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Bayern vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 64-68
22-21 17-21 11-12 14-14
Position#16
Record4-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game78.6
Bayern
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Position#2
Record8-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Real Madrid
24 Mar 2027
BAY v MAD
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
BAY90
MAD84
03 Oct 2024
BAY97
MAD89
09 Jan 2024
BAY71
MAD92
13 Dec 2022
BAY64
MAD68
05 Nov 2021
BAY76
MAD80
15 Jan 2021
BAY76
MAD81
21 Dec 2018
BAY72
MAD82
11 Dec 2015
BAY67
MAD86
13 Mar 2014
BAY85
MAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
67avg 72
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
82-69
82
69
+13
80avg 72
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 72
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 72
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
87avg 72
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 72
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 72
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
53-78
53
78
-25
43avg 72
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 72
A11/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
23-13
20-27
17-15
20-17
27-9
15-21
20-22
25-15
17-18
11-20
22-21
14-17
19-17
17-19
29-27
23-16
26-18
14-21
20-18
26-24
24-20
23-23
25-22
13-14
34-16
13-14
20-19
26-20
18-11
18-19
19-27
10-17
20-27
12-11
11-23
16-23
18-18
14-21
20-16
153.3Avg total
77.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.978.6152.5-4.733%
Season at home (6)77.781.7159.3-4.033%
Season away (6)70.275.5145.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)77.076.3153.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)76.077.0153.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.979.7153.6-5.825%
vs Similar (9)78.376.9155.2+1.456%
vs Weaker (8)82.972.4155.2+10.588%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 78
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 78
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
93-57
93
57
+36
89avg 78
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 78
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
105-97
105
97
+8
104avg 78
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
73-55
73
55
+18
69avg 78
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
92avg 78
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
no box
H04/12
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 78
H11/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
28-24
15-20
25-22
26-20
27-17
17-15
20-20
27-9
25-13
19-21
22-14
31-19
10-12
18-15
21-27
32-40
22-11
32-23
19-23
23-16
16-10
14-11
20-18
25-16
21-18
22-20
17-17
19-7
13-20
26-16
21-19
23-17
25-28
14-20
26-23
23-16
23-19
34-26
23-28
165.2Avg total
89.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.479.4164.8+6.067%
Season at home (7)90.484.1174.6+6.357%
Season away (5)78.472.8151.2+5.680%
Last 10 (10)89.675.6165.2+14.090%
Last 5 (5)86.874.4161.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)83.778.4162.1+5.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.076.0163.0+11.083%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
BayernReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/12
BBL
76.7Avg total
41.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.978.3+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.739.680.3+1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)40.135.976.0+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.035.776.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.040.277.2-3.225%-
vs Similar (9)41.938.880.7+3.144%-
vs Weaker (8)43.434.177.5+9.275%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/12
ACB
Monaco
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Euroleague
Manresa
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/12
ACB
81.6Avg total
46.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.278.4+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.336.480.7+7.988%-
Last 30 away (14)39.736.075.7+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)46.535.181.6+11.4100%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.475.6+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.237.178.3+4.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.835.778.5+7.178%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.515.8
47.2%
53.5%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.115.3
84.5%
78.5%15.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.6
57.0%
53.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.717.7
85.5%
78.5%17.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLWWWWLWWL
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#2
-1.7
Net rating
+18.6
109.2
Offensive rating
118.2
111.0
Defensive rating
99.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
56.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.5%
3-point %
36.4%
54.7%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 118.2Defence111.0 · 99.6Shooting50.5% · 56.0%3-point %36.5% · 36.4%Ball care18.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds33.7% · 33.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Bayern   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bayern wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
08/04/22Real Madrid v Bayern88-97
05/11/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-80
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
15/01/14Real Madrid v Bayern111-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22ABonn68-78
09/12/22ABaskonia53-78
06/12/22HOldenburg81-77
04/12/22HBayreuth80-63
02/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-89
27/11/22HWurzburg83-73
25/11/22AMonaco79-80
23/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne75-74
19/11/22ASyntainics MBC82-69
17/11/22HOlympiacos71-82
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22HManresa103-89
08/12/22HMonaco94-95 OT
04/12/22HValencia79-62
02/12/22AFenerbahce85-71
27/11/22AReal Betis73-55
24/11/22HPartizan105-97
22/11/22AValencia80-73
20/11/22HMurcia93-57
17/11/22HAlba Berlin90-72
10/11/22HAnadolu Efes94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game73.977.770.2
Allowed / game78.681.775.5
Point differential-4.7-4.0-5.3
Avg total152.5159.3145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%57%80%
Points / game85.490.478.4
Allowed / game79.484.172.8
Point differential+6.0+6.3+5.6
Avg total164.8174.6151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1310377%85.577.5+7.9
2 Monaco129375%84.381.3+3.0
3 Olympiacos139469%87.377.5+9.8
4 Real Madrid128467%85.479.4+6.0
5 Barcelona128467%80.476.9+3.5
6 Anadolu Efes127558%83.777.6+6.1
7 Baskonia127558%86.281.2+5.1
8 Crvena zvezda137654%74.177.1-3.0
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv126650%82.683.2-0.7
10 Panathinaikos126650%80.381.3-1.0
11 Zalgiris Kaunas136746%75.879.2-3.5
12 Valencia125742%79.283.0-3.8
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%73.778.3-4.6
14 Bayern124833%73.978.6-4.7
15 Virtus Bologna124833%74.780.8-6.2
16 Partizan134931%84.587.4-2.9
17 Alba Berlin123925%81.084.2-3.2
18 Olimpia Milano123925%68.576.7-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2217111464
Real Madrid2121121468
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