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Samobor vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-95 (OT)
17-21 22-16 16-26 29-21 7-11
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 2· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samobor v Alkar
04 Oct 2026
SAMO91
ALKA95
25 Jan 2026
SAMO71
ALKA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 78
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
89avg 78
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 78
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
80avg 78
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 78
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 78
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
55avg 78
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#29
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 78
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 78
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#29
L
65-98
65
98
-33
59avg 78
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
21-26
19-14
19-25
19-18
19-22
28-18
26-23
28-20
14-24
23-20
19-24
23-21
15-17
21-13
17-15
26-25
25-21
31-23
28-22
19-21
18-19
15-22
29-24
21-21
17-23
6-20
25-13
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
165.3Avg total
79.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.081.0140.0-22.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)59.081.0140.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)79.485.9165.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)71.489.0160.4-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.894.6172.4-16.80%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.579.0162.5+4.562%
vs Weaker (12)90.684.7175.2+5.967%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
60avg 64
A29/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
44avg 64
H04/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 64
A11/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
79avg 64
H15/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 64
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 64
H25/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 64
A01/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 64
A09/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 64
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
86avg 64
A30/09
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
20-16
9-21
17-20
7-19
14-15
17-18
20-17
17-20
13-23
20-12
12-25
16-23
22-14
18-13
21-19
21-21
15-20
13-23
20-21
15-17
24-7
22-26
16-22
27-21
20-19
21-22
20-29
15-22
10-21
21-22
24-22
18-23
25-23
10-23
25-15
13-18
18-21
21-22
24-15
153.9Avg total
73.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.580.4153.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)81.084.2165.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.081.2151.1-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.076.8157.8+4.280%
vs Weaker (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
SamoborAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/04
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A16/05
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#29
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#29
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
82.7Avg total
39.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.086.2+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.743.890.5+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.281.9-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.882.7-2.910%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.280.8-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.045.888.8-2.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.040.981.9+0.138%-
vs Weaker (12)44.842.186.9+2.858%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/03
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H04/04
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/04
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A01/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A09/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A30/09
ENBL
73.4Avg total
34.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.340.675.9-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.938.474.2-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)34.842.677.4-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)34.838.673.4-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.041.075.0-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.838.678.4+1.280%-
vs Weaker (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.1
49.7%
54.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.7
36.9%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
71.7%13.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.8
47.4%
54.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.6
33.0%
34.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.911.1
65.7%
71.7%11.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLLLLWWLWL
Alkar
WLLLWLWLLL
#11
League position
#10
-7.5
Net rating
-7.8
90.9
Offensive rating
87.1
98.3
Defensive rating
94.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
48.1%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.9%
3-point %
33.0%
69.1%
Assist %
58.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 87.1Defence98.3 · 94.9Shooting52.1% · 48.1%3-point %36.9% · 33.0%Ball care18.2% · 15.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Samobor   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
2
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Alkar v Samobor69-65
25/01/26Samobor v Alkar71-77
09/11/25Alkar v Samobor76-79
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
16/05/26ADubrovnik69-77
13/05/26HDubrovnik81-86
09/05/26HDinamo Zagreb110-91
02/05/26ADubrava76-66
29/04/26HZadar84-88
24/04/26HKvarner92-81
19/04/26ACedevita Junior75-88
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/26AZrinjski Mostar92-87 OT
27/09/26HCibona78-84
09/05/26ADubrovnik70-87
01/05/26AGKK Sibenka88-91
25/04/26HDinamo Zagreb77-72
19/04/26ADubrava69-85
15/04/26HKvarner77-69
11/04/26ACedevita Junior62-80
04/04/26HZadar58-69
29/03/26ASplit64-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game59.0-59.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential-22.0--22.0
Avg total140.0-140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential-6.0-6.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar220100%94.064.0+30.0
2 Split220100%87.569.5+18.0
3 Cibona220100%92.081.0+11.0
4 Dinamo Zagreb220100%87.081.5+5.5
5 Cedevita Junior220100%92.588.5+4.0
6 Skrljevo21150%75.089.5-14.5
7 Alkar1010%78.084.0-6.0
8 Dubrava2020%78.085.0-7.0
9 Zabok2020%81.090.0-9.0
10 Dubrovnik2020%75.587.5-12.0
11 Kvarner2020%83.095.0-12.0
12 Samobor1010%59.081.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Samobor17221629791
Alkar211626211195
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