PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-63
37-33 39-30
Position#295
Record6-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game62.9
vs
Position#123
Record12-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Fresno State v UNLV
03 Feb 2026
FRES98
UNLV96
15 Feb 2025
FRES51
UNLV52
14 Feb 2024
FRES65
UNLV67
21 Jan 2023
FRES76
UNLV63
16 Feb 2022
FRES57
UNLV60
04 Dec 2019
FRES80
UNLV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#354
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
36-26
29-38
43-38
23-24
30-35
27-27
29-21
38-25
20-28
26-33
28-34
36-32
35-35
23-35
34-44
30-36
34-38
26-20
22-31
122.8Avg total
59.8Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)60.562.9123.5-2.435%
Season at home (7)60.658.4119.0+2.157%
Season away (10)60.566.1126.6-5.620%
Last 10 (10)59.863.0122.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)58.867.6126.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)61.864.8126.7-3.033%
vs Similar (18)57.662.6120.1-5.017%
vs Weaker (5)70.254.8125.0+15.4100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#80
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A10/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H23/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
A29/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H12/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-22
36-40
33-30
41-40
46-37
27-38
32-33
42-30
30-41
35-24
33-44
34-32
38-43
46-34
–
–
34-35
36-35
37-46
34-29
147.8Avg total
73.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.667.8144.4+8.867%
Season at home (12)76.065.3141.3+10.767%
Season away (6)77.872.8150.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)73.973.9147.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)73.878.8152.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.771.3142.0-0.733%
vs Similar (18)70.268.1138.2+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.661.9143.4+19.789%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.2+3.2
Fresno StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#354
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H15/01
NCAA
58.7Avg total
28.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.528.657.1-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.428.157.5+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)27.729.056.7-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)28.730.058.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.259.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.731.562.2-0.833%-
vs Similar (18)26.828.755.5-1.928%-
vs Weaker (5)31.223.855.0+7.4100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#80
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H08/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A10/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/01
NCAA
72.8Avg total
36.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.832.568.2+3.352%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.231.969.1+5.356%-
Last 30 away (13)34.033.267.2+0.846%-
Last 10 (9)36.036.872.8-0.833%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.876.2-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (17)34.232.466.6+1.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.329.869.1+9.667%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fresno State wins
4
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
05/12/19Fresno State v UNLV80-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HAir Force48-51
11/01/23ASan Jose State64-74
07/01/23AColorado State57-79
04/01/23HNew Mexico71-67
31/12/22AUtah State54-67
29/12/22HWyoming58-53
21/12/22ACSU Bakersfield56-48
18/12/22HSacramento State53-59
10/12/22APacific72-76
08/12/22HCS Northridge65-56
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23AUtah State71-75
15/01/23HColorado State81-82 OT
12/01/23HBoise State66-84
08/01/23ANew Mexico84-77
31/12/22HSan Diego State67-76
29/12/22ASan Jose State72-75 OT
23/12/22HSouthern Miss74-63
17/12/22HSan Francisco73-75
10/12/22AWashington State74-70
08/12/22HHawaii77-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %35%57%20%
Points / game60.560.660.5
Allowed / game62.958.466.1
Point differential-2.4+2.1-5.6
Avg total123.5119.0126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL67%
HomeLWLLL67%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game76.676.077.8
Allowed / game67.865.372.8
Point differential+8.8+10.7+5.0
Avg total144.4141.3150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico2018290%81.969.5+12.4
2 Utah State1915479%80.971.0+9.9
3 San Diego State1814478%75.366.6+8.7
4 Boise State2015575%73.261.6+11.6
5 Nevada2015575%72.865.3+7.5
6 UNLV1812667%76.667.8+8.8
7 Grand Canyon1812667%70.963.5+7.4
8 Air Force1912763%69.464.1+5.3
9 San Jose State1912763%67.566.2+1.3
10 Colorado State21101148%74.671.0+3.7
11 Fresno State1761135%60.562.9-2.4
12 Wyoming1961332%70.071.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State373976
UNLV333063
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.