PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 91-95
24-18 21-23 19-27 27-27
Position#2
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.0
Real Madrid
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Virtus Bologna
11 Mar 2027
MAD v VIR
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MAD92
VIR84
12 Nov 2024
MAD98
VIR86
09 Nov 2023
MAD100
VIR74
27 Oct 2022
MAD91
VIR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
H25/09
Supercopa ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
91avg 76
A28/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 76
H02/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
69avg 76
A06/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 76
A09/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 76
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 76
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
72-56
72
56
+16
78avg 76
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 76
A23/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
12-22
26-12
16-22
17-20
28-16
24-21
25-31
27-12
15-13
26-30
25-24
23-22
15-15
16-14
17-17
18-14
19-17
19-16
20-24
15-24
15-16
22-23
21-12
23-25
22-25
24-15
27-14
21-20
17-17
24-26
25-26
25-10
14-20
15-14
18-12
19-14
14-23
25-18
24-33
160.9Avg total
83.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.872.0147.8+3.850%
Season at home (2)79.572.5152.0+7.050%
Season away (2)72.071.5143.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)83.377.6160.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)82.077.4159.4+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.376.3163.6+11.1100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
72-64 OT
72
64
+8
no box
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#2
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
89-77
89
77
+12
77avg 82
A02/10
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
H07/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 82
H09/10
Lega A
Bayern
#16
W
66-63
66
63
+3
63avg 82
H13/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
85-60
85
60
+25
86avg 82
A15/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
59avg 82
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
62-90
62
90
-28
52avg 82
A20/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
97-71
97
71
+26
102avg 82
H23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-12
14-14
14-12
23-21
23-19
20-30
14-10
15-10
13-33
30-24
17-11
29-9
18-18
16-22
11-23
21-20
26-17
21-22
16-22
22-19
24-16
10-16
22-19
10-12
21-12
20-23
28-5
16-20
24-16
14-15
15-21
12-16
11-27
21-24
15-18
15-21
24-11
20-22
29-21
24-17
148.4Avg total
75.9Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.876.0140.8-11.225%
Season at home (2)66.073.0139.0-7.050%
Season away (2)63.579.0142.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)75.972.5148.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)75.070.4145.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)64.086.5150.5-22.50%
vs Similar (11)72.572.0144.5+0.555%
vs Weaker (16)84.472.6157.0+11.894%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
Real MadridVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/09
Supercopa ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A28/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H02/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H21/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/10
ACB
73.6Avg total
37.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.677.4+4.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.035.977.9+6.187%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.376.9+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.073.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.875.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)36.735.472.1+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.937.380.3+5.684%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A02/10
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Bayern
#16
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A20/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/10
Lega A
77.1Avg total
37.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.877.4+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.635.575.1+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.540.580.0-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.377.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.045.578.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (11)38.735.774.5+3.064%-
vs Weaker (16)42.039.181.1+2.956%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.3
51.9%
53.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.015.4
81.1%
78.5%15.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
53.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.47.0
36.1%
36.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
78.5%15.7
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWLWLWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WLLWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#14
+7.9
Net rating
+1.4
111.2
Offensive rating
105.2
103.3
Defensive rating
103.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.6%
3-point %
36.1%
61.8%
Assist %
63.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 105.2Defence103.3 · 103.8Shooting53.0% · 52.8%3-point %36.6% · 36.1%Ball care17.9% · 19.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 26.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Madrid wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22ABaskonia82-88
21/10/22HCrvena zvezda72-56
19/10/22HOlympiacos87-89
16/10/22HJoventut Badalona96-79
13/10/22ABarcelona73-75
09/10/22AUnicaja76-71
06/10/22APanathinaikos71-68
02/10/22HObradoiro CAB93-79
28/09/22ABasquet Girona94-88
25/09/22HBarcelona89-83 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22HTreviso97-71
20/10/22APartizan62-90
18/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas65-68
15/10/22AVerona85-60
13/10/22HBayern66-63
09/10/22HTrieste85-80
07/10/22HMonaco66-83
02/10/22ABasket Napoli89-77
29/09/22ASassari72-69
28/09/22AOlimpia Milano72-64 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.879.572.0
Allowed / game72.072.571.5
Point differential+3.8+7.0+0.5
Avg total147.8152.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game64.866.063.5
Allowed / game76.073.079.0
Point differential-11.2-7.0-15.5
Avg total140.8139.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce440100%80.868.2+12.5
2 Maccabi Tel Aviv54180%81.276.4+4.8
3 Olympiacos54180%86.482.0+4.4
4 Monaco54180%82.478.4+4.0
5 Baskonia43175%92.084.8+7.2
6 Olimpia Milano43175%76.574.5+2.0
7 Alba Berlin53260%84.277.6+6.6
8 Real Madrid42250%75.872.0+3.8
9 Anadolu Efes42250%83.280.0+3.2
10 Barcelona42250%75.274.8+0.5
11 Partizan52340%86.484.2+2.2
12 Valencia52340%80.680.2+0.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas52340%76.079.6-3.6
14 Virtus Bologna41325%64.876.0-11.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%67.879.2-11.5
16 Panathinaikos51420%72.881.6-8.8
17 Bayern4040%69.876.8-7.0
18 Crvena zvezda4040%66.278.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2421192791
Virtus Bologna1823272795
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.