Sassari vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 81-75

23-27 22-17 13-19 23-12

Position#5

Record5-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game75.5

Sassari 🏆

Avellino

Position#13

Record3-3

FormLWWWL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game73.3

Lega ARound 7

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Sassari v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

#10

84-81

A20/10

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#12

75-82

-7

H24/10

Euroleague

Brindisi

87-78

H27/10

Lega A

Unics Kazan

62-85

-23

A30/10

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

#14

84-75

A02/11

Lega A

Real Madrid

94-115

115

-21

A05/11

Euroleague

Cantu

75-79

-4

A09/11

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

92-80

+12

H14/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#17

92-64

+28

H17/11

Lega A

Nizhny Novgorod

#20

82-89

-7

H21/11

Euroleague

21-16

18-25

24-20

21-20

16-24

24-23

16-16

19-19

28-9

14-27

23-19

22-23

17-21

20-14

17-31

8-19

29-18

17-16

13-20

25-21

17-27

25-30

22-27

30-31

13-21

21-16

15-18

26-24

17-26

25-15

18-23

32-16

24-13

21-18

26-15

25-30

21-23

19-10

17-26

165.5Avg total

82.7Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.2	75.5	160.7	+9.7	83%
Season at home (3)	89.3	72.7	162.0	+16.7	100%
Season away (3)	81.0	78.3	159.3	+2.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	82.8	165.5	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	85.4	172.4	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.8	89.8	171.7	-8.0	17%
vs Similar (12)	78.5	82.4	160.9	-3.9	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	88.7	75.6	164.4	+13.1	91%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

73-75

-2

A19/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

92-94 OT

-2

H01/05

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

96-99 OT

-3

A04/05

Lega A

Reggiana

82-74

H11/05

Lega A

Venezia

71-76

-5

H12/10

Lega A

Cantu

65-74

-9

A19/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

69-60

H26/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

73-69

H03/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

81-67

+14

A09/11

Lega A

Reggiana

88-94

-6

H15/11

Lega A

21-18

13-24

16-17

23-16

20-23

23-17

14-20

22-19

20-23

20-20

21-16

22-24

22-13

21-26

21-24

18-11

19-19

19-16

16-18

17-23

20-23

13-20

24-12

8-19

24-11

16-10

17-21

12-18

24-12

23-14

10-17

16-26

22-16

22-19

21-16

16-16

22-28

24-18

24-21

18-27

157.2Avg total

79.0Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	74.5	73.3	147.8	+1.2	50%
Season at home (4)	75.2	74.8	150.0	+0.5	50%
Season away (2)	73.0	70.5	143.5	+2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	78.2	157.2	+0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	72.8	148.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	73.1	82.5	155.5	-9.4	20%
vs Similar (11)	76.1	74.3	150.4	+1.8	64%
vs Weaker (4)	87.5	84.8	172.2	+2.8	50%

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.7	40.7	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.4	41.4	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	23.8	43.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.5	18.7	42.2	+4.7	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.9	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	73%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.7	22.2	44.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.6	23.1	40.7	-5.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	21.5	40.3	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.3	19.7	37.0	-2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	50%	-

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

#10

39-41

-2

A20/10

Lega A

Anadolu Efes

#12

40-47

-7

H24/10

Euroleague

Brindisi

42-36

H27/10

Lega A

Unics Kazan

37-35

A30/10

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

#14

46-34

+12

A02/11

Lega A

Real Madrid

42-57

-15

A05/11

Euroleague

Cantu

34-37

-3

A09/11

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

42-41

H14/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#17

45-31

+14

H17/11

Lega A

Nizhny Novgorod

#20

46-53

-7

H21/11

Euroleague

82.5Avg total

41.3Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	41.2	82.4	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	41.1	82.6	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	41.4	82.1	-0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.2	82.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.8	85.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.3	46.0	88.3	-3.7	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.0	42.2	79.2	-5.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.6	38.5	83.2	+6.1	82%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

