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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Feb 2011
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-103
27-29 19-21 26-30 23-23
Position#28
Record15-40
FormWLLLW
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game104.5
vs
Position#4
Record40-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game94.1
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
15 Jan 2027
TOR v MIA
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
TOR128
MIA114
07 Apr 2026
TOR121
MIA95
21 Feb 2025
TOR111
MIA120
01 Dec 2024
TOR119
MIA116
17 Jan 2024
TOR121
MIA97
06 Dec 2023
TOR103
MIA112
28 Mar 2023
TOR106
MIA92
16 Nov 2022
TOR112
MIA104
03 Apr 2022
TOR109
MIA114
01 Feb 2022
TOR110
MIA106
22 Jan 2021
TOR101
MIA81
20 Jan 2021
TOR102
MIA111
18 Dec 2020
TOR105
MIA117
03 Dec 2019
TOR110
MIA121
07 Apr 2019
TOR117
MIA109
25 Nov 2018
TOR125
MIA115
13 Feb 2018
TOR115
MIA112
09 Jan 2018
TOR89
MIA90
07 Apr 2017
TOR96
MIA94
04 Nov 2016
TOR96
MIA87
15 May 2016
TOR116
MIA89
11 May 2016
TOR99
MIA91
05 May 2016
TOR96
MIA92
03 May 2016
TOR96
MIA102
12 Mar 2016
TOR112
MIA104
22 Jan 2016
TOR101
MIA81
13 Mar 2015
TOR102
MIA92
29 Nov 2013
TOR83
MIA90
05 Nov 2013
TOR95
MIA104
17 Mar 2013
TOR91
MIA108
03 Feb 2013
TOR85
MIA100
30 Mar 2012
TOR101
MIA113
13 Apr 2011
TOR79
MIA97
16 Feb 2011
TOR95
MIA103
27 Jan 2010
TOR111
MIA103
20 Nov 2009
TOR120
MIA113
06 Mar 2009
TOR102
MIA108
16 Nov 2008
TOR107
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
94-107
94
107
-13
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
110-116 OT
110
116
-6
H29/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A30/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A03/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
111-100
111
100
+11
H05/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-111
100
111
-11
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
98-93
98
93
+5
H13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
21-30
27-34
17-23
22-32
35-23
21-26
26-23
20-21
19-28
20-31
28-23
21-32
24-19
25-24
23-29
24-28
21-26
24-21
18-25
33-31
26-24
27-25
25-20
17-24
21-16
20-26
16-26
29-31
27-29
28-21
16-30
19-23
28-32
23-17
26-30
24-24
24-24
30-23
20-22
197.8Avg total
95.0Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)98.7104.5203.2-5.827%
Season at home (27)101.1103.5204.6-2.337%
Season away (28)96.3105.5201.8-9.118%
Last 10 (10)95.0102.8197.8-7.820%
Last 5 (5)95.899.6195.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)93.0104.7197.7-11.75%
vs Similar (9)101.7102.1203.8-0.456%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
108-103
108
103
+5
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
117-90
117
90
+27
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
W
104-100
104
100
+4
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
109-97
109
97
+12
A05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
117-112
117
112
+5
H09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
106-92
106
92
+14
A12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
110-103
110
103
+7
A16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
20-20
25-26
24-19
35-38
29-23
21-24
23-18
35-20
31-37
23-15
28-18
30-26
25-19
24-18
25-37
29-26
30-29
24-22
26-20
20-19
27-17
23-25
27-18
33-29
30-37
27-31
27-15
25-21
39-22
22-22
20-27
20-15
23-24
18-35
21-11
41-19
17-35
24-29
28-20
198.6Avg total
103.8Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)101.994.1196.0+7.873%
Season at home (25)103.393.1196.4+10.280%
Season away (30)100.794.9195.6+5.867%
Last 10 (10)103.894.8198.6+9.090%
Last 5 (5)102.494.2196.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)97.799.3197.0-1.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)104.295.5199.7+8.787%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H29/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A03/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H05/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H12/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H13/02
NBA
100.1Avg total
