Sassari vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Sassari hosts Pesaro on 11 November 2026 in Serie A2, with the Pythia model naming Sassari the favourite and projecting an 82-77 win for the home side. Sassari finished the season 4-4, averaging 74.9 points and allowing 75.1, while Pesaro sits 5-3, 80.2 points for and 77.9 against; Sassari's home record is 2-2 with 78.5 points for and 77.5 against, and Pesaro's road record is 2-1 with 84.0 points for and 78.7 against. In the last five games each side won two and lost three, with Sassari's recent results including a 95-75 home win over Caserta and a 67-70 loss to Cividale away, and Pesaro's recent outings featuring a 73-85 home defeat to Mestre, a 70-79 away loss to Avellino Basket and a 71-73 home loss to Basket Torino. Their head-to-head record is even at 5-5, though Pesaro last beat Sassari 96-91 on 7 April 2024. The model gives Sassari a 69% chance of winning, Pesaro 31%, and a 53% probability that Sassari covers the -5.0 spread; the over on the 153.5 total has a 62% chance, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The projected total points are 158.8.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

68.7%fair 1.46

Best odds1.42

Implied67.6%

Edge+1.1pp

Pesaro winLost

31.3%fair 3.20

Best odds2.92

Implied32.4%

Edge-1.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 22:27 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSassari

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

73-80

-7

67avg 75

H03/05

Lega A

Brescia

71-92

-21

56avg 75

A10/05

Lega A

Urania Milano

#19

70-68

59avg 75

A27/09

Serie A2

Montecatini

#20

72-81

-9

14avg 75

H04/10

Serie A2

Mestre

#13

87-74

+13

83avg 75

A10/10

Serie A2

Cento

#18

80-70

+10

85avg 75

H17/10

Serie A2

Rimini

67-84

-17

59avg 75

H21/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#17

61-79

-18

44avg 75

A25/10

Serie A2

Caserta

#15

95-75

+20

95avg 75

H01/11

Serie A2

Cividale

#12

67-70

-3

no box

A07/11

Serie A2

13-14

24-16

15-30

21-20

16-27

15-30

24-15

16-20

18-19

20-12

19-15

13-22

16-28

15-19

20-15

21-19

25-27

25-21

19-15

18-11

24-20

23-12

13-22

20-16

20-22

16-28

14-16

17-18

15-15

10-21

16-21

20-22

20-19

18-16

29-19

28-21

15-14

25-22

17-13

10-21

151.6Avg total

74.3Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.9	75.1	150.0	-0.2	50%
Season at home (4)	78.5	77.5	156.0	+1.0	50%
Season away (4)	71.2	72.8	144.0	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	77.3	151.6	-3.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	75.6	149.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	80.7	87.9	168.6	-7.3	27%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	84.8	85.0	169.8	-0.2	30%
vs Weaker (5)	75.6	74.6	150.2	+1.0	60%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPesaro

Date

Competition

Rimini

96-94

90avg 77

A16/05

Serie A2

Rimini

78-91

-13

68avg 77

H19/05

Serie A2

Cento

#18

96-81

+15

92avg 77

A27/09

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#16

87-84

32avg 77

H04/10

Serie A2

Caserta

#15

83-77

87avg 77

H11/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#17

86-76

+10

67avg 77

A18/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#12

76-68

76avg 77

H21/10

Serie A2

Basket Torino

71-73

-2

61avg 77

H25/10

Serie A2

Avellino Basket

70-79

-9

60avg 77

A01/11

Serie A2

Mestre

#13

73-85

-12

no box

H07/11

Serie A2

21-26

33-19

17-31

25-18

18-20

11-27

22-21

27-23

31-14

25-25

20-19

20-23

24-23

21-18

15-26

27-17

23-24

23-15

16-21

21-17

13-15

27-31

22-17

24-13

22-21

20-18

13-15

21-14

15-20

21-20

18-19

17-14

19-21

18-27

13-16

20-15

22-22

18-30

19-12

14-21

162.4Avg total

81.6Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.2	77.9	158.1	+2.4	62%
Season at home (5)	78.0	77.4	155.4	+0.6	60%
Season away (3)	84.0	78.7	162.7	+5.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	80.8	162.4	+0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	76.2	151.4	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	70.0	79.0	149.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	82.1	84.8	166.8	-2.7	50%
vs Weaker (9)	85.6	76.4	162.0	+9.1	100%

