Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	87.2	75.2	162.5	+12.0	85%
Season at home (6)	92.5	72.5	165.0	+20.0	100%
Season away (7)	82.7	77.6	160.3	+5.1	71%
Last 10 (10)	84.4	77.4	161.8	+7.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	78.6	161.6	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.3	81.7	167.0	+3.7	56%
vs Weaker (21)	85.6	75.7	161.3	+10.0	81%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Barcelona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBarcelona

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

#17

88-86

81avg 77

A01/12

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#11

74-76

-2

64avg 77

A03/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#18

74-75

-1

71avg 77

H09/12

Euroleague

Breogan

#10

78-74

77avg 77

A11/12

ACB

Monaco

69-63

no box

A14/12

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#15

74-68

73avg 77

H16/12

Euroleague

Unicaja

75-60

+15

69avg 77

H18/12

ACB

Valencia

#13

83-84

-1

82avg 77

A23/12

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

#13

68-63

61avg 77

H28/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#11

99-94 OT

no box

A30/12

Euroleague

30-19

15-27

26-11

17-29

28-22

15-18

15-19

16-17

15-21

31-19

16-17

12-18

23-25

20-15

18-21

17-13

16-13

18-16

26-16

9-18

28-12

15-18

19-21

12-17

18-13

19-17

16-20

22-10

20-20

18-21

21-21

24-22

14-17

24-19

20-10

10-17

28-17

15-23

14-25

27-19

152.5Avg total

78.2Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	81.8	72.8	154.7	+9.0	77%
Season at home (6)	78.5	68.8	147.3	+9.7	100%
Season away (7)	84.7	76.3	161.0	+8.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	74.3	152.5	+3.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	73.8	153.6	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	83.0	89.0	172.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	79.4	74.7	154.1	+4.6	82%
vs Weaker (18)	82.3	75.4	157.7	+6.9	67%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBarcelona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	17.5	41.7	+6.8	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	17.3	39.5	+4.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.6	78%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.8	17.0	39.7	+5.8	81%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.6	37.6	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+4.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	15.8	37.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.6	18.2	41.7	+5.4	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.9	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.9	38.4	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	12.0	34.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	56%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fenerbahce

46-34

+12

A02/12

Euroleague

Valencia

32-27

H04/12

ACB

Monaco

48-45

H08/12

Euroleague

Manresa

#14

46-35

+11

H11/12

ACB

Bayern

#16

42-39

A13/12

Euroleague

Zalgiris Kaunas

35-37

-2

A15/12

Euroleague

Tenerife

38-31

A18/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#18

45-34

+11

H22/12

Euroleague

Bilbao

#12

42-42

A27/12

ACB

Baskonia

43-59

-16

A29/12

Euroleague

80.0Avg total

41.7Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	37.4	79.6	+4.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	36.3	81.2	+8.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	38.3	80.0	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.6	81.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.4	40.3	81.8	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.5	36.1	78.7	+6.4	71%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

#17

45-46

-1

A01/12

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#11

43-40

A03/12

ACB

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#18

46-40

H09/12

Euroleague

Breogan

#10

43-40

A11/12

ACB

Monaco

34-29

A14/12

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

#15

43-30

+13

H16/12

Euroleague

Unicaja

37-30

H18/12

ACB

Valencia

#13

38-41

-3

A23/12

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

#13

38-36

H28/12

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#11

43-40

A30/12

Euroleague

78.2Avg total

41.0Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	36.8	78.1	+4.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	35.8	77.1	+5.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	37.8	78.9	+3.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.2	78.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	35.4	75.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	29.0	66.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.8	36.6	74.5	+1.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.6	37.4	80.9	+6.2	78%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	16.4	35.7	+2.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	26.0	38.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.8	42.8	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	52%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.3	18.3	34.6	-2.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.9	40.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (18)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.3	39%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.4	82.0	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	41.1	85.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	37.7	78.1	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.4	80.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	38.0	80.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.9	41.3	85.2	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.8	76.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	35.4	72.3	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	39.9	81.0	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	36.1	71.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	36.4	73.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	42.0	76.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.5	38.1	79.6	+3.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (18)	37.9	37.4	75.3	+0.4	61%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	19.5	52.6%	52.1%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	9.0	35.6%	34.5%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.9	75.6%	73.9%	14.9

They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 77.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	18.0	52.9%	52.1%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	9.1	36.3%	34.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	18.0	14.2	78.9%	73.9%	14.2