48.4Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.953.0100.9-5.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.254.5104.7-4.320%-
Last 30 away (15)45.651.597.1-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)48.451.7100.1-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)49.651.6101.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)47.052.799.7-5.819%-
vs Similar (9)50.153.7103.8-3.633%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A30/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A05/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H06/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#20
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A16/02
NBA
105.6Avg total
55.8Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.149.4101.5+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.448.7100.1+2.850%-
Last 30 away (18)52.649.8102.4+2.872%-
Last 10 (10)55.849.8105.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)55.047.6102.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)49.947.797.6+2.186%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)52.849.9102.7+3.057%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/11HLos Angeles Clippers98-93
12/02/11HPortland Trail Blazers96-102
10/02/11HSan Antonio Spurs100-111
09/02/11AMilwaukee Bucks74-92
05/02/11HMinnesota Timberwolves111-100
03/02/11AAtlanta Hawks87-100
01/02/11AIndiana Pacers93-104
30/01/11AMinnesota Timberwolves87-103
29/01/11HMilwaukee Bucks110-116 OT
27/01/11HPhiladelphia 76ers94-107
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/11AIndiana Pacers110-103
13/02/11ABoston Celtics82-85
12/02/11ADetroit Pistons106-92
09/02/11HIndiana Pacers117-112
06/02/11HLos Angeles Clippers97-79
05/02/11ACharlotte Hornets109-97
04/02/11AOrlando Magic104-100
01/02/11HCleveland Cavaliers117-90
30/01/11AOklahoma City Thunder108-103
29/01/11HDetroit Pistons88-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW27%
HomeLWLLW37%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %27%37%18%
Points / game98.7101.196.3
Allowed / game104.5103.5105.5
Point differential-5.8-2.3-9.1
Avg total203.2204.6201.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%22%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)33% (6)29% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552530
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game101.9103.3100.7
Allowed / game94.193.194.9
Point differential+7.8+10.2+5.8
Avg total196.0196.4195.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%48%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)33% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs5546984%103.596.1+7.4
2 Boston Celtics53391474%98.091.4+6.6
3 Miami Heat55401573%101.994.1+7.8
4 Dallas Mavericks54381670%98.395.3+3.0
5 Chicago Bulls53371670%98.292.3+5.9
6 Los Angeles Lakers56381868%102.396.3+6.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder54351965%104.7102.4+2.3
8 Atlanta Hawks54342063%96.995.3+1.6
9 Orlando Magic56352162%99.794.3+5.5
10 New Orleans Pelicans57332458%94.792.7+2.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers55312456%96.195.4+0.6
12 Denver Nuggets56312555%107.8105.5+2.3
13 Utah Jazz56312555%99.499.6-0.2
14 Memphis Grizzlies57312654%99.697.9+1.6
15 New York Knicks53272651%106.3106.1+0.2
16 Phoenix Suns53272651%105.1105.4-0.3
17 Philadelphia 76ers55262947%97.996.8+1.1
18 Houston Rockets56263046%105.1104.7+0.4
19 Golden State Warriors54252946%102.9105.6-2.7
20 Indiana Pacers53242945%99.399.5-0.2
21 Charlotte Hornets56243243%93.896.6-2.8
22 Milwaukee Bucks54213339%91.492.7-1.3
23 Los Angeles Clippers55203536%98.8101.9-3.1
24 Detroit Pistons56203636%94.598.7-4.2
25 Brooklyn Nets56173930%92.698.7-6.1
26 Washington Wizards53153828%97.0103.1-6.1
27 Toronto Raptors55154027%98.7104.5-5.8
28 Sacramento Kings52133925%97.6102.6-5.0
29 Minnesota Timberwolves55134224%102.3108.1-5.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers5594616%94.9105.9-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors2719262395
Miami Heat29213023103
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