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Alba Berlin vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-85
14-29 25-27 29-18 21-11
Position#3
Record17-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.5
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
vs
Rostock
Germany
Position#8
Record12-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.0
GermanyBBLRound 25· Uber Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Rostock
31 Dec 2026
ABE v ROS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ABE89
ROS85
31 Dec 2024
ABE85
ROS96
24 Apr 2024
ABE91
ROS74
23 Apr 2023
ABE104
ROS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
W
69-60
69
60
+9
69avg 80
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
97avg 80
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
87-93
87
93
-6
72avg 80
H17/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
98-78
98
78
+20
105avg 80
H21/02
German Cup
Bamberg
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
66avg 80
A22/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#18
W
87-54
87
54
+33
88avg 80
A06/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
64avg 80
H08/03
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
W
76-71
76
71
+5
74avg 80
A11/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
68-99
68
99
-31
62avg 80
A15/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#1
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
80avg 80
H18/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
22-15
18-14
18-13
32-26
25-26
17-25
24-15
14-23
17-22
22-32
34-16
29-18
17-20
25-23
27-17
22-15
15-21
21-16
14-22
18-12
25-16
25-11
19-15
16-21
21-22
22-15
12-10
18-19
17-21
19-18
22-13
25-28
19-24
13-26
11-21
19-28
27-24
16-12
17-15
159.6Avg total
81.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.278.5163.7+6.671%
Season at home (12)83.574.6158.1+8.975%
Season away (12)86.882.5169.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)81.478.2159.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)78.077.0155.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.585.5172.0+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.577.1162.5+8.479%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 76
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 76
A23/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 76
H31/01
BBL
Szombathely
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 76
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 76
H08/02
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 76
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
94-80
94
80
+14
90avg 76
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
84avg 76
H18/02
BBL
Trier
#12
W
118-103
118
103
+15
113avg 76
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 76
H15/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
18-16
20-22
21-19
30-26
23-17
18-13
10-21
25-26
17-23
21-21
23-18
18-21
26-15
11-22
20-20
19-25
24-13
19-21
15-15
20-22
13-24
30-17
19-26
25-14
21-20
27-21
21-25
24-23
19-18
13-12
16-19
23-18
38-25
25-28
32-32
20-14
17-19
18-19
18-26
168.4Avg total
84.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.183.0167.1+1.155%
Season at home (13)84.983.5168.5+1.454%
Season away (9)83.082.2165.2+0.856%
Last 10 (10)84.683.8168.4+0.840%
Last 5 (5)90.687.6178.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.583.5161.0-6.017%
vs Similar (9)85.178.0163.1+7.178%
vs Weaker (15)86.481.9168.3+4.560%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
Alba BerlinRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H10/02
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A15/02
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H17/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/02
German Cup
Bamberg
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/02
German Cup
Heidelberg
#18
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A06/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/03
BBL
AS Karditsas
#32
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A11/03
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A15/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H18/03
Champions League
82.8Avg total
40.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.682.8+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.380.7+2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.084.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.982.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)46.744.891.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.039.680.6+1.442%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A23/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H31/01
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/02
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H18/02
BBL
Trier
#12
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H15/03
BBL
84.0Avg total
43.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.381.1+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.839.281.1+2.665%-
Last 30 away (13)41.839.481.2+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.584.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.483.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.041.076.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (9)44.141.085.1+3.167%-
vs Weaker (15)43.137.680.7+5.567%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.1
52.5%
53.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.9
32.4%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
73.5%15.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.0
49.9%
53.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.9
36.3%
34.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.715.8
72.8%
73.5%15.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWWWLWLWW
Rostock
LWLWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#8
+3.6
Net rating
+1.7
92.3
Offensive rating
97.4
88.7
Defensive rating
95.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.4%
3-point %
36.3%
73.2%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 97.4Defence88.7 · 95.7Shooting50.6% · 52.0%3-point %32.4% · 36.3%Ball care18.4% · 13.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alba Berlin wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
26/12/25Rostock v Alba Berlin66-80
12/02/25Rostock v Alba Berlin71-78
31/12/24Alba Berlin v Rostock85-96
24/04/24Alba Berlin v Rostock91-74
10/03/24Rostock v Alba Berlin75-76
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HAEK Athens88-93 OT
15/03/26ASyntainics MBC68-99
11/03/26AAS Karditsas76-71
08/03/26HWurzburg71-68
06/03/26AHeidelberg87-54
22/02/26ABamberg72-74
21/02/26HOldenburg98-78
17/02/26HHamburg87-93
15/02/26ABamberg98-92
10/02/26HTofas69-60
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HChemnitz73-78
06/03/26HTrier118-103
18/02/26HBamberg86-88 OT
15/02/26ASyntainics MBC94-80
11/02/26HMurcia82-89
08/02/26HWurzburg77-74
04/02/26HSzombathely75-78
31/01/26HBonn86-88
23/01/26ABonn81-77
20/01/26ATrefl Sopot74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game85.283.586.8
Allowed / game78.574.682.5
Point differential+6.6+8.9+4.3
Avg total163.7158.1169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %55%54%56%
Points / game84.184.983.0
Allowed / game83.083.582.2
Point differential+1.1+1.4+0.8
Avg total167.1168.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)43% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %14%15%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2320387%87.772.6+15.1
2 Alba Berlin2417771%85.278.5+6.6
3 Bonn2516964%82.779.3+3.4
4 Bamberg2415962%89.083.8+5.3
5 Ulm2314961%83.277.3+5.9
6 Wurzburg24141058%81.580.0+1.5
7 Trier24141058%91.792.1-0.4
8 Rostock22121055%84.183.0+1.1
9 Ludwigsburg23121152%84.084.6-0.5
10 Chemnitz23111248%85.186.9-1.7
11 Oldenburg24111346%83.884.1-0.4
12 Vechta24101442%87.588.1-0.7
13 Frankfurt24101442%83.585.4-1.8
14 Jena2391439%81.889.0-7.2
15 Hamburg2281436%84.289.0-4.8
16 Syntainics MBC2481633%83.187.2-4.2
17 Heidelberg2461825%77.485.4-8.0
18 Basketball Braunschweig2451921%80.089.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1425292189
Rostock2927181185
← all games of the day
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