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Real Madrid vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 100-74
26-27 27-10 15-14 32-23
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game74.2
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Virtus Bologna
Position#8
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Virtus Bologna
11 Mar 2027
MAD v VIR
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MAD92
VIR84
12 Nov 2024
MAD98
VIR86
09 Nov 2023
MAD100
VIR74
27 Oct 2022
MAD91
VIR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 74
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-74
93
74
+19
91avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
105avg 74
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 74
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
83avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 74
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
91-68
91
68
+23
82avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-24
19-20
17-10
23-17
22-11
33-24
15-22
26-24
29-17
25-19
23-20
15-22
27-15
39-25
25-30
25-19
28-24
19-19
21-17
19-25
23-17
25-19
21-10
27-14
20-20
18-27
17-15
12-19
16-11
23-11
14-23
30-11
22-14
15-18
24-25
25-13
15-21
22-31
21-11
164.0Avg total
88.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.674.2159.8+11.4100%
Season at home (3)82.071.3153.3+10.7100%
Season away (2)91.078.5169.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.375.7164.0+12.6100%
Last 5 (5)81.871.0152.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)85.085.7170.7-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.776.0164.7+12.796%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
115-84
115
84
+31
113avg 81
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 81
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
90-75
90
75
+15
89avg 81
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 81
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 81
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
80-66
80
66
+14
87avg 81
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-84
87
84
+3
86avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 81
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 81
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 81
A05/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
25-17
23-28
34-17
23-15
25-18
22-15
13-11
25-17
16-23
28-19
21-16
27-11
17-15
23-25
20-25
26-15
18-18
18-22
23-24
18-20
27-15
19-15
16-16
21-18
18-24
26-21
22-21
23-22
23-6
21-20
21-27
20-18
21-27
28-17
24-19
23-21
14-25
15-25
31-22
166.3Avg total
89.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.776.8162.5+8.883%
Season at home (4)86.079.5165.5+6.575%
Season away (2)85.071.5156.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.177.2166.3+11.990%
Last 5 (5)86.279.8166.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)83.059.0142.0+24.0100%
vs Similar (11)79.678.1157.7+1.555%
vs Weaker (17)93.477.8171.2+15.588%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
Real MadridVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A06/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A08/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A12/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/11
ACB
80.8Avg total
44.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.981.4+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.736.879.5+5.854%-
Last 30 away (17)44.138.782.8+5.476%-
Last 10 (10)44.736.180.8+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.074.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.045.387.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.935.979.8+8.074%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H08/10
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A13/10
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H18/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A05/11
Lega A
81.0Avg total
44.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.938.382.2+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.436.282.6+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.881.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.781.0+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.280.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (11)39.537.677.1+1.855%-
vs Weaker (17)47.139.586.6+7.671%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.520.4
60.9%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.5
36.7%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
77.4%15.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.0
57.1%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.8
39.9%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
77.4%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
LWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#8
+16.8
Net rating
+16.8
117.0
Offensive rating
120.5
100.1
Defensive rating
103.8
58.2%
Effective FG%
58.2%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.7%
3-point %
39.9%
66.7%
Assist %
67.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence117.0 · 120.5Defence100.1 · 103.8Shooting58.2% · 58.2%3-point %36.7% · 39.9%Ball care17.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.6% · 34.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Madrid wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
24/03/23Virtus Bologna v Real Madrid79-96
27/10/22Real Madrid v Virtus Bologna91-95
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23AGranada83-76
29/10/23HPalencia91-68
26/10/23HBarcelona65-64
22/10/23ATenerife82-76
19/10/23HOlimpia Milano88-71
17/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas93-79
15/10/23HMurcia106-92
12/10/23AAnadolu Efes103-80
08/10/23ABasquet Girona93-74
06/10/23ABaskonia79-77
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ACremona83-93
03/11/23HAnadolu Efes93-81
30/10/23ABasket Napoli88-75
27/10/23ALyon-Villeurbanne87-84
22/10/23HSassari80-66
20/10/23HCrvena zvezda85-79
18/10/23HAlba Berlin87-76
15/10/23ATrento90-75
13/10/23AMonaco83-59
08/10/23HVarese115-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.682.091.0
Allowed / game74.271.378.5
Point differential+11.4+10.7+12.5
Avg total159.8153.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game85.786.085.0
Allowed / game76.879.571.5
Point differential+8.8+6.5+13.5
Avg total162.5165.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%85.674.2+11.4
2 Barcelona65183%83.770.2+13.5
3 Virtus Bologna65183%85.776.8+8.8
4 Fenerbahce75271%83.177.6+5.6
5 Valencia75271%73.372.6+0.7
6 Monaco64267%78.574.8+3.7
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv64267%86.387.3-1.0
8 Olympiacos73443%76.175.0+1.1
9 Partizan73443%86.086.0+0.0
10 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%83.084.6-1.6
11 Baskonia73443%79.784.6-4.9
12 Anadolu Efes73443%77.785.9-8.1
13 Crvena zvezda62433%80.579.2+1.3
14 Panathinaikos62433%78.881.5-2.7
15 Olimpia Milano72529%77.076.1+0.9
16 Bayern72529%73.079.3-6.3
17 Alba Berlin61517%76.884.2-7.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne61517%80.091.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid26271532100
Virtus Bologna2710142374
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