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Reggiana vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 79-80
19-23 24-22 20-21 16-14
Position#6
Record17-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#3
Record21-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game75.5
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Reggiana v Avellino
18 Nov 2018
REG75
AVE91
20 Jan 2018
REG89
AVE86
17 May 2017
REG79
AVE80
12 Mar 2017
REG89
AVE90
30 May 2016
REG85
AVE80
26 May 2016
REG82
AVE72
20 May 2016
REG86
AVE78
18 May 2016
REG83
AVE69
19 Feb 2016
REG87
AVE94
11 Oct 2015
REG87
AVE68
08 Mar 2015
REG96
AVE72
11 Jan 2014
REG96
AVE73
23 Dec 2012
REG91
AVE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A19/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H27/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A02/04
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H09/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A23/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
91-101
91
101
-10
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A13/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A15/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
17-22
29-15
18-21
36-17
16-18
30-16
21-19
15-14
19-16
15-15
13-14
18-7
20-21
20-17
15-23
17-29
25-19
23-19
26-13
19-28
18-19
27-25
15-27
21-14
25-23
15-20
16-11
24-20
23-33
24-18
20-30
10-17
15-21
21-19
18-25
12-8
27-22
14-21
14-24
158.1Avg total
79.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.981.2162.2-0.353%
Season at home (15)85.179.3164.3+5.873%
Season away (17)77.283.0160.2-5.835%
Last 10 (10)79.878.3158.1+1.560%
Last 5 (5)75.685.0160.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.688.0170.6-5.440%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.079.8158.8-0.845%
vs Weaker (4)87.884.0171.8+3.875%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H09/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H15/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A23/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H30/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A07/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H13/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H15/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
14-21
19-18
18-11
5-24
21-17
27-23
21-30
17-24
19-21
21-14
18-19
29-13
12-25
24-20
27-28
21-19
22-16
22-24
20-19
18-19
11-20
25-17
22-12
8-19
26-15
23-17
22-24
17-24
17-22
27-7
14-24
17-10
21-15
19-21
25-18
8-12
22-27
21-14
24-14
154.2Avg total
79.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.775.5155.2+4.266%
Season at home (17)81.973.5155.4+8.582%
Season away (15)77.177.8154.9-0.747%
Last 10 (10)79.075.2154.2+3.870%
Last 5 (5)77.470.2147.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.066.0144.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.872.8147.6+2.055%
vs Weaker (17)77.472.1149.4+5.365%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
ReggianaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H27/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/04
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H09/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A13/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A15/05
Lega A
79.5Avg total
40.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.6+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.638.482.0+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.681.2-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.179.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.044.087.0-1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.939.179.0+0.855%-
vs Weaker (4)48.842.291.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A23/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H13/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H15/05
Lega A
72.9Avg total
35.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.573.3+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.234.973.2+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)35.238.273.4-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.872.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.336.370.5-2.045%-
vs Weaker (17)38.536.074.5+2.559%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.7
50.4%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.6
36.2%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
74.0%13.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.7
55.0%
51.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.3
39.5%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.3
72.8%
74.0%12.3
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLLWLWWWWW
Avellino
WWLWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#3
+2.6
Net rating
+5.3
108.4
Offensive rating
110.0
105.8
Defensive rating
104.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.9%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.7%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.2%
3-point %
39.5%
59.4%
Assist %
72.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 110.0Defence105.8 · 104.7Shooting52.0% · 56.9%3-point %36.2% · 39.5%Ball care18.2% · 20.7%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Reggiana   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Reggiana wins
7
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
15/05/17Avellino v Reggiana75-67
13/05/17Avellino v Reggiana82-64
12/03/17Reggiana v Avellino89-90 OT
13/11/16Avellino v Reggiana81-86
24/09/16Avellino v Reggiana74-72
30/05/16Reggiana v Avellino85-80
28/05/16Avellino v Reggiana83-74
26/05/16Reggiana v Avellino82-72
24/05/16Avellino v Reggiana97-54
22/05/16Avellino v Reggiana89-75
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/17AAvellino67-75
13/05/17AAvellino64-82
07/05/17ACremona91-101
30/04/17HPistoia77-68
23/04/17AOlimpia Milano79-99
15/04/17HTorino91-80
09/04/17HVarese73-68
02/04/17ACapo d'Orlando62-59
27/03/17HBrescia103-70
19/03/17APesaro91-81
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/17HReggiana75-67
13/05/17HReggiana82-64
07/05/17ATrento75-77
30/04/17HCaserta79-75
23/04/17ACapo d'Orlando76-68
15/04/17HCremona85-78
09/04/17HCantu92-86
03/04/17AVenezia75-78
26/03/17ABrindisi74-94
18/03/17HSassari77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL53%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %53%73%35%
Points / game80.985.177.2
Allowed / game81.279.383.0
Point differential-0.3+5.8-5.8
Avg total162.2164.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %66%82%47%
Points / game79.781.977.1
Allowed / game75.573.577.8
Point differential+4.2+8.5-0.7
Avg total155.2155.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)60% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %9%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3325876%86.579.8+6.6
2 Venezia3223972%81.377.2+4.2
3 Avellino32211166%79.775.5+4.2
4 Trento33211264%77.872.5+5.2
5 Reggiana32171553%80.981.2-0.3
6 Sassari33171652%75.573.7+1.8
7 Capo d'Orlando33161748%77.078.3-1.3
8 Pistoia32151747%76.476.7-0.3
9 Brindisi30141647%83.282.2+1.0
10 Varese30131743%77.380.1-2.8
11 Brescia30131743%78.781.8-3.1
12 Torino30131743%81.885.0-3.2
13 Caserta30121840%77.981.0-3.1
14 Cantu30111937%77.882.5-4.7
15 Pesaro30102033%76.280.7-4.5
16 Cremona3092130%79.080.5-1.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana1924201679
Avellino2322211480
← all games of the day
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