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Rogaska vs Polzela Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 11· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rogaska v Polzela
12 Dec 2026
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
ROGA95
POLZ89
29 Apr 2024
ROGA84
POLZ68
27 Jan 2024
ROGA77
POLZ69
07 Jan 2023
ROGA89
POLZ67
23 Apr 2022
ROGA116
POLZ99
05 Nov 2021
ROGA87
POLZ90
11 May 2021
ROGA90
POLZ72
27 Jan 2021
ROGA101
POLZ71
21 Apr 2020
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
12 Oct 2019
ROGA82
POLZ75
10 Apr 2019
ROGA69
POLZ85
15 Dec 2018
ROGA69
POLZ85
13 Jan 2018
ROGA71
POLZ68
22 Apr 2017
ROGA76
POLZ70
04 Feb 2017
ROGA79
POLZ84
08 Mar 2016
ROGA82
POLZ81
28 Feb 2015
ROGA93
POLZ97
25 Apr 2014
ROGA84
POLZ76
23 Nov 2013
ROGA85
POLZ67
10 Apr 2013
ROGA67
POLZ83
19 Jan 2013
ROGA65
POLZ70
28 Mar 2012
ROGA72
POLZ79
14 Jan 2012
ROGA90
POLZ78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 73
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 73
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 73
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
49-87
49
87
-38
32avg 73
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
59avg 73
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 73
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
46avg 73
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
69-60
69
60
+9
68avg 73
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-26
27-20
22-14
24-15
23-29
12-14
17-22
20-27
29-26
24-21
2-18
13-25
4-23
19-22
13-17
21-25
21-6
11-20
14-29
19-13
22-21
17-18
16-20
14-27
24-16
16-26
8-28
23-28
20-9
12-10
14-13
20-20
14-9
21-20
22-17
13-22
29-10
17-15
15-26
150.6Avg total
72.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.478.4146.8-10.050%
Season at home (4)70.283.8154.0-13.525%
Season away (4)66.573.0139.5-6.575%
Last 10 (10)72.078.6150.6-6.650%
Last 5 (5)71.273.6144.8-2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.885.8158.6-12.925%
vs Similar (8)83.182.9166.0+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)88.381.3169.7+7.067%
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
58-94
58
94
-36
40avg 78
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 78
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 78
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
87-49
87
49
+38
90avg 78
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 78
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 78
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 78
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
93-65
93
65
+28
no box
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
8-22
10-18
18-23
23-14
19-21
15-25
23-26
20-20
24-21
17-12
13-6
25-13
23-4
22-19
17-13
25-29
20-22
14-20
22-25
21-21
13-16
24-16
26-14
25-10
13-24
21-17
15-16
39-17
24-24
17-18
18-23
21-18
15-22
23-30
20-23
30-17
25-17
23-20
15-11
156.6Avg total
80.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.872.2156.0+11.575%
Season at home (3)80.069.7149.7+10.367%
Season away (5)86.073.8159.8+12.280%
Last 10 (10)80.875.8156.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)85.674.8160.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.890.6169.4-11.815%
vs Similar (6)88.289.5177.7-1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.773.2160.9+14.582%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
RogaskaPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
79.7Avg total
40.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.882.3-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.642.484.0-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)36.244.881.0-8.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.679.7+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.644.680.2-9.025%-
vs Similar (8)40.041.881.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (6)44.344.288.5+0.267%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
81.8Avg total
43.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.286.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.681.5+6.271%-
Last 30 away (16)44.346.290.5-1.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.381.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.282.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.544.685.2-4.138%-
vs Similar (6)44.840.885.7+4.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.940.188.0+7.864%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.6
52.7%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.9
27.6%
30.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.414.6
68.2%
70.0%14.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.6
49.1%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
30.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
70.0%12.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
WWWLWLLLLW
Polzela
WLWWWLWWLL
#6
League position
#2
-9.7
Net rating
+5.5
86.3
Offensive rating
93.9
96.0
Defensive rating
88.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.6%
3-point %
38.5%
71.3%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 93.9Defence96.0 · 88.4Shooting48.2% · 52.5%3-point %27.6% · 38.5%Ball care17.2% · 14.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rogaska   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rogaska wins
5
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Polzela v Rogaska87-49
06/04/26Polzela v Rogaska99-94 OT
22/12/25Polzela v Rogaska88-81
11/10/25Rogaska v Polzela95-89
29/04/24Rogaska v Polzela84-68
27/01/24Rogaska v Polzela77-69
18/11/23Polzela v Rogaska75-73
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHelios Domzale74-73
04/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija77-66
31/10/26AZlatorog Lasko69-60
20/10/26HKK Krka Novo mesto62-97
16/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj74-72
10/10/26HGorica67-80
03/10/26APolzela49-87
26/09/26HSencur75-92
04/05/26AZlatorog Lasko76-80
30/04/26HHelios Domzale97-79
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AZlatorog Lasko93-65
03/11/26HKK Krka Novo mesto79-93
31/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj98-82
24/10/26HGorica74-67
17/10/26ATajfun Sentjur84-67
09/10/26ASencur81-96
03/10/26HRogaska87-49
26/09/26AHelios Domzale74-59
10/05/26HKK Krka Novo mesto80-86
07/05/26AKK Krka Novo mesto58-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game68.470.266.5
Allowed / game78.483.873.0
Point differential-10.0-13.5-6.5
Avg total146.8154.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%67%80%
Points / game83.880.086.0
Allowed / game72.269.773.8
Point differential+11.5+10.3+12.2
Avg total156.0149.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%33%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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