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Real Valladolid vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 101-77
30-20 29-15 24-26 18-16
Position#16
Record5-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#17
Record7-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game86.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 17
Other2024-25
Meetings · Real Valladolid v Castello
18 Jan 2025
REAL101
CAST77
02 Dec 2023
REAL89
CAST71
29 Apr 2023
REAL92
CAST82
30 Apr 2022
REAL82
CAST77
02 May 2021
REAL83
CAST88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 62
H09/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
67-65
67
65
+2
53avg 62
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 62
H30/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 62
A07/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
73-104
73
104
-31
62avg 62
H11/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
59-89
59
89
-30
46avg 62
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 62
H21/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 62
A28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 62
H04/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 62
A11/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
12-21
15-11
21-26
13-13
10-21
15-13
29-18
18-20
16-16
17-24
15-19
32-21
19-19
16-19
13-17
9-32
22-23
23-27
19-22
16-25
9-24
16-19
18-21
21-29
12-22
16-19
24-17
10-24
25-14
19-30
21-22
24-30
26-18
18-17
19-26
25-9
24-19
21-31
19-12
158.1Avg total
74.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.882.6156.3-8.831%
Season at home (7)73.087.9160.9-14.90%
Season away (9)74.378.4152.8-4.156%
Last 10 (10)74.783.4158.1-8.730%
Last 5 (5)76.685.6162.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)70.885.6156.4-14.810%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.577.3151.8-2.860%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Ourense
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
97avg 74
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
76-107
76
107
-31
61avg 74
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
60-94
60
94
-34
47avg 74
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 74
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 74
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
60avg 74
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 74
H20/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
99avg 74
A29/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 74
A04/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 74
H12/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
20-23
26-21
23-18
22-33
11-22
22-29
21-23
15-28
14-21
13-29
18-16
21-17
13-33
17-12
26-21
26-16
8-15
13-21
21-11
26-28
17-18
12-33
13-16
17-23
13-20
22-14
21-11
20-24
16-25
29-19
28-25
23-25
17-18
20-18
19-23
30-11
23-17
16-22
14-23
164.5Avg total
78.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.486.7168.1-5.344%
Season at home (8)78.875.5154.2+3.275%
Season away (8)84.097.9181.9-13.912%
Last 10 (10)78.586.0164.5-7.540%
Last 5 (5)81.885.4167.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.887.8165.7-10.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.785.6173.3+2.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Real ValladolidCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A07/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H11/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H21/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A11/01
Primera FEB
79.7Avg total
37.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.242.377.5-7.117%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.744.782.4-7.023%-
Last 30 away (17)33.340.573.8-7.212%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.479.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)34.444.278.6-9.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.838.575.3-1.730%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A29/12
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H12/01
Primera FEB
81.9Avg total
37.8Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.882.1-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.778.7-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)37.547.985.5-10.413%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.181.9-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.545.983.4-8.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.639.779.3-0.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Valladolid wins
4
Castello wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AMoron89-71
04/01/25HOurense87-91
28/12/24APalencia75-90
21/12/24HEstudiantes73-87
15/12/24AReal Betis59-89
11/12/24HSan Pablo Burgos73-104
07/12/24ACartagena80-76
30/11/24HGipuzkoa66-79
16/11/24AHestia Menorca67-65
09/11/24HOviedo78-82
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HAlicante83-73
04/01/25AMoron79-84
29/12/24ACartagena106-107 OT
20/12/24HObradoiro CAB73-68
15/12/24ASan Pablo Burgos68-95
11/12/24HHestia Menorca68-63
06/12/24AGipuzkoa77-83
01/12/24HReal Betis60-94
15/11/24APalencia76-107
08/11/24HOurense95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%0%56%
Points / game73.873.074.3
Allowed / game82.687.978.4
Point differential-8.8-14.9-4.1
Avg total156.3160.9152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%75%12%
Points / game81.478.884.0
Allowed / game86.775.597.9
Point differential-5.3+3.2-13.9
Avg total168.1154.2181.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1615194%89.275.0+14.2
2 Fuenlabrada1715288%84.272.8+11.4
3 Estudiantes1715288%88.879.1+9.8
4 Real Betis1712571%83.274.4+8.8
5 Palencia1611569%86.878.6+8.1
6 Ourense1610662%85.680.2+5.3
7 Tizona Burgos179853%89.689.7-0.1
8 Obradoiro CAB168850%79.174.9+4.2
9 Cartagena178947%79.286.2-7.1
10 Castello167944%81.486.7-5.3
11 Zamora1771041%79.481.8-2.4
12 Hestia Menorca1661038%72.977.0-4.1
13 Gipuzkoa1761135%74.678.1-3.5
14 Real Valladolid1651131%73.882.6-8.8
15 Estela1651131%73.282.6-9.4
16 Oviedo1751229%75.882.0-6.2
17 Alicante1631319%73.477.9-4.6
18 Moron161156%72.984.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Valladolid30292418101
Castello2015261677
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