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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-65
16-24 15-14 21-15 16-12
Position#9
Record0-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game87.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Virtus Bologna
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2022
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Virtus Bologna
22 Jan 2027
ZAL v VIR
upcoming
28 Oct 2025
ZAL86
VIR65
15 Jan 2025
ZAL77
VIR68
19 Mar 2024
ZAL96
VIR81
18 Oct 2022
ZAL68
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
85-70
85
70
+15
92avg 74
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
A03/06
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
79avg 74
A26/09
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
92avg 74
A29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
96-60
96
60
+36
95avg 74
H02/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 74
A06/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
68avg 74
A09/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
73avg 74
A14/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 74
H16/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
17-18
17-27
20-18
24-15
27-20
14-18
20-17
23-26
21-14
23-15
22-21
20-18
25-16
19-19
15-18
24-16
20-18
22-22
25-10
28-14
27-14
21-16
20-16
27-30
21-16
17-25
18-13
21-17
19-11
19-18
15-20
21-18
14-26
23-23
22-23
20-18
26-14
21-22
19-20
159.5Avg total
85.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.587.0168.5-5.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)81.587.0168.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)85.374.2159.5+11.180%
Last 5 (5)83.874.8158.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.089.8174.8-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.180.1149.3-11.014%
vs Weaker (19)85.173.2158.2+11.984%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
61avg 83
A14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
85avg 83
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
61avg 83
A18/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
72-64 OT
72
64
+8
no box
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#2
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
89-77
89
77
+12
77avg 83
A02/10
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
H07/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 83
H09/10
Lega A
Bayern
#16
W
66-63
66
63
+3
63avg 83
H13/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
85-60
85
60
+25
86avg 83
A15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
10-24
21-15
7-22
25-12
17-25
20-21
22-20
16-29
20-14
10-18
18-20
8-12
14-14
14-12
23-21
23-19
20-30
14-10
15-10
13-33
30-24
17-11
29-9
18-18
16-22
11-23
21-20
26-17
21-22
16-22
22-19
24-16
10-16
22-19
10-12
21-12
20-23
28-5
16-20
147.7Avg total
74.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.073.0139.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)66.073.0139.0-7.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.573.2147.7+1.370%
Last 5 (5)78.272.6150.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.083.0149.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.171.7145.8+2.464%
vs Weaker (17)84.973.9158.8+11.194%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Zalgiris KaunasVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A28/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/06
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/09
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H02/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A06/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A09/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/10
LKL
80.7Avg total
45.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.578.6+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.834.280.0+11.783%-
Last 30 away (18)37.939.877.7-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)45.135.680.7+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.835.680.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.841.080.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.343.677.9-9.314%-
vs Weaker (19)43.834.678.4+9.384%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A14/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A18/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
22-26
22
26
-4
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A02/10
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Bayern
#16
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H13/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/10
Lega A
77.4Avg total
37.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.577.8+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.135.575.6+4.671%-
Last 30 away (13)40.540.280.6+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.536.075.5+3.564%-
vs Weaker (17)42.239.181.3+3.259%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.0
56.6%
53.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.0
39.5%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.912.3
82.6%
78.5%12.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.7
51.8%
53.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.7
35.8%
36.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.3
74.3%
78.5%15.3
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWWWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWWWLWL
#9
League position
#14
+17.0
Net rating
-0.7
122.6
Offensive rating
105.5
105.6
Defensive rating
106.2
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
39.7%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.5%
3-point %
35.8%
66.1%
Assist %
58.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.6 · 105.5Defence105.6 · 106.2Shooting57.7% · 52.5%3-point %39.5% · 35.8%Ball care17.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds39.7% · 27.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22HGargzdai86-74
14/10/22AOlympiacos80-90
09/10/22ALietkabelis74-66
06/10/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-84
02/10/22HSiauliai96-60
29/09/22APrienai91-66
26/09/22ANeptunas79-71
03/06/22ASiauliai89-76
30/05/22HSiauliai85-70
28/05/22ASiauliai90-85 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/22AVerona85-60
13/10/22HBayern66-63
09/10/22HTrieste85-80
07/10/22HMonaco66-83
02/10/22ABasket Napoli89-77
29/09/22ASassari72-69
28/09/22AOlimpia Milano72-64 OT
18/06/22AOlimpia Milano64-81
16/06/22HOlimpia Milano84-78
14/06/22AOlimpia Milano62-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.5-81.5
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential-5.5--5.5
Avg total168.5-168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total139.0139.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce220100%80.066.5+13.5
2 Alba Berlin220100%90.079.0+11.0
3 Monaco220100%89.079.0+10.0
4 Olympiacos220100%85.075.0+10.0
5 Baskonia220100%92.083.5+8.5
6 Anadolu Efes21150%82.077.0+5.0
7 Olimpia Milano21150%71.571.0+0.5
8 Real Madrid21150%72.071.5+0.5
9 Panathinaikos21150%72.573.0-0.5
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%69.572.5-3.0
11 Barcelona21150%72.576.5-4.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%77.584.5-7.0
13 Virtus Bologna21150%66.073.0-7.0
14 Valencia2020%73.579.0-5.5
15 Zalgiris Kaunas2020%81.587.0-5.5
16 Bayern2020%62.570.0-7.5
17 Crvena zvezda2020%67.074.5-7.5
18 Partizan2020%90.0101.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1615211668
Virtus Bologna2414151265
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