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Reggiana vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-77
23-19 23-19 21-17 28-22
Position#13
Record8-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#12
Record10-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.2
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Reggiana v Varese
14 Nov 2026
REG v VAR
upcoming
19 Oct 2025
REG103
VAR79
22 Dec 2024
REG97
VAR80
17 Mar 2024
REG113
VAR80
22 Oct 2022
REG81
VAR87
18 Feb 2022
REG82
VAR84
11 Apr 2021
REG95
VAR77
23 Nov 2019
REG81
VAR74
04 Nov 2018
REG74
VAR68
16 Dec 2017
REG76
VAR66
09 Apr 2017
REG73
VAR68
27 Dec 2015
REG86
VAR69
08 Feb 2015
REG86
VAR70
18 Jan 2014
REG73
VAR80
24 Mar 2013
REG74
VAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
44avg 67
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
52-80
52
80
-28
no box
A11/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
75avg 67
A28/02
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
70avg 67
A07/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
70-96
70
96
-26
57avg 67
H13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
53avg 67
A19/03
Lega A
CSU Sibiu
#9
W
65-61
65
61
+4
no box
A23/03
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#8
L
64-71
64
71
-7
no box
H25/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
92avg 67
H29/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
71-90
71
90
-19
61avg 67
A03/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
17-16
14-26
11-19
10-19
12-22
9-18
21-21
22-15
21-32
26-24
10-18
25-20
14-18
20-11
13-29
22-21
14-24
15-21
19-30
14-19
17-16
21-14
16-22
17-15
13-19
17-13
18-14
18-21
16-16
12-15
18-19
25-16
22-19
22-21
22-23
17-29
23-15
12-17
19-29
149.8Avg total
69.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.381.4156.7-6.033%
Season at home (12)76.280.2156.5-4.042%
Season away (12)74.482.5156.9-8.125%
Last 10 (10)69.480.4149.8-11.020%
Last 5 (5)71.874.4146.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.985.9156.8-15.010%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.276.3152.5-0.150%
vs Weaker (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 71
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 71
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 71
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 71
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 71
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 71
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 71
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 71
A05/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
18-21
24-23
16-26
24-24
11-19
24-20
17-11
21-18
27-31
19-15
20-23
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
21-19
8-20
19-29
28-17
18-22
23-17
21-17
27-18
26-18
14-10
21-21
20-19
21-13
20-23
21-14
26-20
24-18
21-23
24-22
14-18
166.6Avg total
83.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.586.2167.7-4.642%
Season at home (13)83.283.6166.8-0.554%
Season away (11)79.689.2168.8-9.527%
Last 10 (10)83.583.1166.6+0.460%
Last 5 (5)83.475.6159.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.990.0171.9-8.136%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.285.4166.6-4.238%
vs Weaker (3)84.782.0166.7+2.767%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: +1.8+1.8
ReggianaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H07/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A11/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A28/02
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A19/03
Lega A
CSU Sibiu
#9
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A23/03
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H29/03
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/04
Lega A
75.9Avg total
35.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.477.8-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.277.4-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.478.2-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.075.9-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.073.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.043.680.6-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.838.476.2-0.639%-
vs Weaker (1)50.043.093.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H28/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Lega A
80.5Avg total
39.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.783.8-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.542.282.7-1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.485.0-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.080.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.675.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.448.688.9-8.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.839.879.6-0.138%-
vs Weaker (3)40.337.377.7+3.033%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.8
50.7%
51.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.1
34.5%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
75.8%13.0
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.9
53.3%
51.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.2
36.5%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
75.8%12.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LWLWLLLLLL
Varese
WWWWLLLWWL
#13
League position
#12
-15.1
Net rating
-3.9
100.3
Offensive rating
110.2
115.5
Defensive rating
114.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.5%
3-point %
36.5%
59.1%
Assist %
57.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 110.2Defence115.5 · 114.1Shooting51.1% · 54.0%3-point %34.5% · 36.5%Ball care18.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds21.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Reggiana   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Reggiana wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
13/12/20Varese v Reggiana76-89
23/11/19Reggiana v Varese81-74
03/03/19Varese v Reggiana92-80
04/11/18Reggiana v Varese74-68
15/04/18Varese v Reggiana80-73
16/12/17Reggiana v Varese76-66
09/04/17Reggiana v Varese73-68
11/12/16Varese v Reggiana81-71
24/04/16Varese v Reggiana77-69
27/12/15Reggiana v Varese86-69
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/21ACremona71-90
29/03/21HPesaro91-79
25/03/21HCSM Oradea64-71
23/03/21ACSU Sibiu65-61
19/03/21AFortitudo Bologna68-71
13/03/21HTrieste70-96
07/03/21ATreviso72-78
28/02/21ABrescia79-89
11/02/21AOlimpia Milano52-80
07/02/21HVirtus Bologna62-89
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/21AOlimpia Milano83-81
28/03/21HTrento88-70
14/03/21HPesaro81-68
06/03/21HSassari89-74
27/02/21AVirtus Bologna76-85
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
07/02/21HCremona110-105 OT
04/02/21HBrindisi76-74
31/01/21ACantu82-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLLW42%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%42%25%
Points / game75.376.274.4
Allowed / game81.480.282.5
Point differential-6.0-4.0-8.1
Avg total156.7156.5156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW42%
HomeWLWWW54%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %42%54%27%
Points / game81.583.279.6
Allowed / game86.283.689.2
Point differential-4.6-0.5-9.5
Avg total167.7166.8168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2419579%86.174.4+11.7
2 Brindisi2318578%86.278.4+7.8
3 Virtus Bologna2417771%85.577.0+8.5
4 Sassari2315865%90.086.4+3.6
5 Venezia2415962%80.477.0+3.4
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste23111248%80.480.2+0.2
8 Pesaro25111444%81.682.9-1.3
9 Varese24101442%81.586.2-4.6
10 Trento2391439%77.679.7-2.2
11 Cremona2491538%85.686.9-1.3
12 Brescia2491538%81.084.3-3.3
13 Fortitudo Bologna2591636%77.981.7-3.8
14 Cantu2481633%78.683.5-5.0
15 Reggiana2481633%75.381.4-6.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana2323212895
Varese1919172277
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