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Sassari vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 106-101 (OT)
26-20 27-28 19-28 17-13 17-12
Position#8
Record10-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.4
Sassari 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record17-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game76.2
ItalyLega ARound 23· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Sassari v Brescia
04 Jan 2026
SAS93
BRE86
04 May 2025
SAS77
BRE96
17 Mar 2024
SAS106
BRE101
02 Jan 2023
SAS92
BRE94
22 May 2022
SAS98
BRE95
20 May 2022
SAS98
BRE68
24 Oct 2021
SAS65
BRE76
27 Dec 2020
SAS100
BRE87
01 Dec 2019
SAS76
BRE70
28 Apr 2019
SAS95
BRE87
08 Apr 2018
SAS76
BRE80
18 Feb 2017
SAS77
BRE70
15 Oct 2016
SAS96
BRE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 75
A07/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
91-95
91
95
-4
88avg 75
H10/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
107-69
107
69
+38
110avg 75
H14/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
77-93
77
93
-16
68avg 75
A17/01
Champions League
Treviso
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
65avg 75
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-80
65
80
-15
58avg 75
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
87avg 75
H04/02
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
62-79
62
79
-17
59avg 75
A10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
93-88
93
88
+5
93avg 75
H03/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 75
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
28-8
27-14
11-27
20-23
17-23
24-20
30-29
32-12
30-16
27-14
18-27
15-20
24-28
18-20
20-25
18-21
19-18
16-25
17-13
20-19
23-24
10-24
12-13
17-15
22-17
20-26
27-22
25-22
12-15
13-22
12-20
27-25
17-15
21-22
28-26
17-18
25-18
15-24
21-11
160.9Avg total
80.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.581.4158.0-4.945%
Season at home (11)84.082.2166.2+1.873%
Season away (11)69.180.6149.7-11.518%
Last 10 (10)80.880.1160.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.879.6156.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.886.7163.5-9.936%
vs Similar (18)80.081.1161.1-1.144%
vs Weaker (1)79.069.0148.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
1avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
95avg 76
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
109-90
109
90
+19
107avg 76
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
104avg 76
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 76
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 76
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 76
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 76
H10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
18-14
19-16
20-16
21-19
19-22
23-26
16-21
18-23
18-17
33-9
19-18
25-17
27-15
25-15
16-22
27-13
29-32
18-26
35-19
30-12
24-16
17-25
33-30
29-10
24-17
14-9
19-27
11-19
19-15
16-27
28-19
21-29
24-25
23-25
15-14
22-22
25-26
19-18
23-12
165.2Avg total
87.7Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.176.2164.4+11.977%
Season at home (11)90.674.1164.7+16.591%
Season away (11)85.678.4164.0+7.364%
Last 10 (10)87.777.5165.2+10.270%
Last 5 (5)87.279.4166.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.890.8146.6-35.00%
vs Similar (3)78.781.3160.0-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.576.2165.8+13.380%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
SassariBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H10/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H14/01
Lega A
Cholet
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/01
Champions League
Treviso
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/02
Lega A
Tortona
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H03/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/03
Lega A
79.8Avg total
42.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.880.8-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.538.379.8+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)38.743.181.8-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.779.8+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.642.681.3-4.045%-
vs Similar (18)40.840.481.2+0.339%-
vs Weaker (1)41.028.069.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
Lega A
82.7Avg total
44.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.581.8+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.036.282.2+9.869%-
Last 30 away (17)39.641.981.5-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.182.7+6.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.284.0+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.847.875.6-20.00%-
vs Similar (3)42.344.086.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.537.684.1+8.970%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.3
55.1%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.1
39.7%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
76.3%14.0
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.6
55.5%
53.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.4
74.0%
76.3%13.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WWLWLLLWLW
Brescia
WLLWWWWWLW
#8
League position
#3
+0.3
Net rating
+14.7
110.7
Offensive rating
113.1
110.4
Defensive rating
98.4
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.5%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.7%
3-point %
35.2%
61.6%
Assist %
54.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 113.1Defence110.4 · 98.4Shooting56.9% · 54.5%3-point %39.7% · 35.2%Ball care19.4% · 15.5%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Sassari   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sassari wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Brescia v Sassari110-65
12/02/23Brescia v Sassari80-93
02/01/23Sassari v Brescia92-94 OT
22/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-95
20/05/22Sassari v Brescia98-68
18/05/22Brescia v Sassari85-91
16/05/22Brescia v Sassari104-97
23/01/22Brescia v Sassari97-86
24/10/21Sassari v Brescia65-76
18/04/21Brescia v Sassari82-94
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AVenezia78-71
03/03/24HVirtus Bologna93-88
10/02/24ATortona62-79
04/02/24HCremona86-80
28/01/24AOlimpia Milano65-80
21/01/24ATreviso70-77
17/01/24ACholet77-93
14/01/24HPistoia107-69
10/01/24HCholet91-95
07/01/24APesaro79-69
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HScafati89-78
03/03/24APesaro83-93
15/02/24HBasket Napoli74-80
11/02/24HReggiana86-63
03/02/24ABasket Napoli104-83
28/01/24HPistoia109-90
20/01/24ATrento93-69
14/01/24HTreviso88-67
07/01/24ABrindisi79-88
30/12/23HOlimpia Milano72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%73%18%
Points / game76.584.069.1
Allowed / game81.482.280.6
Point differential-4.9+1.8-11.5
Avg total158.0166.2149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW77%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%91%64%
Points / game88.190.685.6
Allowed / game76.274.178.4
Point differential+11.9+16.5+7.3
Avg total164.4164.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2217577%88.176.2+11.9
2 Virtus Bologna2216673%88.476.3+12.1
3 Venezia2316770%82.076.3+5.7
4 Olimpia Milano2315865%79.073.1+5.9
5 Reggiana23131057%81.281.0+0.2
6 Basket Napoli23121152%86.085.0+1.0
7 Pistoia23121152%78.782.3-3.6
8 Trento22111150%83.383.4-0.1
9 Tortona23111248%80.179.0+1.1
10 Scafati23111248%83.487.0-3.6
11 Sassari22101245%76.581.4-4.9
12 Cremona2291341%80.579.0+1.6
13 Varese2391439%84.290.0-5.8
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2261627%79.187.1-8.0
16 Brindisi2251723%73.582.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sassari2627191717106
Brescia2028281312101
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