34-42

-8

A19/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-40

H01/05

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

40-43

-3

A04/05

Lega A

Reggiana

43-39

H11/05

Lega A

Venezia

38-35

H12/10

Lega A

Cantu

33-43

-10

A19/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

40-21

+19

H26/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

47-26

+21

H03/11

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

44-35

A09/11

Lega A

Reggiana

46-46

H15/11

Lega A

77.8Avg total

40.8Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.9	78.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	37.4	78.2	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	42.9	79.6	-6.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.0	77.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	34.2	76.2	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.5	42.5	80.1	-5.0	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.2	37.7	76.9	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	36.2	79.8	+7.2	50%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	15.8	36.9	+5.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	23.3	42.0	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	21.7	39.3	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	19.8	39.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.6	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	18.5	36.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.5	18.1	35.6	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	73%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.6	40.8	+1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	20.7	43.5	+2.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.4	48.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.2	19.3	40.6	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.4	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	21.2	35.2	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.7	18.6	36.4	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	39.4	81.3	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	35.4	77.6	+6.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	44.0	85.5	-2.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	41.6	83.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	41.6	86.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.5	43.8	83.3	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.9	39.1	80.0	+1.8	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.1	37.1	81.2	+7.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.8	75.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.7	39.3	76.0	-2.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	38.2	74.1	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	38.1	73.7	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	38.6	71.8	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.7	38.9	73.6	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.9	36.5	73.5	+0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	44.5	85.2	-3.8	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
08/03/14	Avellino v Sassari	68-75
24/11/13	Sassari v Avellino	78-75
10/03/13	Avellino v Sassari	86-78
11/11/12	Sassari v Avellino	102-81
25/02/12	Sassari v Avellino	87-73
06/11/11	Avellino v Sassari	96-79
23/04/11	Avellino v Sassari	92-87
02/01/11	Sassari v Avellino	71-80

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/14	H	Nizhny Novgorod	82-89
17/11/14	H	Pesaro	92-64
14/11/14	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	92-80
09/11/14	A	Cantu	75-79
05/11/14	A	Real Madrid	94-115
02/11/14	A	Virtus Roma	84-75
30/10/14	A	Unics Kazan	62-85
27/10/14	H	Brindisi	87-78
24/10/14	H	Anadolu Efes	75-82
20/10/14	A	Pistoia	84-81

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/14	H	Reggiana	88-94
09/11/14	A	Capo d'Orlando	81-67
03/11/14	H	Olimpia Milano	73-69
26/10/14	H	Pesaro	69-60
19/10/14	A	Cantu	65-74
12/10/14	H	Venezia	71-76
11/05/14	H	Reggiana	82-74
04/05/14	A	Sutor Montegranaro	96-99 OT
01/05/14	H	Olimpia Milano	92-94 OT
19/04/14	A	Brindisi	73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	83%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	85.2	89.3	81.0
Allowed / game	75.5	72.7	78.3
Point differential	+9.7	+16.7	+2.7
Avg total	160.7	162.0	159.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	50%
Home	LWWL	50%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	74.5	75.2	73.0
Allowed / game	73.3	74.8	70.5
Point differential	+1.2	+0.5	+2.5
Avg total	147.8	150.0	143.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Reggiana	7	6	1	86%	87.7	81.6	+6.1
2	Venezia	7	6	1	86%	78.4	74.1	+4.3
3	Sassari	6	5	1	83%	85.2	75.5	+9.7
4	Olimpia Milano	7	5	2	71%	81.6	74.0	+7.6
5	Brindisi	7	4	3	57%	78.7	74.0	+4.7
6	Cremona	7	4	3	57%	81.7	77.9	+3.9
7	Cantu	7	4	3	57%	81.1	80.1	+1.0
8	Trento	7	4	3	57%	82.7	82.4	+0.3
9	Avellino	6	3	3	50%	74.5	73.3	+1.2
10	Virtus Roma	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
11	Virtus Bologna	7	3	4	43%	73.1	78.6	-5.4
12	Varese	7	2	5	29%	91.6	93.3	-1.7
13	Capo d'Orlando	7	2	5	29%	69.0	72.0	-3.0
14	Pistoia	7	2	5	29%	71.6	74.6	-3.0
15	Pesaro	7	2	5	29%	69.9	83.9	-14.0
16	Caserta	7	0	7	0%	69.7	78.7	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sassari	23	22	13	23	81
Avellino	27	17	19	12	75

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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