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Rostock vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 99-70
23-12 22-19 33-20 21-19
Position#8
Record14-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.6
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#18
Record6-25
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game90.5
GermanyBBLRound 32
Domestic2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 75
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 75
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 75
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 75
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
64avg 75
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-108
76
108
-32
67avg 75
A26/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
21-27
17-30
22-20
21-15
19-17
20-22
26-25
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
20-13
18-23
13-17
21-23
15-12
20-23
16-14
20-20
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
29-17
14-16
10-27
22-18
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
25-22
21-29
15-28
18-25
13-25
16-32
28-24
19-27
169.0Avg total
80.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.288.6171.9-5.445%
Season at home (15)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
Season away (16)85.991.1177.0-5.250%
Last 10 (10)80.288.8169.0-8.640%
Last 5 (5)80.294.8175.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.591.8170.3-13.423%
vs Similar (16)86.486.9173.4-0.556%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 74
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
no box
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 74
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 74
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 74
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 74
A08/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
42-86
42
86
-44
32avg 74
A15/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
86-102
86
102
-16
80avg 74
H18/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
113-107
113
107
+6
109avg 74
A23/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
96-102
96
102
-6
81avg 74
H26/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
27-29
10-19
17-15
19-23
25-24
19-14
15-17
20-20
22-24
13-18
30-13
31-22
21-23
19-23
24-16
20-14
24-22
17-14
12-28
19-25
27-24
22-27
21-25
11-25
7-17
18-17
6-27
26-24
26-20
15-25
19-33
26-17
29-19
29-40
29-31
24-24
15-25
31-30
26-23
175.8Avg total
84.7Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.590.5173.0-8.119%
Season at home (16)83.689.2172.9-5.631%
Season away (15)81.391.9173.2-10.77%
Last 10 (10)84.791.1175.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)85.299.6184.8-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.490.4171.9-9.015%
vs Similar (2)93.596.5190.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
RostockBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A26/04
BBL
83.8Avg total
41.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.585.7-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.642.682.2-3.143%-
Last 30 away (16)42.646.188.8-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.783.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.288.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.949.189.0-9.223%-
vs Similar (16)42.441.383.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
18-42
18
42
-24
A15/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H18/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A23/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H26/04
BBL
88.2Avg total
44.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.485.8-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.344.988.2-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.983.8-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.888.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.086.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)41.444.986.4-3.537%-
vs Similar (2)44.037.581.5+6.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.1
47.5%
54.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.6
38.4%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.716.2
82.2%
75.8%16.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.9
53.0%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.5
39.1%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.0
72.1%
75.8%16.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWLLWLWWL
Bayreuth
LWLLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#18
-12.3
Net rating
-8.8
105.5
Offensive rating
115.8
117.8
Defensive rating
124.6
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.4%
3-point %
39.1%
63.7%
Assist %
62.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 115.8Defence117.8 · 124.6Shooting51.6% · 55.7%3-point %38.4% · 39.1%Ball care19.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.5% · 30.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Rostock   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
0
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Bayreuth v Rostock83-92
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23ABayern76-108
23/04/23AAlba Berlin79-104
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
14/04/23AHeidelberg75-78
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
02/04/23AChemnitz71-69
25/03/23HWurzburg72-76
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
12/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins86-79
04/03/23ASyntainics MBC78-102
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23HHeidelberg96-102
23/04/23AFrankfurt113-107
18/04/23HChemnitz86-102
15/04/23ABonn42-86
08/04/23ABasketball Braunschweig89-101
05/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins73-78
02/04/23HSyntainics MBC95-84
24/03/23HOldenburg85-75
17/03/23AWurzburg89-96 OT
12/03/23HBayern79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game83.280.485.9
Allowed / game88.686.091.1
Point differential-5.4-5.6-5.2
Avg total171.9166.4177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%7%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeLWWLL31%
AwayLLLLW7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %19%31%7%
Points / game82.583.681.3
Allowed / game90.589.291.9
Point differential-8.1-5.6-10.7
Avg total173.0172.9173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %10%6%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3129294%89.072.9+16.2
2 Alba Berlin3229391%88.477.0+11.4
3 Bayern3125681%82.474.3+8.1
4 Oldenburg32201262%85.983.6+2.3
5 Gottingen31181358%86.486.3+0.1
6 Ludwigsburg32181456%87.085.8+1.2
7 Ulm30161453%87.484.8+2.6
8 Chemnitz32151747%83.882.9+0.9
9 Wurzburg32151747%81.383.6-2.3
10 Rostock31141745%83.288.6-5.4
11 Bamberg32141844%87.587.9-0.4
12 Heidelberg31131842%87.290.2-3.0
13 Hamburg33122136%81.085.9-4.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins32112134%85.288.8-3.7
15 Syntainics MBC30102033%83.887.8-3.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig32102231%80.083.7-3.7
17 Frankfurt3182326%79.687.0-7.4
18 Bayreuth3162519%82.590.5-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2322332199
Bayreuth1219201970
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