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Saga vs Brave Thunders Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#22
Record5-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.9
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Brave Thunders
17 Feb 2027
SAGA v BRAV
upcoming
04 Nov 2024
SAGA76
BRAV89
03 Nov 2024
SAGA89
BRAV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 74
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 74
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 74
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 74
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 74
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 74
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 74
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
no box
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
70-107
70
107
-37
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
20-34
21-24
26-25
36-28
26-24
14-26
19-27
13-13
23-21
16-34
22-23
9-29
176.5Avg total
78.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.395.6172.9-18.36%
Season at home (9)78.496.3174.8-17.90%
Season away (7)75.994.7170.6-18.914%
Last 10 (10)78.198.4176.5-20.30%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.793.3171.1-15.610%
vs Similar (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.776.7164.4+11.086%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Shimane
#15
L
69-80
69
80
-11
61avg 72
A19/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
101-67
101
67
+34
108avg 72
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
77avg 72
H24/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
92-89
92
89
+3
93avg 72
A26/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
65-75
65
75
-10
59avg 72
H31/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
66-77
66
77
-11
62avg 72
H01/11
B League
Shiga
#16
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
A06/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H09/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
74-95
74
95
-21
no box
H11/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
90-72
90
72
+18
no box
H13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
15-23
10-19
18-20
35-13
21-18
20-18
25-18
19-21
26-26
19-22
18-24
17-26
24-20
22-25
29-18
16-24
16-12
15-28
18-11
12-20
21-19
16-20
17-18
17-25
20-13
16-15
22-28
18-16
21-24
19-22
18-23
14-26
24-24
19-27
17-18
24-26
26-14
27-19
13-13
160.4Avg total
79.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.283.9163.1-4.829%
Season at home (11)77.483.9161.3-6.518%
Season away (6)82.584.0166.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)79.081.4160.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.287.7162.9-12.417%
vs Similar (10)79.684.0163.6-4.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)95.569.5165.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
SagaBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A15/11
B League
89.8Avg total
38.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.451.489.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.493.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.047.986.8-8.920%-
vs Similar (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)46.140.386.4+5.971%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H31/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/11
B League
Shiga
#16
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/11
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H09/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/11
B League
Saga
#25
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/11
B League
82.0Avg total
41.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.983.1-2.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.741.580.3-2.820%-
Last 30 away (15)41.644.385.9-2.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.882.0+0.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.844.883.7-6.011%-
vs Similar (10)40.040.980.9-0.920%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)53.035.588.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.2
51.6%
53.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.1
75.3%
73.8%13.1
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
Brave Thunders
WLLLLLWLWL
#25
League position
#22
-18.0
Net rating
-1.0
90.3
Offensive rating
93.6
108.3
Defensive rating
94.6
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.9%
3-point %
31.5%
60.4%
Assist %
70.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 93.6Defence108.3 · 94.6Shooting49.3% · 50.1%3-point %30.9% · 31.5%Ball care11.1% · 15.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
3
Brave Thunders wins
DateGameScore
13/11/26Brave Thunders v Saga90-72
27/12/25Brave Thunders v Saga84-91
26/12/25Brave Thunders v Saga73-82
04/11/24Saga v Brave Thunders76-89
03/11/24Saga v Brave Thunders89-67
24/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga78-87
23/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga74-65
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido70-107
13/11/26ABrave Thunders72-90
08/11/26HChiba103-111
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSaga90-72
11/11/26HShimane74-95
09/11/26HAltiri Chiba76-85
06/11/26AShiga75-81
01/11/26HYokohama66-77
31/10/26HYokohama65-75
26/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex92-89
24/10/26HSendai82-93
21/10/26HOsaka101-67
19/10/26AShimane69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game77.378.475.9
Allowed / game95.696.394.7
Point differential-18.3-17.9-18.9
Avg total172.9174.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW18%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %29%18%50%
Points / game79.277.482.5
Allowed / game83.983.984.0
Point differential-4.8-6.5-1.5
Avg total163.1161.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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