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San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 107-109
23-23 36-30 30-30 18-26
Position#2
Record30-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game97.5
vs
Position#14
Record18-18
FormWWWLL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.9
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Milwaukee Bucks
21 Dec 2026
SAS v MIL
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
SAS119
MIL101
31 Jan 2025
SAS144
MIL118
04 Jan 2024
SAS121
MIL125
11 Nov 2022
SAS111
MIL93
23 Oct 2021
SAS111
MIL121
10 May 2021
SAS146
MIL125
06 Jan 2020
SAS126
MIL104
10 Mar 2019
SAS121
MIL114
10 Nov 2017
SAS87
MIL94
10 Jan 2017
SAS107
MIL109
02 Dec 2015
SAS95
MIL70
25 Jan 2015
SAS101
MIL95
19 Jan 2014
SAS110
MIL82
05 Dec 2012
SAS110
MIL99
15 Dec 2010
SAS92
MIL90
23 Nov 2009
SAS112
MIL98
30 Dec 2008
SAS98
MIL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
101-106
101
106
-5
91avg 98
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 98
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
119-100
119
100
+19
119avg 98
H25/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
119-98
119
98
+21
112avg 98
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
110-94
110
94
+16
109avg 98
H31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
107avg 98
A01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
110-82
110
82
+28
115avg 98
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
127-99
127
99
+28
127avg 98
A06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
102-85
102
85
+17
95avg 98
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
26-21
19-33
31-22
22-27
23-30
28-24
28-25
27-27
30-18
30-27
23-18
36-25
19-25
32-26
32-24
30-27
28-37
31-18
30-16
22-32
25-20
33-21
30-21
27-25
19-19
28-25
26-31
29-18
31-23
28-17
22-24
29-33
29-20
32-24
37-22
24-24
23-26
26-14
29-21
208.0Avg total
111.2Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)106.097.5203.5+8.581%
Season at home (17)103.995.9199.8+8.176%
Season away (20)107.898.9206.7+8.885%
Last 10 (10)111.296.8208.0+14.480%
Last 5 (5)112.294.8207.0+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)103.697.8201.4+5.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)107.497.6205.0+9.988%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
102-113
102
113
-11
96avg 95
A22/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
123-96
123
96
+27
125avg 95
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
102-107
102
107
-5
94avg 95
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
119-94
119
94
+25
122avg 95
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
99-116
99
116
-17
91avg 95
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
116-96
116
96
+20
119avg 95
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
98-94
98
94
+4
88avg 95
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
105-104
105
104
+1
97avg 95
A05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
111-116
111
116
-5
104avg 95
H07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
101-107
101
107
-6
92avg 95
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
32-28
23-33
25-21
37-29
36-29
27-20
23-18
27-28
30-25
27-29
18-25
31-28
31-26
28-21
29-19
21-34
27-21
23-30
28-31
22-27
27-24
31-25
36-20
22-30
28-26
29-16
19-22
27-25
25-27
21-35
32-17
33-32
32-21
31-30
15-33
31-24
26-25
21-33
23-25
211.9Avg total
107.6Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)105.0102.9207.9+2.150%
Season at home (20)108.7104.2212.9+4.455%
Season away (16)100.4101.2201.6-0.944%
Last 10 (10)107.6104.3211.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)106.2103.4209.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)109.0109.8218.8-0.820%
vs Similar (21)103.1102.4205.6+0.743%
vs Weaker (4)105.095.2200.2+9.8100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
San Antonio SpursMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H29/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H31/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A06/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/01
NBA
102.6Avg total
52.5Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.449.0100.4+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.551.0105.5+3.543%-
Last 30 away (16)48.747.295.9+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)52.550.1102.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)51.648.099.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)53.249.2102.4+4.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)51.049.0100.0+2.148%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A22/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H08/01
NBA
110.7Avg total
56.7Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.351.4104.7+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.550.6106.1+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)50.852.3103.1-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)56.754.0110.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.652.2106.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)55.854.8110.6+1.040%-
vs Similar (21)52.951.4104.3+1.543%-
vs Weaker (4)52.246.899.0+5.5100%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.631.6
51.3%
50.2%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.810.2
44.7%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.417.4
81.3%
77.0%17.4
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.931.4
54.2%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.9
41.6%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.218.1
74.8%
77.0%18.1
They take 79.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWLWWWWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWWLWLWL
#2
League position
#14
+15.0
Net rating
+3.5
115.9
Offensive rating
113.5
100.9
Defensive rating
110.0
55.6%
Effective FG%
56.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
44.7%
3-point %
41.6%
60.5%
Assist %
63.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 113.5Defence100.9 · 110.0Shooting55.6% · 56.4%3-point %44.7% · 41.6%Ball care13.5% · 12.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 18.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HCharlotte Hornets102-85
06/01/17ADenver Nuggets127-99
04/01/17HToronto Raptors110-82
01/01/17AAtlanta Hawks112-114 OT
31/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers110-94
29/12/16HPhoenix Suns119-98
25/12/16HChicago Bulls119-100
24/12/16APortland Trail Blazers110-90
23/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers101-106
21/12/16AHouston Rockets102-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HWashington Wizards101-107
07/01/17HNew York Knicks111-116
05/01/17ANew York Knicks105-104
03/01/17HOklahoma City Thunder98-94
01/01/17AChicago Bulls116-96
31/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves99-116
29/12/16ADetroit Pistons119-94
27/12/16AWashington Wizards102-107
24/12/16HWashington Wizards123-96
22/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers102-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371720
Win %81%76%85%
Points / game106.0103.9107.8
Allowed / game97.595.998.9
Point differential+8.5+8.1+8.8
Avg total203.5199.8206.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%53%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWLL55%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game105.0108.7100.4
Allowed / game102.9104.2101.2
Point differential+2.1+4.4-0.9
Avg total207.9212.9201.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)43% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %6%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3832684%117.5105.7+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3730781%106.097.5+8.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3628878%110.2103.6+6.7
4 Houston Rockets4031978%114.8107.2+7.7
5 Toronto Raptors38251366%110.7104.4+6.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers40261465%107.9102.5+5.5
7 Boston Celtics38231561%106.8104.7+2.1
8 Memphis Grizzlies40241660%99.398.6+0.7
9 Utah Jazz39231659%98.395.0+3.3
10 Oklahoma City Thunder39231659%106.9105.0+1.9
11 Atlanta Hawks38221658%102.7102.6+0.1
12 Indiana Pacers38201853%105.8106.2-0.4
13 Washington Wizards37191851%105.3105.8-0.5
14 Charlotte Hornets39201951%105.5104.0+1.5
15 Milwaukee Bucks36181850%105.0102.9+2.1
16 Chicago Bulls39192049%101.5101.4+0.1
17 Detroit Pistons39182146%100.3100.3+0.0
18 New York Knicks38172145%105.5108.9-3.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers39162341%108.2111.5-3.3
20 Orlando Magic39162341%98.9103.7-4.8
21 Sacramento Kings37152241%102.3105.0-2.7
22 New Orleans Pelicans39152438%102.4105.4-3.0
23 Denver Nuggets37142338%108.0111.2-3.2
24 Los Angeles Lakers41152637%105.3109.8-4.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves38122632%103.0104.5-1.5
26 Phoenix Suns38122632%105.9111.9-6.0
27 Dallas Mavericks38112729%95.1100.7-5.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers35102529%99.2105.9-6.6
29 Miami Heat39112828%98.1102.3-4.2
30 Brooklyn Nets3782922%105.1114.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs23363018107
Milwaukee Bucks23303026109
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