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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2011
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 96-99
30-22 33-23 17-26 16-28
Position#4
Record43-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#8
Record39-22
FormWLWWW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game94.3
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
117-112
117
112
+5
H09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
106-92
106
92
+14
A12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
110-103
110
103
+7
A16/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
117-97
117
97
+20
H23/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H28/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
27-17
23-25
27-18
33-29
30-37
27-31
27-15
25-21
39-22
22-22
20-27
20-15
23-24
18-35
21-11
41-19
17-35
24-29
28-20
29-27
21-19
30-26
23-23
35-16
28-28
30-26
24-27
31-23
22-21
14-27
22-22
20-25
43-36
25-23
33-29
34-23
17-29
15-13
20-26
198.8Avg total
102.8Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)102.094.4196.4+7.672%
Season at home (28)103.893.9197.7+9.979%
Season away (32)100.494.8195.2+5.666%
Last 10 (10)102.896.0198.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)103.297.8201.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)96.798.6195.3-1.943%
vs Weaker (23)105.196.9202.0+8.283%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H09/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
99-95
99
95
+4
A10/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
L
93-99
93
99
-6
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H13/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
105-111
105
111
-6
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
111-88
111
88
+23
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
116-110
116
110
+6
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
21-29
18-24
19-21
21-23
21-23
24-19
35-20
18-27
31-20
25-22
25-26
24-28
28-33
28-19
13-19
24-21
21-20
22-19
22-15
17-18
31-21
32-16
21-21
25-31
36-27
23-21
21-32
28-22
31-26
21-22
31-18
30-28
29-23
21-18
20-17
32-21
15-37
32-26
37-26
191.1Avg total
99.5Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)100.394.3194.6+6.064%
Season at home (33)101.991.7193.6+10.273%
Season away (28)98.497.2195.6+1.154%
Last 10 (10)99.591.6191.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)106.694.2200.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)103.899.7203.5+4.145%
vs Weaker (19)103.893.5197.3+10.379%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A16/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H23/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H28/02
NBA
104.0Avg total
55.5Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.349.3102.5+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.249.6103.8+4.758%-
Last 30 away (18)52.649.1101.7+3.683%-
Last 10 (10)55.548.5104.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)56.049.4105.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)51.147.999.0+3.386%-
vs Weaker (23)53.949.7103.6+4.270%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A10/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#12
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H13/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H02/03
NBA
100.0Avg total
50.5Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.849.8101.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.548.599.1+2.059%-
Last 30 away (13)53.451.5104.8+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)50.549.5100.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)54.850.8105.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)53.451.5104.9+1.855%-
vs Weaker (19)50.848.899.6+2.158%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/11HNew York Knicks86-91
26/02/11HWashington Wizards121-113
25/02/11AChicago Bulls89-93
23/02/11HSacramento Kings117-97
17/02/11AToronto Raptors103-95
16/02/11AIndiana Pacers110-103
13/02/11ABoston Celtics82-85
12/02/11ADetroit Pistons106-92
09/02/11HIndiana Pacers117-112
06/02/11HLos Angeles Clippers97-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/11HNew York Knicks116-110
27/02/11HCharlotte Hornets100-86
26/02/11HOklahoma City Thunder111-88
24/02/11HSacramento Kings105-111
17/02/11HWashington Wizards101-76
13/02/11HLos Angeles Lakers89-75
12/02/11HNew Orleans Pelicans93-99
10/02/11APhiladelphia 76ers99-95
09/02/11HLos Angeles Clippers101-85
06/02/11ABoston Celtics80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayWLWWL66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602832
Win %72%79%66%
Points / game102.0103.8100.4
Allowed / game94.493.994.8
Point differential+7.6+9.9+5.6
Avg total196.4197.7195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%46%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (16)29% (7)33% (9)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613328
Win %64%73%54%
Points / game100.3101.998.4
Allowed / game94.391.797.2
Point differential+6.0+10.2+1.1
Avg total194.6193.6195.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %3%3%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs61501182%103.496.6+6.8
2 Boston Celtics59441575%98.391.5+6.7
3 Dallas Mavericks60441673%99.695.7+4.0
4 Miami Heat60431772%102.094.4+7.6
5 Chicago Bulls59411869%98.192.1+6.0
6 Los Angeles Lakers62431969%102.095.8+6.3
7 Orlando Magic61392264%100.394.3+6.0
8 Oklahoma City Thunder59372263%104.3102.0+2.4
9 Atlanta Hawks61372461%96.095.1+0.9
10 Denver Nuggets62362658%107.5104.1+3.5
11 Portland Trail Blazers61342756%96.395.9+0.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans63352856%94.592.9+1.7
13 Memphis Grizzlies62342855%100.098.0+2.0
14 New York Knicks59312853%106.2105.5+0.7
15 Phoenix Suns59312853%105.2105.3-0.1
16 Utah Jazz61322952%99.6100.2-0.6
17 Philadelphia 76ers60303050%98.596.8+1.8
18 Houston Rockets63313249%105.5104.6+0.9
19 Indiana Pacers60273345%99.7100.1-0.5
20 Golden State Warriors60273345%102.7105.8-3.1
21 Charlotte Hornets60263443%94.097.1-3.1
22 Milwaukee Bucks59233639%91.492.8-1.4
23 Los Angeles Clippers62224035%98.4101.9-3.5
24 Detroit Pistons63224135%95.599.7-4.2
25 Brooklyn Nets60174328%92.999.2-6.3
26 Toronto Raptors61174428%98.8104.8-6.0
27 Sacramento Kings59154425%98.0103.6-5.6
28 Washington Wizards60154525%96.7103.9-7.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves62154724%101.6107.4-5.8
30 Cleveland Cavaliers60114918%95.8106.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3033171696
Orlando Magic2223262899
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