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Rostock vs Hamburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
GermanyBBLRound 27· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rostock v Hamburg
27 Mar 2027
ROS v HAM
upcoming
10 May 2026
ROS103
HAM71
26 Dec 2024
ROS92
HAM78
13 Jan 2024
ROS94
HAM111
18 Dec 2022
ROS82
HAM76
15 Apr 2019
ROS85
HAM91
09 Apr 2019
ROS94
HAM79
03 Feb 2019
ROS68
HAM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 75
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 75
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
79-110
79
110
-31
70avg 75
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
92avg 75
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
L
83-86
83
86
-3
66avg 75
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
68avg 75
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H15/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
24-15
14-25
12-13
19-14
27-14
24-13
23-21
12-11
29-21
29-24
15-21
24-21
21-24
20-26
19-20
11-18
18-22
27-19
22-10
19-24
165.9Avg total
84.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.381.6170.9+7.867%
Season at home (5)91.076.6167.6+14.4100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)84.081.9165.9+2.150%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.787.7162.4-13.014%
vs Similar (9)81.279.6160.8+1.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.880.4170.2+9.464%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 71
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 71
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 71
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 71
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 71
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 71
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 71
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 71
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.5-2.5
RostockHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H10/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#14
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/11
BBL
86.5Avg total
43.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.784.2+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.539.484.8+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.041.683.6+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.486.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.687.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.784.7-6.729%-
vs Similar (9)43.140.783.8+2.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.038.184.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
73.4%14.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WLWWWLLLLW
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
#4
League position
#15
-2.9
Net rating
-16.1
91.4
Offensive rating
86.6
94.3
Defensive rating
102.7
49.7%
Effective FG%
46.5%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.7%
3-point %
28.2%
58.4%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 86.6Defence94.3 · 102.7Shooting49.7% · 46.5%3-point %32.7% · 28.2%Ball care16.2% · 14.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Rostock   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rostock wins
5
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Hamburg v Rostock84-91
10/05/26Rostock v Hamburg103-71
22/04/26Hamburg v Rostock91-86 OT
08/03/25Hamburg v Rostock78-77
26/12/24Rostock v Hamburg92-78
10/02/24Hamburg v Rostock105-89
13/01/24Rostock v Hamburg94-111
03/02/23Hamburg v Rostock81-91
18/12/22Rostock v Hamburg82-76
15/04/19Rostock v Hamburg85-91
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HVechta86-75
10/11/26HCedevita Olimpija71-88
07/11/26HUlm97-87
04/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos86-59
01/11/26HBayern69-67
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game89.391.087.2
Allowed / game81.676.687.8
Point differential+7.8+14.4-0.5
Avg total170.9167.6175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier87188%98.586.0+12.5
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Rostock96367%89.381.6+7.8
5 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
6 Frankfurt74357%87.085.6+1.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
14 Vechta93633%85.090.2-5.2
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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