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Ryukyu vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 92-78
23-23 25-17 21-24 23-14
Position#3
Record39-17
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game74.6
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record30-26
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game81.7
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ryukyu v Saga
25 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
RYUK96
SAGA91
25 Apr 2026
RYUK92
SAGA78
04 May 2025
RYUK85
SAGA76
03 May 2025
RYUK87
SAGA71
17 Apr 2024
RYUK101
SAGA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
89-60
89
60
+29
88avg 76
A01/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 76
H04/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
80avg 76
H05/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
74-71
74
71
+3
69avg 76
H08/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 76
H11/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-58
90
58
+32
85avg 76
H12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 76
A15/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
102-82
102
82
+20
103avg 76
H18/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
68-86
68
86
-18
56avg 76
H19/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 76
A22/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-15
26-11
22-20
24-13
20-17
19-20
20-24
14-29
25-15
22-18
30-20
20-19
12-18
15-17
27-17
22-24
20-10
23-14
14-16
23-14
24-16
27-15
16-13
22-12
25-22
13-22
16-24
23-13
34-25
18-24
27-20
13-17
16-21
24-25
15-23
20-14
16-17
22-16
22-24
156.0Avg total
83.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)81.674.6156.2+6.970%
Season at home (28)80.476.2156.5+4.261%
Season away (28)82.873.1155.9+9.779%
Last 10 (10)83.272.8156.0+10.480%
Last 5 (5)83.275.4158.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.377.0157.3+3.367%
vs Similar (7)80.677.3157.9+3.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.472.2154.7+10.290%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 77
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
80avg 77
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
66-87
66
87
-21
57avg 77
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
82avg 77
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 77
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
83-87
83
87
-4
90avg 77
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 77
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 77
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
103-68
103
68
+35
102avg 77
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 77
H22/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
19-15
19-16
16-18
29-12
15-19
17-18
21-17
23-22
23-16
13-26
7-23
21-25
13-15
26-17
19-19
26-23
25-25
17-18
22-23
20-22
20-19
25-29
18-17
12-22
31-22
19-16
15-23
14-25
27-24
21-13
21-12
27-20
25-15
29-19
22-14
21-24
17-11
19-19
14-12
159.0Avg total
81.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)82.181.7163.8+0.454%
Season at home (30)81.582.9164.4-1.450%
Season away (26)82.880.2163.0+2.558%
Last 10 (10)81.777.3159.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)83.475.6159.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.482.4158.8-6.038%
vs Similar (9)82.284.2166.4-2.044%
vs Weaker (13)87.177.2164.2+9.985%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
RyukyuSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H04/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H08/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A15/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H18/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/04
B League
75.9Avg total
41.4Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.676.6+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.737.480.1+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.333.973.1+5.480%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.575.9+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.277.4+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.341.381.7-1.033%-
vs Similar (7)42.635.978.4+6.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.534.775.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/04
B League
84.1Avg total
43.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.8+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.582.7-0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)44.640.384.9+4.373%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.484.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.883.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.141.178.2-4.025%-
vs Similar (9)43.940.384.2+3.667%-
vs Weaker (13)45.741.286.8+4.569%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.1
54.3%
53.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
33.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.316.6
77.9%
73.1%16.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.0
54.3%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.2
35.4%
33.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.910.8
72.5%
73.1%10.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
WLWLWWWWWW
Saga
WWWLLWWLWW
#3
League position
#12
+12.6
Net rating
+3.2
101.4
Offensive rating
95.5
88.8
Defensive rating
92.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
11.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.2%
3-point %
35.4%
59.3%
Assist %
79.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 95.5Defence88.8 · 92.3Shooting52.1% · 53.8%3-point %32.2% · 35.4%Ball care11.2% · 14.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Ryukyu wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Saga v Ryukyu77-102
13/12/25Saga v Ryukyu72-95
04/05/25Ryukyu v Saga85-76
03/05/25Ryukyu v Saga87-71
12/11/24Saga v Ryukyu67-73
11/11/24Saga v Ryukyu72-84
17/04/24Ryukyu v Saga101-97 OT
31/01/24Saga v Ryukyu58-96
07/10/23Saga v Ryukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/26ABrave Thunders80-71
19/04/26HNeoPhoenix68-86
18/04/26HNeoPhoenix102-82
15/04/26ADiamond Dolphins76-80
12/04/26HIbaraki Robots90-58
11/04/26HIbaraki Robots79-64
08/04/26HOsaka74-71
05/04/26HHokkaido91-82
04/04/26HHokkaido83-74
01/04/26AToyama89-60
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/26HDiamond Dolphins71-66
19/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles103-68
18/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
15/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa77-83
12/04/26HKyoto83-87
11/04/26HKyoto90-89
08/04/26HHokkaido79-76
05/04/26ASendai66-87
04/04/26ASendai82-66
01/04/26AShiga83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayWWWLW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %70%61%79%
Points / game81.680.482.8
Allowed / game74.676.273.1
Point differential+6.9+4.2+9.7
Avg total156.2156.5155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%39%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)60% (5)67% (9)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW54%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games563026
Win %54%50%58%
Points / game82.181.582.8
Allowed / game81.782.980.2
Point differential+0.4-1.4+2.5
Avg total163.8164.4163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)54% (13)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki57451279%91.579.6+11.9
2 Utsunomiya Brex57431475%85.779.9+5.9
3 Diamond Dolphins57411672%83.474.2+9.2
4 SeaHorses Mikawa57411672%84.177.6+6.5
5 Gunma57401770%83.172.5+10.7
6 Ryukyu56391770%81.674.6+6.9
7 Chiba57391868%83.876.6+7.2
8 Alvark57391868%80.676.8+3.9
9 Sendai57352261%82.979.5+3.3
10 Hokkaido57352261%88.086.2+1.7
11 NeoPhoenix57342360%85.983.6+2.3
12 Hiroshima D.57312654%86.183.5+2.6
13 Saga56302654%82.181.7+0.4
14 Shimane57263146%79.581.1-1.6
15 Yokohama57253244%79.381.9-2.5
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya57243342%76.380.1-3.8
17 Osaka57223539%81.082.9-1.9
18 Shiga57223539%80.585.2-4.7
19 Kyoto57193833%74.080.9-6.9
20 Koshigaya Alphas57193833%75.182.3-7.2
21 Altiri Chiba57183932%78.683.8-5.1
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles57174030%79.984.6-4.6
23 Ibaraki Robots57174030%75.981.4-5.6
24 Toyama57154226%81.088.7-7.7
25 Brave Thunders57144325%75.784.2-8.5
26 Akita57104718%73.385.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ryukyu2325212392
Saga2317241478
← all games of the day
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