PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Saga vs Hokkaido Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 79-76
21-25 13-15 26-17 19-19
Position#12
Record25-24
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game82.2
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#9
Record31-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.9
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Hokkaido
08 Apr 2026
SAGA79
HOKK76
13 Apr 2025
SAGA89
HOKK73
12 Apr 2025
SAGA78
HOKK98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hokkaido winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
19-16
19-30
24-19
23-29
24-18
22-25
13-15
27-23
30-24
15-17
19-32
25-19
20-23
19-26
32-23
23-20
23-20
15-22
16-18
23-25
14-13
20-24
23-21
24-27
27-11
18-14
21-34
29-28
19-15
19-16
16-18
29-12
15-19
17-18
21-17
23-22
23-16
13-26
7-23
167.7Avg total
83.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)81.982.2164.1-0.451%
Season at home (25)81.883.4165.2-1.648%
Season away (24)81.981.0162.9+0.954%
Last 10 (10)83.484.3167.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)80.279.8160.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.586.0162.5-9.530%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.681.5165.2+2.155%
vs Weaker (9)85.976.1162.0+9.889%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
100-98
100
98
+2
A07/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
92-72
92
72
+20
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H11/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A14/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A15/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
H28/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
108-89
108
89
+19
H29/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H01/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A04/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
26-29
20-19
29-25
19-15
25-20
23-11
25-26
22-22
22-27
23-25
17-16
23-22
20-22
12-24
18-22
15-18
24-29
23-25
19-23
24-34
23-28
24-20
28-22
25-24
30-20
33-19
20-26
21-18
30-22
20-20
17-25
13-24
17-20
20-19
24-20
29-14
15-25
18-22
20-30
177.8Avg total
88.1Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)88.185.9174.0+2.263%
Season at home (21)91.887.2179.0+4.671%
Season away (28)85.484.9170.3+0.457%
Last 10 (10)88.189.7177.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)90.290.4180.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.086.0167.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.290.8179.1-2.633%
vs Weaker (15)90.885.2176.0+5.673%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
SagaHokkaido
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H11/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/04
B League
87.0Avg total
46.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.183.4+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.383.1-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)43.640.083.6+3.673%-
Last 10 (10)46.540.587.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.682.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.043.180.1-6.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.340.184.4+4.273%-
vs Weaker (9)45.640.285.8+5.378%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A07/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A08/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H11/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
47-62
47
62
-15
H28/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H29/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H01/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A04/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/04
B League
90.6Avg total
44.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.644.389.9+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.343.691.9+4.650%-
Last 30 away (16)43.244.888.1-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.890.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.891.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.743.082.7-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.346.391.7-1.042%-
vs Weaker (15)47.042.989.9+4.147%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.4
52.2%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.8
35.5%
33.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.611.5
73.7%
73.1%11.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.4
56.4%
53.1%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.8
38.3%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
73.1%14.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWWLLWLLL
Hokkaido
LLWWLLLLWW
#12
League position
#9
-0.1
Net rating
-1.7
96.3
Offensive rating
104.4
96.4
Defensive rating
106.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.7%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
38.3%
78.8%
Assist %
54.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 104.4Defence96.4 · 106.1Shooting52.7% · 56.7%3-point %35.5% · 38.3%Ball care14.7% · 11.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Hokkaido
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Saga wins
2
Hokkaido wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Hokkaido v Saga95-93
13/04/25Saga v Hokkaido89-73
12/04/25Saga v Hokkaido78-98
03/03/24Hokkaido v Saga72-87
02/03/24Hokkaido v Saga52-81
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26ASendai66-87
04/04/26ASendai82-66
01/04/26AShiga83-77
29/03/26HIbaraki Robots90-86
28/03/26HIbaraki Robots80-83
15/03/26AShimane77-80
14/03/26AShimane96-91
11/03/26HNeoPhoenix91-96
08/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex82-87
07/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex87-90
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26ARyukyu82-91
04/04/26ARyukyu74-83
01/04/26HIbaraki Robots88-85
29/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex108-89
28/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex99-104
15/03/26ANeoPhoenix81-95
14/03/26ANeoPhoenix73-90
11/03/26HSun Rockers Shibuya84-90
08/03/26AYokohama92-72
07/03/26AYokohama100-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL51%
HomeLLLLW48%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %51%48%54%
Points / game81.981.881.9
Allowed / game82.283.481.0
Point differential-0.4-1.6+0.9
Avg total164.1165.2162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)44% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hokkaido
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeLLLWW71%
AwayWLLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492128
Win %63%71%57%
Points / game88.191.885.4
Allowed / game85.987.284.9
Point differential+2.2+4.6+0.4
Avg total174.0179.0170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)67% (9)75% (8)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4940982%91.378.8+12.6
2 Diamond Dolphins49381178%84.072.6+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex49371276%86.280.6+5.7
4 Ryukyu49341569%81.674.9+6.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa49341569%83.677.4+6.1
6 Gunma49331667%82.473.2+9.2
7 Chiba49331667%82.876.5+6.3
8 Alvark49321765%80.677.7+2.9
9 Hokkaido49311863%88.185.9+2.2
10 NeoPhoenix49292059%85.082.3+2.7
11 Sendai49292059%81.179.3+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.49282157%87.083.7+3.4
13 Saga49252451%81.982.2-0.4
14 Shimane49232647%80.380.6-0.2
15 Yokohama49202941%79.082.2-3.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya49202941%77.180.9-3.8
17 Osaka49193039%80.182.8-2.7
18 Shiga49193039%80.784.6-3.9
19 Koshigaya Alphas49173235%74.381.8-7.4
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles49163333%80.483.6-3.2
21 Altiri Chiba49163333%79.084.0-5.0
22 Kyoto49163333%72.580.4-7.8
23 Ibaraki Robots49153431%76.180.9-4.8
24 Brave Thunders49143529%75.883.1-7.3
25 Toyama49113822%80.589.8-9.3
26 Akita4984116%73.285.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2113261979
Hokkaido2515171976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.