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Sassari vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 93-86 (OT)
22-19 21-26 18-16 20-20 12-5
Position#16
Record5-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game88.5
Sassari 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record11-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.8
ItalyLega ARound 14· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Sassari v Brescia
04 Jan 2026
SAS93
BRE86
04 May 2025
SAS77
BRE96
17 Mar 2024
SAS106
BRE101
02 Jan 2023
SAS92
BRE94
22 May 2022
SAS98
BRE95
20 May 2022
SAS98
BRE68
24 Oct 2021
SAS65
BRE76
27 Dec 2020
SAS100
BRE87
01 Dec 2019
SAS76
BRE70
28 Apr 2019
SAS95
BRE87
08 Apr 2018
SAS76
BRE80
18 Feb 2017
SAS77
BRE70
15 Oct 2016
SAS96
BRE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Valcea
#38
W
97-65
97
65
+32
101avg 75
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
W
89-88
89
88
+1
84avg 75
H16/11
Lega A
Vechta
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
65avg 75
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 75
A23/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
75avg 75
H06/12
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 75
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
113-118 OT
113
118
-5
100avg 75
A14/12
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
84-98
84
98
-14
75avg 75
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Trapani
#3
W
102-78
102
78
+24
101avg 75
H21/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
92-89
92
89
+3
87avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
19-18
25-13
29-17
28-21
21-29
23-22
17-16
15-23
19-19
15-20
24-15
21-24
18-24
18-15
18-23
30-17
14-20
25-21
16-22
10-19
25-15
14-15
23-27
15-27
17-20
27-22
29-19
13-27
19-27
23-21
29-23
33-15
18-19
27-17
24-27
18-18
24-19
26-24
24-28
173.7Avg total
88.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.388.5174.8-2.238%
Season at home (7)88.685.6174.1+3.057%
Season away (6)83.791.8175.5-8.217%
Last 10 (10)88.285.5173.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)92.691.8184.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.489.7173.1-6.225%
vs Similar (14)85.683.9169.6+1.757%
vs Weaker (4)90.272.5162.8+17.875%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 82
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 82
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
50-75
50
75
-25
no box
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 82
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
53-92
53
92
-39
no box
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 82
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 82
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 82
H28/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
29-21
24-27
18-24
32-26
21-18
18-16
27-15
23-15
21-18
12-16
29-23
23-21
14-19
22-14
24-18
0-0
18-43
0-0
32-32
25-29
26-17
20-20
22-21
0-0
21-50
0-0
32-42
29-18
21-29
25-18
27-29
21-18
17-23
15-25
23-20
25-18
29-24
21-31
29-20
168.0Avg total
84.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.282.8173.1+7.485%
Season at home (7)94.483.3177.7+11.1100%
Season away (6)85.382.3167.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)84.283.8168.0+0.470%
Last 5 (5)85.690.4176.0-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.287.2156.5-18.025%
vs Similar (16)84.282.9167.1+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)96.183.0179.1+13.1100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
SassariBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valcea
#38
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H16/11
Lega A
Vechta
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A23/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/12
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Tortona
#6
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A14/12
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Trapani
#3
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/12
Lega A
81.9Avg total
40.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.182.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.541.986.5+2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.378.9-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.881.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.279.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.643.282.8-3.733%-
vs Similar (14)41.641.883.4-0.243%-
vs Weaker (4)39.840.079.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
18-43
18
43
-25
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Lega A
84.9Avg total
42.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.942.885.7+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.442.488.9+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)39.843.182.9-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.784.9-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.288.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.845.280.0-10.525%-
vs Similar (16)42.642.484.9+0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.242.290.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.1
56.6%
54.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.4
34.1%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
76.1%16.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.3
55.2%
54.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.6
40.7%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.219.2
82.8%
76.1%19.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WWLLLWLLWW
Brescia
WLWLWLWWWW
#16
League position
#4
+3.0
Net rating
+10.2
113.7
Offensive rating
121.1
110.7
Defensive rating
110.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
57.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.1%
3-point %
40.7%
61.6%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 121.1Defence110.7 · 110.9Shooting54.2% · 57.4%3-point %34.1% · 40.7%Ball care16.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds31.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Sassari   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sassari wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Sassari v Brescia77-96
20/10/24Brescia v Sassari94-87
17/03/24Sassari v Brescia106-101 OT
10/12/23Brescia v Sassari110-65
12/02/23Brescia v Sassari80-93
02/01/23Sassari v Brescia92-94 OT
22/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-95
20/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-68
18/05/22Brescia v Sassari85-91
16/05/22Brescia v Sassari104-97
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ATreviso92-89
21/12/25HTrapani102-78
17/12/25APeristeri84-98
14/12/25ATortona113-118 OT
10/12/25HPetkim Spor72-76
06/12/25HTrieste85-80
23/11/25ABasket Napoli75-86
19/11/25AVechta73-77
16/11/25HTrento89-88
12/11/25AValcea97-65
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HVenezia104-93
22/12/25AVirtus Bologna76-86
14/12/25HVarese102-94
10/12/25ANorthern Kentucky53-92
06/12/25AReggiana93-87
26/11/25AUT Martin50-75
21/11/25HCremona83-72
16/11/25ABasket Napoli85-72
09/11/25HTrieste98-75
05/11/25HOlimpia Milano98-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game86.388.683.7
Allowed / game88.585.691.8
Point differential-2.2+3.0-8.2
Avg total174.8174.1175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game90.294.485.3
Allowed / game82.883.382.3
Point differential+7.4+11.1+3.0
Avg total173.1177.7167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1311285%85.877.8+8.0
2 Brescia1311285%90.282.8+7.4
3 Trapani1310377%90.186.3+3.8
4 Olimpia Milano139469%86.877.3+9.5
5 Venezia139469%93.888.4+5.5
6 Tortona139469%89.187.7+1.4
7 Trieste136746%83.888.9-5.2
8 Basket Napoli146843%86.686.9-0.3
9 Varese146843%82.386.4-4.1
10 Trento135838%84.482.8+1.5
11 Udine135838%80.281.1-0.8
12 Cremona135838%83.585.2-1.7
13 Sassari135838%86.388.5-2.2
14 Reggiana1331023%79.884.7-4.8
15 Cantu1331023%83.492.2-8.8
16 Treviso1321115%83.792.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sassari222118201293
Brescia19261620586
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