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Sassari vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-83
33-20 13-12 15-26 18-25
Position#37
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game93.0
vs
Position#33
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
European cup2023
Meetings · Sassari v AEK Athens
25 Oct 2023
SAS79
AAT83
04 Jan 2017
SAS80
AAT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
80avg 78
H18/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
80avg 78
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
63avg 78
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
131avg 78
A29/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-93
61
93
-32
48avg 78
H01/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
90-111
90
111
-21
82avg 78
H01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 78
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 78
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 78
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 78
A22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
21-17
24-14
15-20
24-25
21-8
15-20
27-30
12-25
17-27
19-26
24-17
19-13
19-26
18-21
19-20
16-22
20-19
17-25
8-27
19-27
21-28
22-31
28-25
21-17
16-19
18-26
19-24
15-15
21-19
21-21
23-21
22-28
21-30
17-27
25-8
20-18
15-27
15-19
16-16
163.6Avg total
77.0Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.086.6163.6-9.630%
Last 5 (5)79.089.2168.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.385.5153.8-17.20%
vs Similar (18)86.981.7168.6+5.267%
vs Weaker (6)91.079.8170.8+11.267%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
54avg 72
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 72
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-78
94
78
+16
91avg 72
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
51-91
51
91
-40
39avg 72
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
61avg 72
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 72
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 72
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 72
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
100-70
100
70
+30
104avg 72
H21/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-26
18-10
21-13
10-15
19-22
16-16
18-29
25-18
20-21
27-16
23-21
24-20
7-18
15-25
14-16
15-32
20-27
21-24
22-13
10-23
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
24-25
20-18
17-18
23-18
31-16
17-25
26-18
26-11
164.2Avg total
79.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.884.4164.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)89.487.8177.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.984.3158.2-10.431%
vs Similar (11)78.377.1155.4+1.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.277.8163.0+7.367%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
SassariAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H18/05
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Lega A
80.8Avg total
38.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.883.6+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.984.5+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.682.8-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.880.8-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.683.8-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.241.276.3-6.033%-
vs Similar (18)42.941.284.1+1.767%-
vs Weaker (6)49.839.589.3+10.383%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
Basket League
80.5Avg total
37.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.179.4-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.581.9-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.777.2-4.219%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.180.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.286.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.242.478.5-6.215%-
vs Similar (11)39.540.780.2-1.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.038.879.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.2
50.7%
51.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.2
33.7%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.415.0
73.5%
74.5%15.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
51.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.9
33.5%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
74.5%14.5
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLWLLLLLWW
AEK Athens
WWLLLLLWLL
#37
League position
#33
-13.1
Net rating
-4.8
103.9
Offensive rating
105.7
117.1
Defensive rating
110.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.7%
3-point %
33.5%
64.0%
Assist %
71.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 105.7Defence117.1 · 110.5Shooting50.7% · 51.6%3-point %33.7% · 33.5%Ball care18.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Sassari   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sassari wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
04/01/17Sassari v AEK Athens80-78
08/11/16AEK Athens v Sassari78-58
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AVirtus Bologna66-80
17/10/23ASzczecin85-93
14/10/23HTreviso80-76
08/10/23ACremona74-86
01/10/23HBasket Napoli90-111
01/06/23HOlimpia Milano61-93
29/05/23AOlimpia Milano75-80
27/05/23AOlimpia Milano72-95
20/05/23HVenezia87-83
18/05/23HVenezia80-69
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HApollon Patras100-70
17/10/23HLudwigsburg84-79
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT
23/04/23APeristeri73-87
19/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem51-91
12/04/23HHapoel Jerusalem94-78
09/04/23HOlympiacos78-85
04/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem55-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game93.0-93.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total178.0-178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Promitheas110100%115.066.0+49.0
2 Benfica330100%97.364.7+32.7
3 Breogan110100%68.048.0+20.0
4 Bonn110100%91.073.0+18.0
5 Karsiyaka110100%94.077.0+17.0
6 PAOK110100%88.077.0+11.0
7 Unicaja220100%85.076.0+9.0
8 Darussafaka220100%86.079.5+6.5
9 AEK Athens110100%84.079.0+5.0
10 Dijon110100%87.083.0+4.0
11 Strasbourg440100%82.278.2+4.0
12 Tortona110100%78.074.0+4.0
13 Tofas110100%104.0102.0+2.0
14 Cholet54180%80.279.4+0.8
15 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
16 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Le Mans21150%85.075.5+9.5
20 Tenerife21150%89.581.5+8.0
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Szczecin21150%85.583.5+2.0
23 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
24 Ludwigsburg21150%80.581.0-0.5
25 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
27 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
28 Peristeri21150%77.583.0-5.5
29 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
30 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
31 Igokea1010%102.0104.0-2.0
32 Oldenburg1010%83.085.0-2.0
33 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
34 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
35 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
36 Murcia1010%74.078.0-4.0
37 Rytas1010%83.087.0-4.0
38 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
39 VEF Riga2020%74.079.0-5.0
40 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
41 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
42 Sassari1010%85.093.0-8.0
43 Galatasaray1010%77.088.0-11.0
44 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
45 Szombathely2020%74.087.0-13.0
46 Oostende1010%77.094.0-17.0
47 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
48 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
49 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
51 Opava1010%66.0115.0-49.0
52 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari3313151879
AEK Athens2012262583
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