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Sassari vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 88-95 (OT)
20-22 21-23 27-16 16-23 4-11
Position#6
Record7-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#4
Record9-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.5
ItalyLega ARound 13
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Sassari v Avellino
14 Apr 2019
SAS105
AVE84
02 Jan 2018
SAS88
AVE95
20 Nov 2016
SAS70
AVE75
28 Feb 2016
SAS94
AVE95
24 Nov 2014
SAS81
AVE75
24 Nov 2013
SAS78
AVE75
11 Nov 2012
SAS102
AVE81
25 Feb 2012
SAS87
AVE73
02 Jan 2011
SAS71
AVE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H12/11
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#43
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H15/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A19/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H03/12
Lega A
Enisey
#44
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A06/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A09/12
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#12
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H16/12
Lega A
Oldenburg
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A20/12
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-28
18-24
25-17
26-14
25-30
24-21
23-19
27-16
17-22
18-8
20-15
30-9
13-11
24-18
23-28
26-15
16-19
18-14
15-17
21-18
22-23
14-21
22-16
18-12
21-23
19-16
21-19
26-23
17-18
22-20
23-20
21-23
12-24
14-20
25-23
10-21
17-15
24-19
18-14
158.9Avg total
82.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.879.5163.3+4.358%
Season at home (6)86.775.2161.8+11.583%
Season away (6)81.083.8164.8-2.833%
Last 10 (10)82.476.5158.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)79.680.2159.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.575.0151.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.178.2154.2-2.135%
vs Weaker (10)85.278.4163.6+6.870%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
A19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
87-77 OT
87
77
+10
H02/12
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H06/12
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H13/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A17/12
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
H20/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H27/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
17-14
20-11
18-20
12-12
15-13
17-14
12-20
23-17
17-13
18-20
19-27
22-16
17-14
15-19
16-21
13-20
19-19
15-15
14-15
19-21
21-27
11-22
22-16
22-14
18-16
22-18
28-26
29-8
14-25
20-27
20-18
12-15
25-18
22-20
21-27
27-18
25-16
20-18
25-17
157.9Avg total
80.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.076.5157.5+4.575%
Season at home (6)78.867.2146.0+11.7100%
Season away (6)83.285.8169.0-2.750%
Last 10 (10)80.877.1157.9+3.760%
Last 5 (5)89.082.6171.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.778.8159.5+1.858%
vs Weaker (11)77.572.5150.0+4.964%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
SassariAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H12/11
Lega A
Hapoel Holon
#43
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H15/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H03/12
Lega A
Enisey
#44
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A09/12
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/12
Lega A
Oldenburg
#10
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A20/12
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A26/12
Lega A
78.6Avg total
40.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.977.0-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.639.379.9+1.362%-
Last 30 away (17)36.138.674.7-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.378.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.077.0-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.538.577.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.238.875.1-2.629%-
vs Weaker (10)41.839.281.0+2.680%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A14/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H02/12
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A17/12
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/12
Lega A
70.9Avg total
37.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.174.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.735.473.1+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.039.177.1-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.270.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.435.678.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.937.974.8-0.937%-
vs Weaker (11)39.435.775.1+3.673%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.8
54.5%
51.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.9
39.4%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.513.3
80.6%
73.0%13.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.3
57.8%
51.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.312.2
74.8%
73.0%12.2
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLWWWWWWWL
Avellino
WLWWLLWWLW
#6
League position
#4
+5.0
Net rating
+6.6
112.0
Offensive rating
109.2
106.9
Defensive rating
102.6
56.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.4%
3-point %
35.1%
63.3%
Assist %
56.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 109.2Defence106.9 · 102.6Shooting56.4% · 55.8%3-point %39.4% · 35.1%Ball care19.4% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sassari wins
4
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
18/03/17Avellino v Sassari77-65
17/02/17Avellino v Sassari68-69
20/11/16Sassari v Avellino70-75
28/02/16Sassari v Avellino94-95
09/11/15Avellino v Sassari88-90
15/03/15Avellino v Sassari70-83
24/11/14Sassari v Avellino81-75
08/03/14Avellino v Sassari68-75
24/11/13Sassari v Avellino78-75
10/03/13Avellino v Sassari86-78
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/17AVenezia80-82 OT
20/12/17AOldenburg72-90
16/12/17HPistoia88-81
12/12/17AKarsiyaka79-70
09/12/17ABrescia79-78
06/12/17AEnisey75-65
03/12/17HBrindisi90-66
19/11/17AVarese82-61
15/11/17HHapoel Holon98-84
12/11/17HCapo d'Orlando81-88
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/17HCapo d'Orlando97-69
20/12/17HNanterre102-106 OT
17/12/17APesaro83-78
13/12/17HBesiktas90-74
10/12/17ACremona73-86
06/12/17HBonn61-69
02/12/17HVenezia87-77 OT
19/11/17AOlimpia Milano94-92 OT
14/11/17AAris56-59
12/11/17HVarese65-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game83.886.781.0
Allowed / game79.575.283.8
Point differential+4.3+11.5-2.8
Avg total163.3161.8164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.078.883.2
Allowed / game76.567.285.8
Point differential+4.5+11.7-2.7
Avg total157.5146.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %25%17%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1310377%78.670.8+7.8
2 Olimpia Milano129375%76.371.8+4.6
3 Avellino129375%81.076.5+4.5
4 Venezia128467%81.781.2+0.4
5 Torino138562%79.477.8+1.6
6 Sassari127558%83.879.5+4.3
7 Trento137654%77.576.6+0.8
8 Virtus Bologna126650%81.077.1+3.9
9 Cremona136746%80.880.2+0.7
10 Cantu136746%85.186.6-1.5
11 Capo d'Orlando125742%67.276.7-9.5
12 Reggiana135838%73.574.7-1.2
13 Varese124833%74.872.9+1.8
14 Pistoia124833%75.681.8-6.2
15 Pesaro123925%76.082.2-6.2
16 Brindisi1221017%74.481.0-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sassari20212716488
Avellino222316231195
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