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Saga vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:07
Final 76-89
16-24 21-23 20-16 19-26
Position#18
Record5-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#21
Record2-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game82.8
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Brave Thunders
17 Feb 2027
SAGA v BRAV
upcoming
04 Nov 2024
SAGA76
BRAV89
03 Nov 2024
SAGA89
BRAV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 68
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
57avg 68
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 68
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
91avg 68
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
62avg 68
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 68
A20/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 68
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
71avg 68
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 68
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
89-67
89
67
+22
90avg 68
H03/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-22
11-18
13-13
15-17
24-12
27-22
12-14
14-23
13-6
21-20
22-24
25-14
27-25
22-21
22-17
19-18
20-17
23-4
12-17
15-23
16-25
17-16
14-18
25-15
18-18
16-25
23-17
17-19
21-27
15-11
17-21
21-20
10-24
18-22
22-21
16-12
21-17
22-13
25-18
21-19
146.6Avg total
74.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.172.5146.6+1.650%
Season at home (2)81.573.0154.5+8.550%
Season away (8)72.272.4144.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)74.172.5146.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)75.075.6150.6-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.480.0150.4-9.610%
vs Similar (13)76.674.1150.7+2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.067.9148.9+13.186%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
74avg 73
H05/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 73
H06/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
62-82
62
82
-20
49avg 73
A12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
75avg 73
A13/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 73
H18/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
84avg 73
H19/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
54-69
54
69
-15
49avg 73
H23/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
62-89
62
89
-27
56avg 73
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
68-75
68
75
-7
63avg 73
H26/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
67-89
67
89
-22
58avg 73
A03/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
25-13
20-17
20-23
12-18
12-27
24-20
20-24
13-28
21-16
18-19
10-19
27-33
15-16
25-20
20-25
18-27
22-11
22-25
18-24
18-21
25-11
18-21
16-24
12-14
13-20
10-19
19-16
18-20
26-18
13-26
5-25
14-15
19-16
17-19
18-25
17-21
13-22
18-25
19-21
154.5Avg total
71.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.782.8154.5-11.120%
Season at home (7)71.680.4152.0-8.929%
Season away (3)72.088.3160.3-16.30%
Last 10 (10)71.782.8154.5-11.120%
Last 5 (5)67.880.6148.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.282.0154.2-9.822%
vs Similar (14)77.681.2158.8-3.643%
vs Weaker (7)83.981.7165.6+2.171%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -6.1-6.1
SagaBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A27/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H03/11
B League
73.6Avg total
37.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.275.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.736.872.5-1.150%-
Last 30 away (20)38.538.977.4-0.445%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.573.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.674.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.341.276.5-5.920%-
vs Similar (13)38.137.475.5+0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.035.475.4+4.686%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H05/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H06/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A13/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H19/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/10
B League
Saga
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A03/11
B League
74.3Avg total
35.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.278.3-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.038.274.2-2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)41.243.284.4-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.774.3-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.670.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.239.876.0-3.644%-
vs Similar (14)38.738.977.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker (7)39.143.382.4-4.143%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.0
50.6%
51.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.1
34.0%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
70.0%
72.7%12.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.9
49.2%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.4
29.1%
33.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.011.2
74.7%
72.7%11.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLLLLWWWWL
Brave Thunders
LLLLWLLLLW
#18
League position
#21
+1.1
Net rating
-14.1
104.7
Offensive rating
95.4
103.6
Defensive rating
109.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.0%
3-point %
29.1%
66.3%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 95.4Defence103.6 · 109.5Shooting50.8% · 47.0%3-point %34.0% · 29.1%Ball care17.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Saga   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Saga wins
1
Brave Thunders wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Saga v Brave Thunders89-67
24/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga78-87
23/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga74-65
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HBrave Thunders89-67
27/10/24AAlvark66-79
26/10/24AAlvark74-79
23/10/24HChiba74-79
20/10/24AAkita72-74
19/10/24AAkita70-61
13/10/24AHiroshima D.90-81
12/10/24AHiroshima D.81-64
06/10/24AKyoto77-71
05/10/24AKyoto48-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24ASaga67-89
26/10/24HGunma68-75
25/10/24HGunma62-89
23/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya54-69
19/10/24HYokohama88-81 OT
18/10/24HYokohama80-87
13/10/24ADiamond Dolphins87-94
12/10/24ADiamond Dolphins62-82
06/10/24HAkita68-89
05/10/24HAkita81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.181.572.2
Allowed / game72.573.072.4
Point differential+1.6+8.5-0.1
Avg total146.6154.5144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %20%29%0%
Points / game71.771.672.0
Allowed / game82.880.488.3
Point differential-11.1-8.9-16.3
Avg total154.5152.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba119282%80.871.5+9.3
2 NeoPhoenix119282%86.077.8+8.2
3 Alvark119282%78.570.7+7.8
4 Utsunomiya Brex119282%79.774.7+5.0
5 Shimane118373%83.072.5+10.5
6 Ryukyu118373%88.878.7+10.1
7 Gunma117464%79.870.8+9.0
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya117464%76.668.8+7.8
9 SeaHorses Mikawa117464%78.374.7+3.5
10 Diamond Dolphins116555%82.980.4+2.5
11 Osaka116555%83.181.1+2.0
12 Kyoto116555%78.476.8+1.5
13 Nagasaki116555%72.172.7-0.6
14 Saga105550%74.172.5+1.6
15 Akita115645%76.276.8-0.6
16 Yokohama115645%73.977.7-3.8
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles114736%71.473.6-2.3
18 Hokkaido114736%71.077.5-6.5
19 Sendai113827%71.676.1-4.5
20 Brave Thunders102820%71.782.8-11.1
21 Hiroshima D.112918%72.583.5-11.1
22 Ibaraki Robots112918%73.786.5-12.8
23 Shiga111109%76.087.8-11.8
24 Koshigaya Alphas111109%68.783.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1621201976
Brave Thunders2423162689
← all games of the day
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