PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 119-101
31-27 35-26 40-16 13-32
Position#2
Record25-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game112.7
vs
Position#21
Record17-23
FormWLWLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Milwaukee Bucks
21 Dec 2026
SAS v MIL
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
SAS119
MIL101
31 Jan 2025
SAS144
MIL118
04 Jan 2024
SAS121
MIL125
11 Nov 2022
SAS111
MIL93
23 Oct 2021
SAS111
MIL121
10 May 2021
SAS146
MIL125
06 Jan 2020
SAS126
MIL104
10 Mar 2019
SAS121
MIL114
10 Nov 2017
SAS87
MIL94
10 Jan 2017
SAS107
MIL109
02 Dec 2015
SAS95
MIL70
25 Jan 2015
SAS101
MIL95
19 Jan 2014
SAS110
MIL82
05 Dec 2012
SAS110
MIL99
15 Dec 2010
SAS92
MIL90
23 Nov 2009
SAS112
MIL98
30 Dec 2008
SAS98
MIL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
L
114-127
114
127
-13
105avg 109
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 109
H30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
134-132
134
132
+2
128avg 109
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
123-113
123
113
+10
110avg 109
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-115
110
115
-5
103avg 109
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
105-106
105
106
-1
92avg 109
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 109
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
88avg 109
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
103-104
103
104
-1
92avg 109
A12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
98-119
98
119
-21
85avg 109
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-32
20-38
27-28
27-29
26-25
29-24
23-27
23-37
36-45
27-28
30-29
41-30
30-31
41-27
22-27
30-28
24-35
27-20
29-32
30-28
31-21
23-25
27-36
24-24
26-23
22-20
31-25
28-23
21-26
29-29
23-20
27-20
31-24
24-18
30-29
18-33
26-32
26-23
24-40
22-24
221.0Avg total
109.5Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)117.4112.7230.1+4.766%
Season at home (18)118.4111.8230.2+6.672%
Season away (20)116.5113.5230.1+3.060%
Last 10 (10)109.5111.5221.0-2.040%
Last 5 (5)102.6103.0205.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)119.7115.7235.3+4.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)116.5113.0229.5+3.558%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-125
104
125
-21
94avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
123-113
123
113
+10
116avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 107
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-121
122
121
+1
118avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
115-98
115
98
+17
109avg 107
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 107
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-108
104
108
-4
100avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
106-139
106
139
-33
96avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
15-35
33-32
21-33
28-26
26-24
31-30
27-23
25-26
38-40
32-23
28-24
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
24-38
27-22
36-31
35-30
28-26
34-18
23-25
30-29
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
23-27
29-35
22-23
30-23
20-38
25-38
33-30
28-33
225.9Avg total
111.7Scored
114.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)112.7115.7228.4-3.042%
Season at home (19)116.6117.8234.4-1.247%
Season away (21)109.2113.8223.0-4.638%
Last 10 (10)111.7114.2225.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)108.6113.2221.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)110.1116.1226.3-6.029%
vs Similar (7)108.0108.6216.6-0.671%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
San Antonio SpursMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#26
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
71-58
71
58
+13
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H04/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A12/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A14/01
NBA
110.5Avg total
55.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.155.4115.5+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.055.9113.9+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)61.955.1117.0+6.975%-
Last 10 (10)55.954.6110.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.848.2100.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)58.562.8121.3-4.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)60.553.6114.1+6.983%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
45-76
45
76
-31
H14/01
NBA
115.2Avg total
55.3Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.059.5114.5-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.663.2116.8-9.615%-
Last 30 away (17)56.156.6112.7-0.641%-
Last 10 (10)55.359.9115.2-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)54.659.6114.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)53.661.4115.0-7.819%-
vs Similar (7)56.753.3110.0+3.457%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.527.9
52.1%
54.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.910.8
28.5%
35.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws26.321.3
81.0%
78.1%21.3
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.327.0
54.8%
54.8%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.8
38.5%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
78.1%16.3
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LLWWLLWWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#21
-1.9
Net rating
-2.5
106.6
Offensive rating
113.1
108.5
Defensive rating
115.7
48.2%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.8%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.5%
3-point %
38.5%
61.8%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 113.1Defence108.5 · 115.7Shooting48.2% · 56.1%3-point %28.5% · 38.5%Ball care11.5% · 13.8%Off. rebounds23.8% · 23.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder98-119
12/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves103-104
11/01/26ABoston Celtics100-95
08/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-91
07/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies105-106
04/01/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-115
03/01/26AIndiana Pacers123-113
01/01/26HNew York Knicks134-132
30/12/25HCleveland Cavaliers101-113
28/12/25HUtah Jazz114-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves106-139
12/01/26ADenver Nuggets104-108
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120
05/01/26ASacramento Kings115-98
03/01/26HCharlotte Hornets122-121
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
30/12/25ACharlotte Hornets123-113
28/12/25AChicago Bulls112-103
27/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL66%
HomeLLWLW72%
AwayWLWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %66%72%60%
Points / game117.4118.4116.5
Allowed / game112.7111.8113.5
Point differential+4.7+6.6+3.0
Avg total230.1230.2230.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)25% (4)67% (9)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %42%47%38%
Points / game112.7116.6109.2
Allowed / game115.7117.8113.8
Point differential-3.0-1.2-4.6
Avg total228.4234.4223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%37%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4034685%121.0108.1+12.9
2 Detroit Pistons39291074%117.6111.1+6.5
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%122.6117.2+5.3
4 Minnesota Timberwolves41271466%120.3114.6+5.8
5 San Antonio Spurs38251366%117.4112.7+4.7
6 Los Angeles Lakers37241365%116.4116.0+0.4
7 Boston Celtics40251562%116.7110.2+6.5
8 Toronto Raptors41251661%114.2112.0+2.2
9 Houston Rockets38231561%117.2110.8+6.4
10 New York Knicks38231561%118.7115.1+3.6
11 Phoenix Suns40241660%115.2111.4+3.8
12 Orlando Magic39221756%116.2114.6+1.5
13 Philadelphia 76ers39221756%116.8115.6+1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers42231955%120.1117.5+2.6
15 Golden State Warriors41221954%115.5113.2+2.3
16 Miami Heat40211952%119.7117.8+1.9
17 Atlanta Hawks42202248%118.3118.9-0.6
18 Chicago Bulls40192148%117.5120.9-3.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers41192246%115.8118.9-3.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers40172342%112.2113.3-1.0
21 Memphis Grizzlies40172342%114.8116.2-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks40172342%112.7115.7-3.0
23 Dallas Mavericks41152637%112.9116.9-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets40142635%116.1116.7-0.5
25 Utah Jazz40142635%119.3127.0-7.7
26 Brooklyn Nets38112729%108.8113.9-5.1
27 Sacramento Kings41113027%110.2120.7-10.5
28 Washington Wizards39102926%112.6123.9-11.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans43103323%114.9122.2-7.3
30 Indiana Pacers4193222%110.6118.3-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs31354013119
Milwaukee Bucks27261632101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.