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 148.5Actual: Over 148.5

Over 148.5

73.0%

@ 1.49+10.0pp

Under 148.5

27.0%

@ 2.47-10.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.49

Betano

1.45

Under

Betano

2.47

Over/Under 153.5 · main lineActual: Over 153.5

Over 153.5

62.0%

@ 1.89+11.5pp

Under 153.5

38.0%

@ 1.93-11.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.89

BetVictor

1.85

SBO

1.84

WilliamHill

1.80

Betano

1.78

Under

Pinnacle

1.93

WilliamHill

1.91

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.89

1xBet

1.85

Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5

Over 158.5

50.1%

@ 2.27+9.8pp

Under 158.5

49.9%

@ 1.53-9.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.27

Under

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.51

📊 3. Team Totals

Sassari total 75.5Actual: Sassari over 75.5

Over 75.5

74.4%

@ 1.42+9.1pp

Under 75.5

25.6%

@ 2.62-9.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.34

Under

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.56

Sassari total 79.5 · main lineActual: Sassari over 79.5

Over 79.5

60.3%

@ 1.85+9.4pp

Under 79.5

39.7%

@ 1.87-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.80

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.65

Under

Betano

1.87

Marathon Be

1.87

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.80

Sassari total 83.5Actual: Sassari over 83.5

Over 83.5

44.7%

@ 2.50+7.0pp

Under 83.5

55.3%

@ 1.45-7.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.25

Under

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.42

Pesaro total 70.5Actual: Pesaro over 70.5

Over 70.5

72.2%

@ 1.42+8.2pp

Under 70.5

27.8%

@ 2.57-8.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.41

Pesaro total 74.5 · main lineActual: Pesaro over 74.5

Over 74.5

57.8%

@ 1.86+7.7pp

Under 74.5

42.2%

@ 1.91-7.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.84

Betano

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Under

WilliamHill

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Bet365

1.80

Pesaro total 78.5Actual: Pesaro over 78.5

Over 78.5

42.4%

@ 2.55+6.0pp

Under 78.5

57.6%

@ 1.44-6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.37

Under

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sassari -8.5Actual: Sassari -8.5

SAS -8.5

39.7%

@ 2.30-0.3pp

PES +8.5

60.3%

@ 1.54+0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

SAS

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.19

PES

Marathon Be

1.54

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.48

Spread Sassari -5.5 · main lineActual: Sassari -5.5

SAS -5.5

50.9%

@ 1.93+1.6pp

PES +5.5

49.1%

@ 1.95-1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

SAS

Pinnacle

1.93

BetVictor

1.88

SBO

1.87

Betano

1.85

1xBet

1.83

PES

Bet365

1.95

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

1xBet

1.84

Marathon Be

1.84

Spread Sassari -2.5Actual: Sassari -2.5

SAS -2.5

61.9%

@ 1.56+1.2pp

PES +2.5

38.1%

@ 2.41-1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

SAS

Pinnacle

1.56

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

1xBet

1.44

PES

Pinnacle

2.41

1xBet

2.30

Betano

2.27

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariPesaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.0	40%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	40%	87%
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.1	40.7	+0.6	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.8	21.3	43.1	+0.5	47%	87%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	30%	50%
vs Weaker (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	40%	60%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	62%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	21%	57%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.1	21.1	41.1	-1.0	45%	65%
vs Weaker (9)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.2	44%	44%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.3	40.5	-2.0	40%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	33%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	47%	67%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	20%	53%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	90%
vs Weaker (5)	17.2	16.0	33.2	+1.2	60%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.5
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	63%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	69%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	24.2	21.7	45.9	+2.5	57%	79%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	25.2	46.0	-4.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	27.0	45.0	-9.0	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.8	20.9	42.8	+0.9	65%	60%
vs Weaker (9)	24.6	20.8	45.3	+3.8	67%	78%

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

37-30

H03/05

Lega A

Brescia

31-57

-26

A10/05

Lega A

Urania Milano

#19

38-31

A27/09

Serie A2

Montecatini

#20

31-47

-16

H04/10

Serie A2

Mestre

#13

50-48

A10/10

Serie A2

Cento

#18

47-32

+15

H17/10

Serie A2

Rimini

36-50

-14

H21/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#17

25-36

-11

A25/10

Serie A2

Caserta

#15

38-35

H01/11

Serie A2

Cividale

#12

40-36

A07/11

Serie A2

77.5Avg total

37.3Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.25
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.1	82.2	-2.0	47%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-1.1	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	41.7	80.5	-2.9	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	40.2	77.5	-2.9	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	37.2	37.8	75.0	-0.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.8	43.8	83.6	-4.0	33%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.8	42.5	85.3	+0.3	60%	70%
vs Weaker (5)	35.8	36.2	72.0	-0.4	60%	40%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rimini

