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Brescia vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 94-87
17-21 28-13 27-16 22-37
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game91.7
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game91.0
ItalyLega ARound 4· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Sassari
10 May 2026
BRE92
SAS71
20 Oct 2024
BRE94
SAS87
10 Dec 2023
BRE110
SAS65
12 Feb 2023
BRE80
SAS93
18 May 2022
BRE85
SAS91
16 May 2022
BRE104
SAS97
23 Jan 2022
BRE97
SAS86
18 Apr 2021
BRE82
SAS94
29 Mar 2020
BRE v SAS
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
BRE71
SAS95
09 Dec 2017
BRE78
SAS79
05 Feb 2017
BRE56
SAS48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
94-75
94
75
+19
97avg 81
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 81
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 81
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 81
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 81
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 81
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 81
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-94
118
94
+24
111avg 81
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
91avg 81
A06/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 81
A13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
25-19
22-21
25-15
23-12
25-16
13-27
18-15
30-19
16-15
25-17
26-24
31-13
28-17
16-25
23-22
29-34
20-27
21-16
19-18
14-22
15-11
20-25
17-19
21-32
18-24
25-21
22-19
29-24
28-28
36-23
25-19
21-24
14-20
33-23
27-26
24-27
21-20
18-25
22-16
174.7Avg total
90.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)99.391.7191.0+7.767%
Season at home (1)118.094.0212.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)90.090.5180.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)90.784.0174.7+6.760%
Last 5 (5)90.089.6179.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.088.0141.0-35.00%
vs Similar (7)78.384.3162.6-6.014%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.981.6172.5+9.375%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
88-112
88
112
-24
82avg 76
H21/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 76
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
95-63
95
63
+32
104avg 76
H05/05
Lega A
Juventus
#20
W
77-73
77
73
+4
59avg 76
H20/09
Champions League
Bonn
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 76
A22/09
Champions League
Scafati
#15
L
86-97
86
97
-11
75avg 76
H28/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
75-100
75
100
-25
63avg 76
A06/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#30
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 76
A08/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
98avg 76
H13/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
W
69-66
69
66
+3
63avg 76
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
16-29
28-27
19-21
23-19
26-16
26-17
24-22
22-17
24-10
20-14
29-22
23-14
17-18
19-16
18-25
21-20
12-12
15-32
23-14
21-22
16-19
23-22
26-34
14-23
17-34
23-19
21-24
32-14
16-25
27-13
7-17
28-16
22-22
27-7
17-31
22-22
16-17
21-13
10-14
164.4Avg total
83.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.091.0176.0-6.033%
Season at home (2)90.086.5176.5+3.550%
Season away (1)75.0100.0175.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)81.281.6162.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.885.5165.3-5.750%
vs Similar (20)82.579.5162.1+3.055%
vs Weaker (4)84.582.8167.2+1.850%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
BresciaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/10
Lega A
87.8Avg total
45.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.684.2+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.783.1+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.843.285.1-1.425%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.487.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.487.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.548.571.0-26.00%-
vs Similar (7)39.144.984.0-5.714%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.440.186.5+6.255%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H21/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A28/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H05/05
Lega A
Juventus
#20
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H20/09
Champions League
Bonn
#8
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A22/09
Champions League
Scafati
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H28/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A06/10
Lega A
Sporting CP
#30
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A08/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.7Avg total
41.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.881.5+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.084.7+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.678.3+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.481.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.243.083.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (20)42.038.980.8+3.150%-
vs Weaker (4)43.039.582.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.2
53.2%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.6
42.2%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.717.5
80.6%
76.8%17.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.1
56.5%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.9%
76.8%11.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWWLLLWWWW
Sassari
WWWLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#10
+9.8
Net rating
+2.4
123.5
Offensive rating
110.8
113.7
Defensive rating
108.3
57.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
42.2%
3-point %
37.3%
56.2%
Assist %
71.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.5 · 110.8Defence113.7 · 108.3Shooting57.2% · 56.2%3-point %42.2% · 37.3%Ball care13.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brescia wins
5
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
17/03/24Sassari v Brescia106-101 OT
10/12/23Brescia v Sassari110-65
12/02/23Brescia v Sassari80-93
02/01/23Sassari v Brescia92-94 OT
22/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-95
20/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-68
18/05/22Brescia v Sassari85-91
16/05/22Brescia v Sassari104-97
23/01/22Brescia v Sassari97-86
24/10/21Sassari v Brescia65-76
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AOlimpia Milano85-88
06/10/24AScafati95-93
29/09/24HVarese118-94
30/05/24HOlimpia Milano86-96
27/05/24AOlimpia Milano66-77
25/05/24AOlimpia Milano89-95
17/05/24APistoia98-77
14/05/24HPistoia97-75
12/05/24HPistoia79-70
05/05/24HBrindisi94-75
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HAnwil Wloclawek69-66
13/10/24HBasket Napoli94-76
08/10/24ASporting CP82-69
06/10/24AOlimpia Milano75-100
28/09/24HScafati86-97
22/09/24ABonn71-78
20/09/24HJuventus77-73
05/05/24HReggiana95-63
28/04/24AScafati99-74
21/04/24HVarese88-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game99.3118.090.0
Allowed / game91.794.090.5
Point differential+7.7+24.0-0.5
Avg total191.0212.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game85.090.075.0
Allowed / game91.086.5100.0
Point differential-6.0+3.5-25.0
Avg total176.0176.5175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento330100%93.382.0+11.3
2 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
3 Trieste330100%87.081.0+6.0
4 Trapani43175%96.286.8+9.5
5 Brescia32167%99.391.7+7.7
6 Olimpia Milano32167%88.781.3+7.3
7 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
8 Reggiana32167%80.376.7+3.7
9 Pistoia32167%74.077.0-3.0
10 Scafati31233%92.394.0-1.7
11 Sassari31233%85.091.0-6.0
12 Treviso31233%71.083.3-12.3
13 Cremona41325%73.576.0-2.5
14 Venezia3030%71.078.7-7.7
15 Basket Napoli4040%80.590.2-9.8
16 Varese4040%97.2109.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1728272294
Sassari2113163787
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