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Rostock vs Bonn Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game81.6
Rostock
Germany
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Bonn
Germany
Position#5
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.2
GermanyBBLRound 15· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rostock v Bonn
02 Jan 2027
ROS v BON
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
ROS86
BON88
10 Nov 2024
ROS64
BON69
26 Dec 2023
ROS98
BON92
12 Feb 2023
ROS62
BON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 76
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 76
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
79-110
79
110
-31
70avg 76
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
92avg 76
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
L
83-86
83
86
-3
66avg 76
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
68avg 76
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
24-15
14-25
12-13
19-14
27-14
24-13
23-21
12-11
29-21
29-24
15-21
24-21
21-24
20-26
19-20
11-18
18-22
27-19
22-10
19-24
165.9Avg total
84.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.381.6170.9+7.867%
Season at home (5)91.076.6167.6+14.4100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)84.081.9165.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.787.7162.4-13.014%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.279.6160.8+1.744%
vs Weaker (14)89.880.4170.2+9.464%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 74
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 74
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
78-74
78
74
+4
75avg 74
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
115-68
115
68
+47
116avg 74
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 74
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 74
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 74
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
101-89
101
89
+12
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-21
16-16
21-19
17-21
19-15
19-21
21-26
25-16
18-16
19-16
16-26
28-11
26-22
32-16
29-19
22-19
18-17
14-19
20-21
14-17
15-26
25-19
14-22
21-26
21-19
24-20
29-23
27-25
21-23
27-23
26-18
22-35
26-17
27-24
22-11
21-25
21-12
19-22
24-12
165.8Avg total
86.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.781.2168.9+6.467%
Season at home (5)96.077.4173.4+18.6100%
Season away (4)77.286.0163.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)86.679.2165.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)89.283.8173.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.789.4163.1-15.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker (13)92.879.4172.2+13.585%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.5+2.5
RostockBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/11
BBL
86.5Avg total
43.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.784.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.539.484.8+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.041.683.6+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.486.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.687.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.784.7-6.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.140.783.8+2.444%-
vs Weaker (14)46.038.184.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/11
BBL
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.380.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.641.177.7-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.037.672.6-2.630%-
vs Weaker (13)45.139.684.7+5.562%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
73.4%14.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.5
51.0%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.4%14.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLWWWLLLLW
Bonn
WWWWLLWWLW
#4
League position
#5
-2.9
Net rating
+2.5
91.4
Offensive rating
96.4
94.3
Defensive rating
93.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
37.5%
58.4%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 96.4Defence94.3 · 93.9Shooting49.7% · 53.2%3-point %32.7% · 37.5%Ball care16.2% · 15.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Rostock   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
6
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Rostock v Bonn86-88
23/01/26Bonn v Rostock77-81
01/03/25Bonn v Rostock83-72
10/11/24Rostock v Bonn64-69
27/04/24Bonn v Rostock112-89
26/12/23Rostock v Bonn98-92
12/02/23Rostock v Bonn62-77
06/01/23Bonn v Rostock99-71
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVechta86-75
10/11/26HCedevita Olimpija71-88
07/11/26HUlm97-87
04/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos86-59
01/11/26HBayern69-67
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABamberg85-71
07/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig97-87
04/11/26HBnei Herzliya101-89
01/11/26HAlba Berlin95-88
24/10/26ALudwigsburg68-84
21/10/26AJoventut Badalona74-76
09/10/26HJena115-68
07/10/26HFC Porto78-74
02/10/26AWurzburg76-83
27/09/26HSyntainics MBC77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game89.391.087.2
Allowed / game81.676.687.8
Point differential+7.8+14.4-0.5
Avg total170.9167.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Bonn
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game87.796.077.2
Allowed / game81.277.486.0
Point differential+6.4+18.6-8.8
Avg total168.9173.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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