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San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 121-125
31-38 28-26 34-29 28-32
Position#26
Record5-28
FormLWLLL
Points / game110.9
Allowed / game122.8
vs
Position#8
Record23-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game124.3
Allowed / game119.4
USANBA· AT&T Center (San Antonio)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Milwaukee Bucks
21 Dec 2026
SAS v MIL
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
SAS119
MIL101
31 Jan 2025
SAS144
MIL118
04 Jan 2024
SAS121
MIL125
11 Nov 2022
SAS111
MIL93
23 Oct 2021
SAS111
MIL121
10 May 2021
SAS146
MIL125
06 Jan 2020
SAS126
MIL104
10 Mar 2019
SAS121
MIL114
10 Nov 2017
SAS87
MIL94
10 Jan 2017
SAS107
MIL109
02 Dec 2015
SAS95
MIL70
25 Jan 2015
SAS101
MIL95
19 Jan 2014
SAS110
MIL82
05 Dec 2012
SAS110
MIL99
15 Dec 2010
SAS92
MIL90
23 Nov 2009
SAS112
MIL98
30 Dec 2008
SAS98
MIL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
129-115
129
115
+14
128avg 104
H16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
110-146
110
146
-36
98avg 104
H17/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
119-132
119
132
-13
114avg 104
A20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
95-114
95
114
-19
88avg 104
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
119-144
119
144
-25
109avg 104
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
118-130
118
130
-12
111avg 104
H27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
118-105
118
105
+13
118avg 104
A29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
128-134
128
134
-6
121avg 104
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
101-134
101
134
-33
89avg 104
H01/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
98-106
98
106
-8
85avg 104
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-22
27-40
29-25
31-28
20-33
31-28
27-44
32-41
26-44
33-28
26-35
34-25
28-27
20-25
22-25
25-37
29-40
37-32
20-45
33-27
32-27
28-37
33-36
25-30
38-14
21-31
28-29
31-31
29-29
27-42
38-33
34-30
22-30
31-35
23-40
25-29
23-20
17-27
28-33
30-26
239.5Avg total
113.5Scored
126.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)110.9122.8233.8-11.915%
Season at home (16)114.8124.6239.4-9.812%
Season away (17)107.3121.2228.5-13.918%
Last 10 (10)113.5126.0239.5-12.520%
Last 5 (5)112.6121.8234.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)110.3123.5233.8-13.212%
vs Similar (6)114.3119.7234.0-5.317%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
146-114
146
114
+32
144avg 114
H16/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
128-119
128
119
+9
121avg 114
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
132-119
132
119
+13
124avg 114
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
118-114
118
114
+4
112avg 114
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
130-111
130
111
+19
127avg 114
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
122-129
122
129
-7
112avg 114
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
144-122
144
122
+22
149avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 114
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-122
113
122
-9
104avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
130-142
130
142
-12
123avg 114
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-20
38-36
33-27
32-31
33-28
38-32
29-31
28-28
44-26
28-33
35-26
25-34
28-31
31-25
32-26
27-32
36-27
26-27
38-33
30-24
27-36
24-26
36-36
35-31
32-31
34-28
34-33
44-30
31-37
21-22
40-21
27-31
32-25
30-31
26-28
25-38
31-33
37-33
29-47
33-29
248.5Avg total
128.2Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)124.3119.4243.7+4.972%
Season at home (17)124.2118.2242.4+6.088%
Season away (15)124.4120.7245.1+3.753%
Last 10 (10)128.2120.3248.5+7.970%
Last 5 (5)125.6125.2250.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0119.0235.0-3.00%
vs Similar (17)122.4119.9242.2+2.565%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)129.4118.2247.7+11.292%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
San Antonio SpursMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H17/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A20/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A22/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A24/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H27/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H01/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/01
NBA
117.2Avg total
56.1Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.359.3115.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.657.4114.9+0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)55.261.1116.3-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)56.161.1117.2-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)53.658.4112.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)56.461.1117.5-4.825%-
