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Reggiana vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-88
31-19 27-22 16-25 22-22
Position#12
Record6-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#15
Record7-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game81.8
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Reggiana v Virtus Roma
13 Apr 2021
REG v VRO
upcoming
29 Dec 2019
REG96
VRO88
22 Nov 2014
REG87
VRO83
06 Apr 2014
REG89
VRO76
19 May 2013
REG91
VRO82
15 May 2013
REG68
VRO71
13 May 2013
REG89
VRO69
03 Feb 2013
REG96
VRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
71avg 94
H20/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
90-65
90
65
+25
92avg 94
A27/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
47avg 94
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
81-100
81
100
-19
71avg 94
A16/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 94
H23/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
75avg 94
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 94
A08/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 94
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
85-104
85
104
-19
no box
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
17-20
20-13
27-16
24-20
19-15
20-19
27-11
15-21
16-19
11-18
17-21
26-30
16-21
16-24
23-25
23-20
20-28
18-13
20-13
23-24
15-20
24-31
16-14
24-15
28-22
14-26
17-28
24-16
10-19
24-32
29-19
29-30
23-28
18-21
15-25
13-24
25-22
18-20
16-21
164.7Avg total
80.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.183.4164.4-2.343%
Season at home (7)79.681.4161.0-1.957%
Season away (7)82.685.3167.9-2.729%
Last 10 (10)80.084.7164.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)81.091.4172.4-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.286.9162.1-11.614%
vs Similar (12)81.384.7166.0-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.571.5160.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
72-108
72
108
-36
67avg 70
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 70
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
83avg 70
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 70
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
62avg 70
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
82avg 70
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
86avg 70
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
38avg 70
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
74avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
14-14
15-32
15-17
24-25
11-32
18-31
19-20
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
24-20
20-20
23-22
25-21
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
159.1Avg total
75.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.981.8157.7-5.947%
Season at home (8)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
Season away (7)75.783.3159.0-7.643%
Last 10 (10)75.184.0159.1-8.940%
Last 5 (5)73.883.0156.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.784.6160.4-8.929%
vs Similar (10)78.576.4154.9+2.160%
vs Weaker (6)89.275.0164.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
ReggianaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H20/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A27/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A16/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A08/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A26/12
Lega A
84.7Avg total
41.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.783.2-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.742.582.2-2.829%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.984.0-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.784.7-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.086.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.145.485.6-5.314%-
vs Similar (12)40.241.581.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.237.079.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H27/10
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A02/11
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
85.5Avg total
39.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.682.1-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.479.8+1.069%-
Last 30 away (14)40.644.184.7-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.685.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.486.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.444.983.3-6.436%-
vs Similar (10)39.738.478.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)46.739.285.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.2
50.2%
52.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.9
30.7%
35.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.416.1
83.0%
73.6%16.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
52.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.0
34.0%
35.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
73.6%12.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLWLLWLLWW
Virtus Roma
LLWWLLWWLL
#12
League position
#15
-6.1
Net rating
-12.3
107.6
Offensive rating
104.8
113.7
Defensive rating
117.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.7%
3-point %
34.0%
53.7%
Assist %
59.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 104.8Defence113.7 · 117.0Shooting48.8% · 50.7%3-point %30.7% · 34.0%Ball care16.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 33.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Reggiana   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Reggiana wins
6
Virtus Roma wins
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19ABrindisi72-87
22/12/19HVenezia85-104
15/12/19HTrieste87-86
08/12/19ATreviso83-91
01/12/19AOlimpia Milano78-89
23/11/19HVarese81-74
16/11/19ASassari81-100
03/11/19HVirtus Bologna59-79
27/10/19APesaro90-65
20/10/19HPistoia84-72
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
01/12/19AVarese69-99
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
17/11/19HPesaro92-83
10/11/19ACantu76-74
02/11/19ASassari72-108
27/10/19HOlimpia Milano73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game81.179.682.6
Allowed / game83.481.485.3
Point differential-2.3-1.9-2.7
Avg total164.4161.0167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game75.976.075.7
Allowed / game81.880.583.3
Point differential-5.9-4.5-7.6
Avg total157.7156.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%84.075.7+8.3
2 Sassari1411379%83.772.9+10.9
3 Brescia1510567%83.974.3+9.6
4 Olimpia Milano1510567%80.173.7+6.4
5 Brindisi148657%83.080.0+3.0
6 Cremona148657%78.178.4-0.3
7 Venezia158753%79.175.5+3.5
8 Fortitudo Bologna158753%76.779.7-2.9
9 Varese157847%82.179.1+3.1
10 Trento157847%78.179.6-1.5
11 Cantu157847%75.177.5-2.4
12 Virtus Roma157847%75.981.8-5.9
13 Treviso146843%77.178.1-1.1
14 Reggiana146843%81.183.4-2.3
15 Pistoia1551033%74.483.2-8.8
16 Trieste1541127%74.179.9-5.9
17 Pesaro150150%78.691.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana3127162296
Virtus Roma1922252288
← all games of the day
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