54-45

A16/05

Serie A2

Rimini

29-47

-18

H19/05

Serie A2

Cento

#18

56-39

+17

A27/09

Serie A2

JuVi Cremona

#16

45-41

H04/10

Serie A2

Caserta

#15

46-39

H11/10

Serie A2

Ruvo Di Puglia

#17

40-46

-6

A18/10

Serie A2

Cividale

#12

42-39

H21/10

Serie A2

Basket Torino

36-40

-4

H25/10

Serie A2

Avellino Basket

37-48

-11

A01/11

Serie A2

Mestre

#13

40-52

-12

H07/11

Serie A2

86.1Avg total

42.5Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 77.25
Last 30 (30)	42.4	41.1	83.5	+1.3	57%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	39.6	82.1	+2.9	69%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	42.7	85.0	-0.4	43%	71%
Last 10 (10)	42.5	43.6	86.1	-1.1	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	39.0	45.0	84.0	-6.0	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	48.0	85.0	-11.0	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.9	42.0	83.8	-0.1	45%	70%
vs Weaker (9)	44.2	38.2	82.4	+6.0	89%	78%

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Sassari win

SAS win

no forecast

@ 1.52

PES win

no forecast

@ 2.63

1st half Spread Sassari -3 · main linePush

SAS -3

no forecast

@ 1.94

PES +3

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Over/Under 77.25 · main lineActual: Over 77.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Sassari 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Sassari over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Pesaro 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Pesaro over 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: SAS + total 77.5

SAS & over

no forecast

@ 2.85

SAS & under

no forecast

@ 3.05

1st half: Draw + total 77.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PES + total 77.5

PES & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

PES & under

no forecast

@ 5.00

1st half Over/Under 76Actual: Over 76

Over

no forecast

@ 1.76

Under

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.10

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Spread Sassari -2Actual: Sassari -2

SAS -2

no forecast

@ 1.76

PES +2

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Spread Sassari -4.5Actual: Pesaro +4.5

SAS -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

PES +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.60

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Spread Sassari -5.5Actual: Pesaro +5.5

SAS -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.35

PES +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half Spread Sassari -6.5Actual: Pesaro +6.5

SAS -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.36

PES +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.42

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation

SAS

no forecast

@ 1.57

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

PES

no forecast

@ 2.60

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.5	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	60%	60%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.5	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	33%	80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.7	18.4	41.1	+4.3	80%	70%
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	20%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 37.75
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	37%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	38%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	22.1	43.4	-0.9	36%	86%
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	16.0	29.0	-3.0	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.5	22.2	41.7	-2.7	30%	80%
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	56%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	30%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.1	33%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.7	21.3	40.9	-1.6	33%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.3	24.1	43.4	-4.8	10%	70%
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	60%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.9	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.1	62%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.4	40.2	-0.5	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	80%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.4	34.6	+3.8	80%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	50%	60%
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	56%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.75
Last 30 (30)	40.4	42.3	82.6	-1.9	37%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	43.5	86.5	-0.6	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	37.0	37.1	74.1	-0.1	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	36.8	37.8	74.6	-1.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.5	43.4	82.9	-3.9	33%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.0	42.5	84.5	-0.5	40%	70%
vs Weaker (5)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	40%	40%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 75.75
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	50%	70%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	39.7	79.3	-0.1	56%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	42.5	83.6	-1.4	43%	86%
Last 10 (10)	39.1	37.2	76.3	+1.9	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	36.2	31.2	67.4	+5.0	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	31.0	64.0	+2.0	100%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.2	42.8	83.0	-2.5	50%	75%
vs Weaker (9)	41.3	38.2	79.6	+3.1	44%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SAS win + total 153.5

🔒 Pro

PES win + total 153.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PES leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SAS:PES): SAS wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 146.5	76.9%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Over 149.5	70.9%	1.52	Betano 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.51	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Over 148.5	73.0%	1.47	Marathon Bet 1.49	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Over 147.5	75.0%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Sassari over 76.5	71.1%	1.45	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Sassari over 75.5	74.4%	1.38	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Sassari over 74.5	77.4%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Pesaro over 69.5	75.4%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Pesaro over 68.5	78.4%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Pesaro over 70.5	72.2%	1.40	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.2%	1.03	WilliamHill 1.04	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Lost
Sassari +2.5	74.6%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Sassari +3.5	77.1%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Sassari +1.5	71.1%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Pesaro +12.5	73.3%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Pesaro +11.5	70.3%	1.31	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Over 149	72.4%	1.51	Marathon Bet 1.51	-	-	-	-	-	Won
Over 150	70.3%	1.53	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	-	-	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 70.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	16.0	47.9%	51.2%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	8.7	37.5%	34.5%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.6	70.8%	71.0%	12.6

They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	17.5	50.7%	51.2%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	8.5	41.1%	34.5%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.8	77.5%	71.0%	14.8

