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Reggiana vs Virtus Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 13 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Postponed
Position#13
Record9-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game81.2
Reggiana
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma
Italy
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Reggiana v Virtus Roma
13 Apr 2021
REG v VRO
upcoming
29 Dec 2019
REG96
VRO88
22 Nov 2014
REG87
VRO83
06 Apr 2014
REG89
VRO76
19 May 2013
REG91
VRO82
15 May 2013
REG68
VRO71
13 May 2013
REG89
VRO69
03 Feb 2013
REG96
VRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
52-80
52
80
-28
no box
A11/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
75avg 69
A28/02
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
70avg 69
A07/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
70-96
70
96
-26
57avg 69
H13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
53avg 69
A19/03
Lega A
CSU Sibiu
#9
W
65-61
65
61
+4
no box
A23/03
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#8
L
64-71
64
71
-7
no box
H25/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
92avg 69
H29/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
71-90
71
90
-19
61avg 69
A03/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
95-77
95
77
+18
96avg 69
H11/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
12-22
9-18
21-21
22-15
21-32
26-24
10-18
25-20
14-18
20-11
13-29
22-21
14-24
15-21
19-30
14-19
17-16
21-14
16-22
17-15
13-19
17-13
18-14
18-21
16-16
12-15
18-19
25-16
22-19
22-21
22-23
17-29
23-15
12-17
19-29
23-19
23-19
21-17
28-22
151.9Avg total
72.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.181.2157.3-5.136%
Season at home (13)77.780.0157.7-2.346%
Season away (12)74.482.5156.9-8.125%
Last 10 (10)72.779.2151.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)77.275.6152.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.985.8156.7-14.911%
vs Similar (19)77.276.3153.5+0.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
82avg 66
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 66
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
65avg 66
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
65avg 66
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
63avg 66
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
60avg 66
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
68avg 66
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
74avg 66
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
no box
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
ReggianaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A11/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A28/02
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A19/03
Lega A
CSU Sibiu
#9
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A23/03
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H29/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H11/04
Lega A
76.2Avg total
36.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.277.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.638.877.4-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.478.2-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.476.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.677.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.743.680.2-6.922%-
vs Similar (19)38.338.476.6-0.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.043.093.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.1
49.7%
51.2%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.2
36.2%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
75.8%13.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
WLWLWLLLLL
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
#13
League position
#16
-8.2
Net rating
-16.4
104.7
Offensive rating
100.3
112.9
Defensive rating
116.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.2%
3-point %
31.5%
62.0%
Assist %
56.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 100.3Defence112.9 · 116.7Shooting51.7% · 50.7%3-point %36.2% · 31.5%Ball care16.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds22.3% · 21.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Reggiana   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Reggiana wins
5
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
29/12/19Reggiana v Virtus Roma96-88
16/03/15Virtus Roma v Reggiana66-56
22/11/14Reggiana v Virtus Roma87-83
06/04/14Reggiana v Virtus Roma89-76
22/12/13Virtus Roma v Reggiana72-67
21/05/13Virtus Roma v Reggiana72-59
19/05/13Reggiana v Virtus Roma91-82
17/05/13Virtus Roma v Reggiana74-69
15/05/13Reggiana v Virtus Roma68-71
13/05/13Reggiana v Virtus Roma89-69
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HVarese95-77
03/04/21ACremona71-90
29/03/21HPesaro91-79
25/03/21HCSM Oradea64-71
23/03/21ACSU Sibiu65-61
19/03/21AFortitudo Bologna68-71
13/03/21HTrieste70-96
07/03/21ATreviso72-78
28/02/21ABrescia79-89
11/02/21AOlimpia Milano52-80
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWLLWW46%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%46%25%
Points / game76.177.774.4
Allowed / game81.280.082.5
Point differential-5.1-2.3-8.1
Avg total157.3157.7156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi2419579%86.078.1+7.8
2 Olimpia Milano2519676%85.574.6+10.8
3 Virtus Bologna2518772%85.376.6+8.7
4 Sassari2315865%90.086.4+3.6
5 Venezia2516964%81.077.4+3.6
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste24111346%79.880.2-0.4
8 Pesaro25111444%81.682.9-1.3
9 Trento24101442%77.579.5-2.0
10 Varese25101540%81.486.5-5.2
11 Cremona2491538%85.686.9-1.3
12 Brescia2591636%81.384.7-3.4
13 Fortitudo Bologna2591636%77.981.7-3.8
14 Reggiana2591636%76.181.2-5.1
15 Cantu2581732%78.483.2-4.8
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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