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San Jose State vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-85
0-0 37-42 0-0 36-43
Position#349
Record8-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game77.5
San Jose State
USA
vs
Colorado State 🏆
USA
Position#90
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Jose State v Colorado State
28 Feb 2026
SAN 73
COLO85
31 Dec 2024
SAN 50
COLO72
28 Feb 2023
SAN 63
COLO46
15 Jan 2022
SAN 42
COLO78
16 Jan 2021
SAN 61
COLO88
14 Jan 2021
SAN 57
COLO90
11 Jan 2020
SAN 70
COLO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
54-87
54
87
-33
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
58-89
58
89
-31
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H14/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-39
0-0
28-48
0-0
23-31
0-0
39-35
0-0
33-36
0-0
25-53
0-0
35-41
0-0
45-49
0-0
29-30
0-0
28-35
0-0
41-45
0-0
34-37
0-0
36-39
0-0
43-55
0-0
47-32
0-0
40-39
0-0
31-36
0-0
38-48
0-0
42-37
0-0
44-43
151.5Avg total
70.7Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.377.5148.8-6.229%
Season at home (16)73.974.8148.8-0.944%
Season away (12)67.881.0148.8-13.28%
Last 10 (10)70.780.8151.5-10.120%
Last 5 (5)79.282.2161.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)66.879.4146.2-12.69%
vs Similar (4)78.271.8150.0+6.575%
vs Weaker (3)88.766.0154.7+22.7100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-21
0-0
43-31
0-0
35-25
0-0
26-40
0-0
27-33
0-0
23-40
0-0
23-27
0-0
34-41
0-0
30-29
0-0
35-28
0-0
47-39
0-0
44-35
0-0
37-40
0-0
42-28
0-0
47-39
0-0
44-47
0-0
38-25
0-0
45-49
0-0
32-39
0-0
42-31
141.9Avg total
73.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.771.0147.7+5.764%
Season at home (17)79.468.5147.8+10.971%
Season away (11)72.574.9147.5-2.455%
Last 10 (10)73.268.7141.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)83.674.4158.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.677.0145.6-8.420%
vs Similar (10)69.270.3139.5-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.670.6153.2+12.186%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -7.8-7.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
San Jose StateColorado State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H18/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/02
NCAA
70.9Avg total
34.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.537.772.2-3.323%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.836.273.0+0.529%-
Last 30 away (13)31.539.771.2-8.215%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.670.9-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.639.171.7-6.514%-
vs Similar (4)39.537.076.5+2.525%-
vs Weaker (3)41.027.368.3+13.7100%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H25/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
35.4Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.868.8+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.932.470.3+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.366.8+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)35.431.767.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.476.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.833.665.4-1.860%-
vs Similar (10)33.032.965.9+0.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.932.970.9+5.079%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Jose State wins
8
Colorado State wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Colorado State v San Jose State65-57
05/03/25Colorado State v San Jose State83-56
31/12/24San Jose State v Colorado State50-72
13/03/24Colorado State v San Jose State72-62
10/02/24Colorado State v San Jose State66-47
01/03/23San Jose State v Colorado State63-46
31/12/22Colorado State v San Jose State70-78
15/01/22San Jose State v Colorado State42-78
16/01/21San Jose State v Colorado State61-88
15/01/21San Jose State v Colorado State57-90
San Jose Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26AAir Force86-80
21/02/26ABoise State69-84
18/02/26HNevada87-71
14/02/26HGrand Canyon79-94
11/02/26AUNLV75-82
08/02/26AColorado State57-65
01/02/26HNew Mexico80-90
28/01/26HBoise State58-89
24/01/26AWyoming62-66
21/01/26ANevada54-87
Colorado Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HFresno State74-70
21/02/26HSan Diego State83-74
19/02/26AUNLV91-86
14/02/26HWyoming79-68
11/02/26AAir Force91-74
08/02/26HSan Jose State65-57
01/02/26AWyoming57-68
29/01/26ASan Diego State50-73
24/01/26HUtah State61-65
21/01/26HAir Force81-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLLLW44%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %29%44%8%
Points / game71.373.967.8
Allowed / game77.574.881.0
Point differential-6.2-0.9-13.2
Avg total148.8148.8148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %64%71%55%
Points / game76.779.472.5
Allowed / game71.068.574.9
Point differential+5.7+10.9-2.4
Avg total147.7147.8147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%41%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2823582%83.669.8+13.9
2 New Mexico2922776%80.769.7+11.0
3 San Diego State2819968%79.270.5+8.7
4 Nevada2819968%75.871.5+4.2
5 Grand Canyon28181064%75.068.5+6.5
6 Colorado State28181064%76.771.0+5.7
7 Boise State28171161%78.473.9+4.5
8 Wyoming29161355%76.872.8+4.0
9 UNLV28141450%79.478.8+0.6
10 Fresno State28121643%74.072.9+1.1
11 San Jose State2882029%71.377.5-6.2
12 Air Force2932610%62.279.9-17.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Jose State03703673
Colorado State04204385
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