They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	18.3	45.6%	52.1%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.9	33.6%	34.5%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	12.2	9.6	78.7%	73.9%	9.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	20.6	51.0%	52.1%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.6	6.0	27.8%	34.5%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.9	78.2%	73.9%	12.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.6	53.6%	52.1%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	9.0	36.3%	34.5%	26.9
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.8	80.0%	73.9%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	18.7	53.3%	52.1%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	9.4	37.8%	34.5%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.5	77.0%	73.9%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	18.5	48.3%	52.1%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.6	34.1%	34.5%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	15.9	12.6	79.0%	73.9%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	19.2	50.0%	52.1%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	6.9	29.7%	34.5%	20.6
🏀 Free throws	18.2	15.0	82.2%	73.9%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

LWWWLWWLWW

Barcelona

WWLWWWWLLW

League position

+11.0

Net rating

+7.7

111.1

Offensive rating

110.2

100.1

Defensive rating

102.5

52.9%

Effective FG%

53.6%

47.5%

Opp. effective FG%

47.7%

17.9%

Turnover %

18.1%

32.4%

Off. rebound %

30.1%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.30

35.6%

3-point %

36.3%

62.1%

Assist %

66.8%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Barcelona

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Barcelona wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-73
25/09/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	89-83 OT
19/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-74
17/06/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	81-66
15/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	71-69
13/06/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	75-88
19/05/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	83-86
10/04/22	Barcelona v Real Madrid	108-97 OT
20/02/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	59-64
11/02/22	Real Madrid v Barcelona	68-86

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/22	A	Baskonia	86-92
27/12/22	A	Bilbao	85-80
22/12/22	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	92-73
18/12/22	A	Tenerife	80-67
15/12/22	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	72-81
13/12/22	A	Bayern	68-64
11/12/22	H	Manresa	103-89
08/12/22	H	Monaco	94-95 OT
04/12/22	H	Valencia	79-62
02/12/22	A	Fenerbahce	85-71

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/22	A	Crvena zvezda	99-94 OT
28/12/22	H	Basket Zaragoza	68-63
23/12/22	A	Valencia	83-84
18/12/22	H	Unicaja	75-60
16/12/22	H	Panathinaikos	74-68
14/12/22	A	Monaco	69-63
11/12/22	A	Breogan	78-74
09/12/22	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	74-75
03/12/22	A	Obradoiro CAB	74-76
01/12/22	A	Alba Berlin	88-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	85%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	85%	100%	71%
Points / game	87.2	92.5	82.7
Allowed / game	75.2	72.5	77.6
Point differential	+12.0	+20.0	+5.1
Avg total	162.5	165.0	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	100%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Barcelona

ACB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	77%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	77%	100%	57%
Points / game	81.8	78.5	84.7
Allowed / game	72.8	68.8	76.3
Point differential	+9.0	+9.7	+8.4
Avg total	154.7	147.3	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	50%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	13	11	2	85%	87.2	75.2	+12.0
2	Tenerife	13	10	3	77%	82.4	70.2	+12.2
3	Baskonia	13	10	3	77%	91.5	82.2	+9.4
4	Barcelona	13	10	3	77%	81.8	72.8	+9.0
5	Unicaja	13	9	4	69%	84.7	73.8	+10.8
6	Joventut Badalona	13	9	4	69%	84.2	79.5	+4.8
7	Gran Canaria	13	8	5	62%	81.2	78.2	+3.0
8	Bilbao	13	7	6	54%	78.5	77.8	+0.6
9	Valencia	13	6	7	46%	84.9	84.2	+0.7
10	Breogan	13	6	7	46%	76.9	77.2	-0.3
11	Obradoiro CAB	13	6	7	46%	79.8	83.4	-3.5
12	Murcia	13	6	7	46%	79.4	83.7	-4.3
13	Granada	13	5	8	38%	78.8	87.5	-8.8
14	Basket Zaragoza	13	3	10	23%	75.5	80.8	-5.2
15	Basquet Girona	13	3	10	23%	73.4	81.9	-8.5
16	Manresa	13	3	10	23%	81.8	92.4	-10.5
17	Fuenlabrada	13	3	10	23%	79.2	90.8	-11.7
18	Real Betis	13	2	11	15%	75.5	85.1	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	26	18	13	21	78
Barcelona	28	14	20	25	87

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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