They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	17.3	51.8%	51.2%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	9.1	35.4%	34.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.6	75.1%	71.0%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	18.9	56.8%	51.2%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.0	33.1%	34.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.5	76.7%	71.0%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.4	53.6%	51.2%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.6	34.4%	34.5%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	21.7	16.2	74.7%	71.0%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.2	53.0%	51.2%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	9.4	40.2%	34.5%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.2	76.5%	71.0%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	19.9	56.5%	51.2%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.1	32.9%	34.5%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	22.8	17.4	76.4%	71.0%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	20.1	54.5%	51.2%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.9	33.5%	34.5%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.3	74.9%	71.0%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sassari

LWLLWWLWLL

Pesaro

LLLWWWWWLW

#11

League position

#10

-6.5

Net rating

-1.4

96.0

Offensive rating

105.1

102.5

Defensive rating

106.5

51.3%

Effective FG%

54.8%

52.4%

Opp. effective FG%

53.7%

12.1%

Turnover %

10.0%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.35

37.5%

3-point %

41.1%

53.0%

Assist %

53.1%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Sassari ■ Pesaro

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Pesaro wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/24	Sassari v Pesaro	91-96
07/01/24	Pesaro v Sassari	69-79
29/01/23	Sassari v Pesaro	110-74
27/11/22	Pesaro v Sassari	81-75
10/04/22	Pesaro v Sassari	75-73
26/09/21	Sassari v Pesaro	75-73
12/02/21	Sassari v Pesaro	110-115 OT
17/01/21	Sassari v Pesaro	99-74
27/09/20	Pesaro v Sassari	85-95
14/09/20	Sassari v Pesaro	78-81

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Cividale	67-70
01/11/26	H	Caserta	95-75
25/10/26	A	Ruvo Di Puglia	61-79
21/10/26	H	Rimini	67-84
17/10/26	H	Cento	80-70
10/10/26	A	Mestre	87-74
04/10/26	H	Montecatini	72-81
27/09/26	A	Urania Milano	70-68
10/05/26	A	Brescia	71-92
03/05/26	H	Virtus Bologna	73-80

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Mestre	73-85
01/11/26	A	Avellino Basket	70-79
25/10/26	H	Basket Torino	71-73
21/10/26	H	Cividale	76-68
18/10/26	A	Ruvo Di Puglia	86-76
11/10/26	H	Caserta	83-77
04/10/26	H	JuVi Cremona	87-84
27/09/26	A	Cento	96-81
19/05/26	H	Rimini	78-91
16/05/26	A	Rimini	96-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	WWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	74.9	78.5	71.2
Allowed / game	75.1	77.5	72.8
Point differential	-0.2	+1.0	-1.5
Avg total	150.0	156.0	144.0
Over 153.5	25%	25%	25%
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pesaro

Serie A2 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	62%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	62%	60%	67%
Points / game	80.2	78.0	84.0
Allowed / game	77.9	77.4	78.7
Point differential	+2.4	+0.6	+5.3
Avg total	158.1	155.4	162.7
Over 153.5	62%	60%	67%
Win by 10+	25%	0%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Libertas Livorno	8	8	0	100%	81.6	68.2	+13.4
2	Avellino Basket	8	7	1	88%	80.9	73.4	+7.5
3	Rimini	8	6	2	75%	81.8	70.6	+11.1
4	Fortitudo Bologna	8	6	2	75%	79.6	74.2	+5.4
5	Sebastiani Rieti	8	6	2	75%	74.1	73.4	+0.8
6	Basket Torino	7	5	2	71%	72.4	71.4	+1.0
7	Brindisi	8	5	3	62%	77.0	73.4	+3.6
8	Pesaro	8	5	3	62%	80.2	77.9	+2.4
9	Pistoia	8	4	4	50%	77.4	69.5	+7.9
10	Forli	8	4	4	50%	82.5	78.5	+4.0
11	Sassari	8	4	4	50%	74.9	75.1	-0.2
12	Mestre	8	4	4	50%	74.5	75.9	-1.4
13	Cividale	8	4	4	50%	70.6	73.5	-2.9
14	Caserta	7	2	5	29%	79.3	83.3	-4.0
15	Ruvo Di Puglia	8	2	6	25%	76.1	82.5	-6.4
16	Vigevano	8	2	6	25%	76.5	84.4	-7.9
17	Cento	8	2	6	25%	72.2	82.6	-10.4
18	JuVi Cremona	8	1	7	12%	74.9	78.0	-3.1
19	Urania Milano	8	1	7	12%	74.5	81.9	-7.4
20	Montecatini	8	1	7	12%	68.9	82.6	-13.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Sassari	21	22	19	17	17	96
Pesaro	25	15	19	20	8	87

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature