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Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 98-86
28-25 25-24 27-18 18-19
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· WiZink Center
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Virtus Bologna
11 Mar 2027
MAD v VIR
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MAD92
VIR84
12 Nov 2024
MAD98
VIR86
09 Nov 2023
MAD100
VIR74
27 Oct 2022
MAD91
VIR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 84
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 84
H17/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 84
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
104avg 84
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 84
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
67avg 84
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 84
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
85-64
85
64
+21
82avg 84
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 84
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 84
H10/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-20
17-12
20-28
28-19
15-19
27-20
20-28
23-18
22-16
31-15
19-18
22-10
24-19
25-25
24-18
22-13
25-8
16-19
23-21
21-17
13-19
25-20
10-23
23-21
20-15
21-19
14-24
22-11
18-20
26-17
19-16
16-24
24-23
15-15
21-23
17-16
22-20
20-18
24-23
157.5Avg total
82.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.882.5165.2+0.238%
Season at home (3)92.781.3174.0+11.3100%
Season away (5)76.883.2160.0-6.40%
Last 10 (10)82.974.6157.5+8.360%
Last 5 (5)78.276.8155.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (9)83.483.6167.0-0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.879.6169.4+10.279%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-71
68
71
-3
57avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
85-101
85
101
-16
79avg 79
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 79
A26/10
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 79
H29/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
90-99
90
99
-9
87avg 79
A31/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
104-97
104
97
+7
105avg 79
H03/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
88avg 79
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 79
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
95-104
95
104
-9
99avg 79
A10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
15-28
22-16
16-11
24-20
23-26
17-25
21-30
15-20
17-17
25-24
13-8
15-20
17-17
23-17
19-15
25-19
8-21
27-28
24-19
14-21
21-23
32-22
23-33
27-27
21-27
36-21
20-22
12-18
32-22
25-18
16-23
25-17
20-22
15-16
24-22
22-24
22-27
30-25
21-28
169.4Avg total
83.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.183.4162.5-4.225%
Season at home (4)75.877.8153.5-2.025%
Season away (4)82.589.0171.5-6.525%
Last 10 (10)83.985.5169.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)91.691.6183.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.082.0156.0-8.033%
vs Similar (11)81.383.9165.2-2.627%
vs Weaker (15)86.180.4166.5+5.773%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
Real MadridVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A15/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H17/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H24/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H27/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A31/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A03/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A07/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/11
ACB
75.6Avg total
41.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.383.5+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.238.684.7+7.689%-
Last 30 away (12)41.240.581.7+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.475.6+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.276.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (9)45.441.286.7+4.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.737.881.5+5.989%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H29/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A31/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H03/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/11
Lega A
82.2Avg total
39.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.182.1+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.778.6+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)43.042.285.2+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.282.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.688.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.339.778.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (11)39.540.880.3-1.445%-
vs Weaker (15)44.040.184.1+3.960%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.3
57.4%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.6
33.9%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.014.5
85.3%
78.0%14.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.8
56.7%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.8
35.1%
36.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.218.1
81.5%
78.0%18.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWLLWWWWL
Virtus Bologna
LWWWLLWWLL
#8
League position
#17
+11.3
Net rating
-2.2
112.0
Offensive rating
113.2
100.6
Defensive rating
115.3
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.2%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.9%
3-point %
35.1%
60.6%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 113.2Defence100.6 · 115.3Shooting54.4% · 55.2%3-point %33.9% · 35.1%Ball care15.9% · 18.6%Off. rebounds25.3% · 30.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HGran Canaria83-77
07/11/24AOlimpia Milano76-85
03/11/24AMurcia85-64
31/10/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-79
29/10/24AOlympiacos69-79
27/10/24HManresa86-61
24/10/24HCrvena zvezda95-72
20/10/24HBasquet Girona95-67
17/10/24HPanathinaikos90-86
15/10/24ABaskonia72-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AVarese95-104
08/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-77
06/11/24HTortona85-81
03/11/24HTreviso104-97
31/10/24AOlimpia Milano90-99
29/10/24HBayern84-87
26/10/24ACremona74-69
23/10/24APartizan70-69
18/10/24AMonaco85-101
15/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%100%0%
Points / game82.892.776.8
Allowed / game82.581.383.2
Point differential+0.2+11.3-6.4
Avg total165.2174.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.175.882.5
Allowed / game83.477.889.0
Point differential-4.2-2.0-6.5
Avg total162.5153.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce97278%79.275.6+3.7
2 Barcelona86275%86.480.8+5.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas86275%74.972.1+2.8
4 Panathinaikos96367%87.081.3+5.7
5 Olympiacos96367%85.079.7+5.3
6 Bayern96367%85.785.8-0.1
7 Paris85362%82.880.9+1.9
8 Crvena zvezda95456%83.480.7+2.8
9 Monaco95456%82.480.1+2.3
10 Anadolu Efes95456%84.983.1+1.8
11 Baskonia94544%76.677.2-0.7
12 Real Madrid83538%82.882.5+0.2
13 Olimpia Milano93633%84.688.4-3.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv93633%80.985.1-4.2
15 Partizan82625%78.981.2-2.4
16 Virtus Bologna82625%79.183.4-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne92722%79.084.9-5.9
18 Alba Berlin92722%76.887.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2825271898
Virtus Bologna2524181986
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