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Rostock vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 85-67
21-10 19-11 26-24 19-22
Position#12
Record11-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.3
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#2
Record17-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.1
GermanyBBLRound 26· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rostock v Ulm
07 Nov 2026
ROS97
ULM87
19 Apr 2026
ROS68
ULM75
29 Mar 2025
ROS85
ULM67
14 Apr 2024
ROS71
ULM96
09 Oct 2022
ROS85
ULM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 68
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 68
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
107avg 68
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
88-82
88
82
+6
77avg 68
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
97-93
97
93
+4
97avg 68
A09/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
50avg 68
H12/02
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 68
A01/03
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 68
A08/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 68
H15/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
66-91
66
91
-25
52avg 68
A22/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
13-19
25-19
25-24
12-25
16-23
19-14
25-20
28-26
24-21
13-27
23-14
22-19
21-19
22-21
23-23
21-29
19-30
29-19
28-15
20-17
25-19
11-23
15-19
17-20
16-23
16-18
23-22
13-19
28-15
12-22
24-22
17-21
27-16
12-14
28-25
13-29
14-27
13-18
26-17
170.0Avg total
83.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.581.3161.9-0.848%
Season at home (12)82.380.3162.7+2.058%
Season away (11)78.582.5161.0-3.936%
Last 10 (10)83.686.4170.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)74.081.2155.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.089.4167.4-11.422%
vs Similar (17)80.181.8161.9-1.747%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.0160.0+10.067%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 79
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
71-92
71
92
-21
64avg 79
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 79
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
92-66
92
66
+26
84avg 79
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 79
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
111-75
111
75
+36
104avg 79
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
101-90 OT
101
90
+11
94avg 79
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 79
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 79
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
115-88
115
88
+27
90avg 79
H22/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
11-20
21-19
26-22
12-22
16-19
21-20
22-31
21-29
29-20
22-16
18-32
22-16
16-20
29-11
25-19
26-15
21-23
27-11
17-23
11-18
34-17
32-21
34-19
17-16
20-33
21-13
28-24
22-21
19-13
24-19
19-20
11-10
19-18
17-19
15-23
29-24
32-16
24-18
30-30
170.6Avg total
89.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.079.1166.1+7.871%
Season at home (12)89.774.2163.9+15.492%
Season away (12)84.284.0168.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)89.880.8170.6+9.060%
Last 5 (5)94.679.2173.8+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Similar (12)91.787.8179.5+3.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.176.7165.9+12.479%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
RostockUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A09/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A01/03
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H15/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A22/03
BBL
82.8Avg total
39.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.180.1-2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.178.8+2.679%-
Last 30 away (16)37.643.881.3-6.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.882.8-4.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.279.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.445.483.9-7.033%-
vs Similar (17)39.339.178.4+0.271%-
vs Weaker (3)39.337.777.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/02
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H09/03
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H22/03
BBL
80.5Avg total
41.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.184.3+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.840.586.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.641.782.3-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.480.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.280.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.545.586.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (12)42.243.385.5-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.937.982.7+7.079%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.6
47.2%
52.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.9
36.2%
33.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
73.5%16.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.8
54.5%
52.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.3
41.2%
33.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws23.717.5
73.8%
73.5%17.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWLLLWWWLW
Ulm
WLWWWWWLLL
#12
League position
#2
-3.7
Net rating
+12.0
106.8
Offensive rating
116.3
110.6
Defensive rating
104.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
57.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.2%
3-point %
41.2%
50.2%
Assist %
58.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 116.3Defence110.6 · 104.3Shooting50.5% · 57.8%3-point %36.2% · 41.2%Ball care18.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rostock   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
3
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Ulm v Rostock82-72
14/04/24Rostock v Ulm71-96
03/12/23Ulm v Rostock89-107
05/05/23Ulm v Rostock116-86
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25ABayern66-91
15/03/25HSyntainics MBC84-76
08/03/25AHamburg77-78
01/03/25ABonn72-83
12/02/25HAlba Berlin71-78
09/02/25AWurzburg97-93
02/02/25HHeidelberg88-82
18/01/25HOldenburg122-118 OT
11/01/25AUlm72-82
04/01/25HVechta87-83
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HFrankfurt115-88
17/03/25ABayern62-70
14/03/25AVechta84-73
09/03/25HAlba Berlin101-90 OT
28/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig111-75
13/02/25AGottingen91-72
08/02/25HSyntainics MBC92-66
05/02/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv90-97
02/02/25ALudwigsburg71-92
28/01/25ABahcesehir Kol.81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeWWWLW58%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game80.582.378.5
Allowed / game81.380.382.5
Point differential-0.8+2.0-3.9
Avg total161.9162.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%92%50%
Points / game87.089.784.2
Allowed / game79.174.284.0
Point differential+7.8+15.4+0.2
Avg total166.1163.9168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2317674%81.773.7+8.0
2 Ulm2417771%87.079.1+7.8
3 Heidelberg2213959%79.780.0-0.3
4 Chemnitz2213959%79.580.5-0.9
5 Basketball Braunschweig24141058%83.282.3+0.9
6 Vechta25141156%82.082.0+0.0
7 Wurzburg23121152%83.381.2+2.1
8 Oldenburg23121152%89.488.3+1.2
9 Syntainics MBC23121152%84.384.5-0.2
10 Ludwigsburg24121250%74.572.3+2.2
11 Alba Berlin23111248%86.282.8+3.4
12 Bonn23111248%84.383.2+1.1
13 Rostock23111248%80.581.3-0.8
14 Hamburg23111248%80.181.5-1.4
15 Bamberg24101442%82.483.7-1.2
16 Frankfurt2261627%76.984.3-7.5
17 Gottingen231224%80.495.6-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2119261985
Ulm1011242267
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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