PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rostock vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-88
25-26 17-23 21-21 23-18
Position#8
Record9-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Bonn 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record10-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.5
GermanyBBLRound 18· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Bonn
02 Jan 2027
ROS v BON
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ROS86
BON88
10 Nov 2024
ROS64
BON69
26 Dec 2023
ROS98
BON92
12 Feb 2023
ROS62
BON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 75
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 75
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 75
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 75
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 75
H03/01
BBL
Jena
#16
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
75avg 75
A08/01
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H18/01
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 75
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 75
A23/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-16
23-25
21-18
27-25
24-27
25-24
16-21
16-19
8-23
16-22
26-16
14-18
17-22
24-16
12-29
20-14
18-10
21-30
23-23
10-16
25-24
21-12
14-18
18-14
21-24
17-23
21-24
19-12
18-22
25-18
20-25
15-26
18-16
20-22
21-19
30-26
23-17
18-13
10-21
161.4Avg total
79.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.382.2164.5+0.156%
Season at home (8)83.081.9164.9+1.162%
Season away (8)81.682.5164.1-0.950%
Last 10 (10)79.482.0161.4-2.650%
Last 5 (5)80.680.8161.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.180.2165.3+4.967%
vs Weaker (16)85.581.6167.1+3.956%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
74avg 72
H06/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
67avg 72
H10/12
BBL
Trier
#12
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
73avg 72
A13/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
55-83
55
83
-28
36avg 72
H21/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
100-67
100
67
+33
105avg 72
A27/12
BBL
Jena
#16
W
92-80
92
80
+12
77avg 72
A29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 72
H05/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
50avg 72
A11/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
A17/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
66avg 72
H23/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
22-17
17-15
14-20
21-20
18-16
18-19
31-21
23-21
21-24
22-21
23-23
9-23
18-17
16-19
12-24
30-5
24-14
20-27
26-21
15-16
29-13
26-26
22-25
21-22
15-14
19-23
21-15
12-15
12-18
15-13
24-20
21-13
14-30
27-22
24-20
26-30
17-23
13-18
21-10
161.7Avg total
82.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.278.5157.7+0.756%
Season at home (9)74.178.0152.1-3.956%
Season away (9)84.279.0163.2+5.256%
Last 10 (10)82.179.6161.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.877.2156.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.486.6162.0-11.114%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.081.2162.2-0.262%
vs Weaker (9)89.280.8170.0+8.456%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
RostockBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
BBL
Jena
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/01
BBL
Murcia
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H18/01
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A23/01
BBL
77.0Avg total
38.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.680.6+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.538.278.6+2.354%-
Last 30 away (17)41.440.782.1+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.977.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.539.873.2-6.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.340.383.7+3.056%-
vs Weaker (16)40.839.280.0+1.544%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/12
BBL
Trier
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A13/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H21/12
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
54-19
54
19
+35
A27/12
BBL
Jena
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A29/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A11/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A17/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H23/01
BBL
76.0Avg total
38.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.882.2-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.140.479.4-1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)41.643.084.6-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.276.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.875.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.142.979.0-6.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.243.384.5-2.138%-
vs Weaker (9)42.338.180.4+4.256%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.9
48.3%
53.8%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.1
76.4%
73.5%19.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.7
51.2%
53.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.37.8
27.6%
34.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.813.9
66.8%
73.5%13.9
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLWLWWLLLW
Bonn
LWLWWWLLWW
#8
League position
#4
+1.6
Net rating
+1.9
103.4
Offensive rating
100.1
101.8
Defensive rating
98.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
27.6%
62.5%
Assist %
54.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 100.1Defence101.8 · 98.2Shooting50.1% · 47.2%3-point %34.7% · 27.6%Ball care17.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds31.6% · 34.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rostock   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
5
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
23/01/26Bonn v Rostock77-81
01/03/25Bonn v Rostock83-72
10/11/24Rostock v Bonn64-69
27/04/24Bonn v Rostock112-89
26/12/23Rostock v Bonn98-92
12/02/23Rostock v Bonn62-77
06/01/23Bonn v Rostock99-71
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ABonn81-77
20/01/26ATrefl Sopot74-83
18/01/26HSyntainics MBC82-77
14/01/26AMurcia77-85
08/01/26AJena89-82 OT
03/01/26HFrankfurt82-77
31/12/25HBayern67-85
26/12/25HAlba Berlin66-80
20/12/25AChemnitz92-97
17/12/25ASzombathely84-77
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HRostock77-81
17/01/26ALudwigsburg86-85
11/01/26ABayern63-66
05/01/26HBamberg76-74
29/12/25AJena92-80
27/12/25AHeidelberg100-67
21/12/25HBayern55-83
13/12/25ATrier98-102 OT
10/12/25HFrankfurt88-76
06/12/25HChemnitz86-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game82.383.081.6
Allowed / game82.281.982.5
Point differential+0.1+1.1-0.9
Avg total164.5164.9164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Bonn
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game79.274.184.2
Allowed / game78.578.079.0
Point differential+0.7-3.9+5.2
Avg total157.7152.1163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1716194%86.471.4+14.9
2 Alba Berlin1712571%85.376.8+8.5
3 Trier1611569%90.488.9+1.5
4 Wurzburg1711665%83.281.3+1.9
5 Ludwigsburg169756%84.282.4+1.8
6 Rostock169756%82.382.2+0.1
7 Bonn1810856%79.278.5+0.7
8 Bamberg179853%88.584.5+3.9
9 Ulm179853%81.078.0+3.0
10 Frankfurt178947%82.783.4-0.7
11 Oldenburg1881044%84.181.9+2.2
12 Jena167944%84.288.4-4.2
13 Chemnitz1771041%85.887.5-1.6
14 Syntainics MBC1871139%83.587.9-4.4
15 Vechta1761135%84.889.6-4.8
16 Hamburg1441029%83.391.5-8.2
17 Heidelberg1741324%78.784.6-5.9
18 Basketball Braunschweig1741324%77.187.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2517212386
Bonn2623211888
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.