vs Similar (6)56.252.2108.3+4.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H16/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A04/01
NBA
123.1Avg total
64.4Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.659.2120.8+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.557.6122.1+6.987%-
Last 30 away (15)58.760.7119.5-2.047%-
Last 10 (10)64.458.7123.1+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)59.860.4120.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.067.0120.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (17)60.558.1118.6+2.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)63.860.0123.8+3.867%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.129.5
53.5%
54.4%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.912.8
34.7%
36.3%38.4
🏀 Free throws21.016.1
76.7%
78.2%16.1
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 128.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.930.7
59.2%
54.4%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.9
37.7%
36.3%44.7
🏀 Free throws27.322.1
81.0%
78.2%22.1
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LLLWLLLLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLWWWWW
#26
League position
#8
-12.0
Net rating
+7.5
108.5
Offensive rating
121.6
120.5
Defensive rating
114.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
58.0%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
12.0%
Turnover %
11.8%
19.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
37.7%
70.0%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 121.6Defence120.5 · 114.1Shooting52.9% · 58.0%3-point %34.7% · 37.7%Ball care12.0% · 11.8%Off. rebounds19.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AMemphis Grizzlies98-106
01/01/24HBoston Celtics101-134
30/12/23APortland Trail Blazers128-134
29/12/23APortland Trail Blazers118-105
27/12/23HUtah Jazz118-130
24/12/23ADallas Mavericks119-144
22/12/23AChicago Bulls95-114
20/12/23AMilwaukee Bucks119-132
17/12/23HNew Orleans Pelicans110-146
16/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers129-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AIndiana Pacers130-142
02/01/24HIndiana Pacers113-122
30/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers119-111
28/12/23ABrooklyn Nets144-122
25/12/23ANew York Knicks122-129
23/12/23ANew York Knicks130-111
22/12/23HOrlando Magic118-114
20/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs132-119
18/12/23HHouston Rockets128-119
16/12/23HDetroit Pistons146-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %15%12%18%
Points / game110.9114.8107.3
Allowed / game122.8124.6121.2
Point differential-11.9-9.8-13.9
Avg total233.8239.4228.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL72%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %72%88%53%
Points / game124.3124.2124.4
Allowed / game119.4118.2120.7
Point differential+4.9+6.0+3.7
Avg total243.7242.4245.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%24%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3226681%121.1110.4+10.7
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3324973%112.8107.8+5.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks3223972%124.3119.4+4.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers33231070%120.7110.5+10.2
5 Oklahoma City Thunder33231070%122.0113.9+8.1
6 Denver Nuggets35241169%115.1109.8+5.4
7 Los Angeles Clippers33211264%117.2112.2+4.9
8 Sacramento Kings32201262%117.8116.8+0.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans33201361%116.4111.2+5.2
10 Miami Heat34201459%112.9111.5+1.4
11 New York Knicks33191458%115.1112.3+2.8
12 Dallas Mavericks35201557%118.5117.4+1.1
13 Orlando Magic34191556%113.6111.8+1.8
14 Cleveland Cavaliers34191556%113.1112.1+1.1
15 Indiana Pacers31171455%127.0125.2+1.8
16 Phoenix Suns33181555%115.8114.3+1.5
17 Houston Rockets32171553%113.0109.6+3.5
18 Golden State Warriors33161748%116.9116.3+0.6
19 Utah Jazz35161946%114.9118.8-3.9
20 Los Angeles Lakers33151845%113.4115.7-2.4
21 Brooklyn Nets35152043%114.3116.1-1.8
22 Atlanta Hawks33141942%122.8123.2-0.4
23 Chicago Bulls36152142%109.2112.1-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors34142041%114.0115.1-1.0
25 Memphis Grizzlies34112332%106.9113.4-6.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers3392427%108.4115.3-6.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3282425%110.0120.6-10.5
28 Washington Wizards3362718%116.2126.6-10.4
29 San Antonio Spurs3352815%110.9122.8-11.9
30 Detroit Pistons343319%111.5122.6-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs31283428121
Milwaukee Bucks38262932125
← all games of the day
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