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Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 72-56
25-10 14-20 15-14 18-12
Position#2
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.3
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Crvena zvezda
Position#11
Record0-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda
12 Nov 2026
MAD v CZV
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
MAD103
CZV82
24 Oct 2024
MAD95
CZV72
29 Mar 2024
MAD101
CZV94
21 Oct 2022
MAD72
CZV56
18 Nov 2021
MAD79
CZV67
18 Jan 2021
MAD77
CZV79
01 Dec 2017
MAD83
CZV87
10 Mar 2017
MAD98
CZV68
22 Oct 2015
MAD98
CZV71
26 Feb 2015
MAD85
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 76
H19/06
ACB
Real Betis
#4
W
100-69
100
69
+31
no box
A24/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
H25/09
Supercopa ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
91avg 76
A28/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 76
H02/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
69avg 76
A06/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 76
A09/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 76
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
90avg 76
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
H19/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
21-23
23-23
24-18
25-21
17-14
26-13
32-21
17-15
12-22
26-12
16-22
17-20
28-16
24-21
25-31
27-12
15-13
26-30
25-24
23-22
15-15
16-14
17-17
18-14
19-17
19-16
20-24
15-24
15-16
22-23
21-12
23-25
22-25
24-15
27-14
21-20
17-17
24-26
25-26
163.5Avg total
86.0Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.077.3154.3-0.333%
Season at home (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
Season away (2)72.071.5143.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.077.5163.5+8.580%
Last 5 (5)80.676.4157.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)77.673.6151.1+4.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.276.8164.1+10.495%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
W
114-78
114
78
+36
no box
H10/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A12/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#2
W
88-66
88
66
+22
no box
H14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
110-71
110
71
+39
no box
H17/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
71-59
71
59
+12
no box
A19/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H01/10
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
59-72
59
72
-13
59avg 73
A07/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
69-65
69
65
+4
67avg 73
H10/10
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#15
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 73
H13/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
77avg 73
A19/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
25-24
31-17
25-22
22-12
16-14
15-28
17-23
26-16
27-17
15-12
20-21
24-18
29-11
26-23
31-19
15-9
19-22
25-14
12-14
13-9
26-13
26-25
22-20
14-17
20-18
16-21
9-16
20-19
23-16
12-16
14-14
24-18
14-24
18-15
19-20
24-23
23-19
10-17
18-33
154.2Avg total
81.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.780.3150.0-10.70%
Season at home (1)75.077.0152.0-2.00%
Season away (2)67.082.0149.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)81.872.4154.2+9.460%
Last 5 (5)73.074.6147.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.583.5165.0-2.050%
vs Similar (11)74.780.8155.5-6.136%
vs Weaker (17)85.773.5159.2+12.282%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
Real MadridCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/06
ACB
Real Betis
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A24/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/09
Supercopa ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A28/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H02/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H16/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/10
Euroleague
74.1Avg total
38.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.878.4+4.777%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.935.978.8+7.187%-
Last 30 away (15)40.237.878.0+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.174.1+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)37.135.272.3+1.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.537.681.2+5.980%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#2
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H10/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#2
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H17/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#9
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A19/06
Super League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H01/10
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/10
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#15
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H13/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/10
Euroleague
77.1Avg total
43.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.179.8+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.836.982.7+8.881%-
Last 30 away (14)37.239.476.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.733.477.1+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.275.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.043.579.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (11)39.041.580.5-2.536%-
vs Weaker (17)44.235.279.4+9.194%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.8
51.5%
53.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.1
34.2%
36.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.015.2
80.0%
78.5%15.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.3
51.5%
53.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
36.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
78.5%17.2
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWLWWWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
LLWLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#11
+8.1
Net rating
-3.7
111.7
Offensive rating
109.6
103.6
Defensive rating
113.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.2%
3-point %
34.7%
55.4%
Assist %
71.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 109.6Defence103.6 · 113.4Shooting51.4% · 51.7%3-point %34.2% · 34.7%Ball care16.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.2% · 36.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
08/03/22Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid65-62
18/11/21Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda79-67
18/01/21Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda77-79
13/11/20Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid67-73
30/03/18Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid79-82
01/12/17Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda83-87
10/03/17Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda98-68
22/12/16Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid82-70
27/11/15Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid94-88
22/10/15Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda98-71
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/22HOlympiacos87-89
16/10/22HJoventut Badalona96-79
13/10/22ABarcelona73-75
09/10/22AUnicaja76-71
06/10/22APanathinaikos71-68
02/10/22HObradoiro CAB93-79
28/09/22ABasquet Girona94-88
25/09/22HBarcelona89-83 OT
24/09/22AReal Betis100-69
19/06/22HBarcelona81-74
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/22ABaskonia75-92
13/10/22HPanathinaikos75-77
10/10/22HBuducnost69-65
07/10/22AAnadolu Efes59-72
01/10/22HMZT Skopje87-67
19/06/22AFMP Beograd71-59
17/06/22HFMP Beograd110-71
14/06/22HMega Basket88-66
12/06/22AMega Basket70-77
10/06/22HMega Basket114-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game77.087.072.0
Allowed / game77.389.071.5
Point differential-0.3-2.0+0.5
Avg total154.3176.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.775.067.0
Allowed / game80.377.082.0
Point differential-10.7-2.0-15.0
Avg total150.0152.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce440100%80.868.2+12.5
2 Olympiacos440100%89.082.2+6.8
3 Alba Berlin43175%87.075.2+11.8
4 Baskonia43175%92.084.8+7.2
5 Monaco43175%82.879.0+3.8
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv43175%80.277.0+3.2
7 Olimpia Milano43175%76.574.5+2.0
8 Anadolu Efes42250%83.280.0+3.2
9 Barcelona42250%75.274.8+0.5
10 Zalgiris Kaunas42250%76.077.8-1.8
11 Real Madrid31233%77.077.3-0.3
12 Partizan41325%86.286.2+0.0
13 Valencia41325%79.082.0-3.0
14 Panathinaikos41325%72.580.8-8.2
15 Virtus Bologna41325%64.876.0-11.2
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%67.879.2-11.5
17 Bayern4040%69.876.8-7.0
18 Crvena zvezda3030%69.780.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2514151872
Crvena zvezda1020141256
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