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San Diego State vs UNLV Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#61
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game73.0
San Diego State
USA
vs
UNLV
USA
Position#72
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Diego State v UNLV
05 Dec 2026
SAN v UNLV
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
SAN 89
UNLV86
18 Jan 2025
SAN 68
UNLV76
06 Jan 2024
SAN 72
UNLV61
11 Feb 2023
SAN 82
UNLV71
24 Jan 2022
SAN 80
UNLV55
22 Feb 2020
SAN 63
UNLV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A14/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#166
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H04/11
NCAA
Colorado
#215
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A07/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#365
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-33
43-39
37-36
39-45
27-34
50-52
42-39
47-47
39-27
32-35
37-33
27-29
35-34
27-39
54-43
48-35
35-17
42-49
36-35
52-40
153.6Avg total
79.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
Season at home (2)95.076.5171.5+18.5100%
Season away (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.574.1153.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)78.670.8149.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.870.0137.8-2.240%
vs Similar (14)75.071.3146.3+3.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.167.1155.2+21.0100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H04/11
NCAA
Samford
#284
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
57-35
24-42
43-38
35-37
39-37
32-24
60-41
39-42
47-47
44-31
29-39
23-37
37-43
43-47
46-30
45-40
43-39
39-33
37-35
156.4Avg total
80.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.374.7159.0+9.7100%
Season at home (3)84.374.7159.0+9.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.775.7156.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)77.274.8152.0+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.981.5155.4-7.625%
vs Similar (10)80.682.0162.6-1.470%
vs Weaker (8)80.965.6146.5+15.288%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.4+5.4
San Diego StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#166
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Colorado
#215
W
35-17
35
17
+18
A07/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#365
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H11/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
38.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.631.670.2+7.083%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.431.472.8+10.1100%-
Last 30 away (13)35.031.966.9+3.162%-
Last 10 (10)38.833.171.9+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.471.8+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.032.267.2+2.860%-
vs Similar (14)36.430.967.3+5.479%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.232.275.4+11.0100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A12/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/11
NCAA
Samford
#284
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.973.3-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.173.8+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)33.839.072.8-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.472.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.838.070.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (10)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
vs Weaker (8)41.232.874.0+8.588%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
San Diego State wins
3
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26San Diego State v UNLV89-86
24/01/26UNLV v San Diego State71-82
05/03/25UNLV v San Diego State74-67
19/01/25San Diego State v UNLV68-76
14/03/24UNLV v San Diego State71-74 OT
06/03/24UNLV v San Diego State62-58
06/01/24San Diego State v UNLV72-61
11/02/23San Diego State v UNLV82-71
31/12/22UNLV v San Diego State67-76
25/01/22San Diego State v UNLV80-55
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBethune-Cookman88-75
07/11/26AColorado77-66
04/11/26HCS Fullerton102-78
14/03/26AUtah State62-73
14/03/26HNew Mexico64-62
13/03/26HColorado State71-62
07/03/26HUNLV89-86
04/03/26ABoise State77-86
28/02/26ANew Mexico76-81
26/02/26HUtah State89-72
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HStanford76-68
07/11/26HSamford88-79
04/11/26HNorthern Arizona89-77
12/03/26AUtah State60-80
11/03/26HWyoming73-70
07/03/26ASan Diego State86-89
04/03/26HUtah State92-65
01/03/26HNevada85-83 OT
26/02/26AGrand Canyon67-80
21/02/26AAir Force91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.095.077.0
Allowed / game73.076.566.0
Point differential+16.0+18.5+11.0
Avg total162.0171.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.384.3-
Allowed / game74.774.7-
Point differential+9.7+9.7-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
2 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
3 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
4 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
5 Boise State43175%104.578.8+25.8
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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