+6.3+5.3
Avg total162.3174.6148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1310377%85.577.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos139469%87.377.5+9.8
3 Real Madrid139469%84.178.2+5.8
4 Barcelona139469%79.575.8+3.7
5 Monaco139469%82.780.4+2.3
6 Baskonia138562%86.080.9+5.1
7 Anadolu Efes137654%83.278.0+5.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv137654%82.282.3-0.2
9 Crvena zvezda137654%74.177.1-3.0
10 Panathinaikos136746%81.282.3-1.2
11 Valencia136746%80.483.6-3.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%75.879.2-3.5
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%73.778.3-4.6
14 Virtus Bologna135838%75.580.5-5.0
15 Partizan134931%84.587.4-2.9
16 Bayern134931%73.277.8-4.6
17 Alba Berlin1331023%80.684.3-3.7
18 Olimpia Milano1331023%68.776.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1819192581
Real Madrid2114201772
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