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Sassari vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-74
23-19 21-22 28-20 27-13
Position#5
Record10-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game86.3
Sassari 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record8-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.4
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Sassari v Pesaro
11 Nov 2026
SAS96
PES87
07 Apr 2024
SAS91
PES96
29 Jan 2023
SAS110
PES74
26 Sep 2021
SAS75
PES73
12 Feb 2021
SAS110
PES115
17 Jan 2021
SAS99
PES74
14 Sep 2020
SAS78
PES81
29 Sep 2019
SAS99
PES79
26 Dec 2018
SAS114
PES73
09 May 2018
SAS112
PES81
30 Oct 2016
SAS86
PES59
23 Nov 2015
SAS106
PES80
17 Nov 2014
SAS92
PES64
02 Mar 2014
SAS102
PES78
24 Feb 2013
SAS87
PES76
30 Dec 2011
SAS84
PES83
06 Mar 2011
SAS80
PES75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#7
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 86
A18/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 86
A06/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
97-93
97
93
+4
98avg 86
H13/12
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#7
L
71-93
71
93
-22
63avg 86
H16/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
84avg 86
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
95-75
95
75
+20
95avg 86
A23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
100-87
100
87
+13
96avg 86
H27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
85-78 OT
85
78
+7
no box
A03/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
85-115
85
115
-30
no box
A06/01
Champions League
Cantu
#15
W
98-92
98
92
+6
96avg 86
H10/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
23-18
20-17
22-24
27-12
19-26
14-16
23-24
21-29
19-9
33-25
24-30
29-19
8-22
20-27
14-25
25-26
22-22
28-24
11-30
23-16
18-25
29-12
25-22
15-31
26-15
30-23
29-18
21-23
13-14
22-17
17-19
15-29
28-21
24-32
18-33
25-14
23-22
26-27
24-29
178.8Avg total
89.1Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.286.3176.5+3.967%
Season at home (7)92.487.7180.1+4.771%
Season away (8)88.285.1173.4+3.162%
Last 10 (10)89.189.7178.8-0.670%
Last 5 (5)92.689.4182.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.790.7175.3-6.050%
vs Similar (7)86.489.1175.6-2.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.582.8175.4+9.776%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
W
95-83 OT
95
83
+12
no box
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 74
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
72avg 74
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
72avg 74
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 74
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
82avg 74
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 74
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 74
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 74
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 74
H10/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
27-7
19-27
17-24
16-21
18-18
27-18
24-21
19-22
23-15
17-16
25-10
18-28
22-19
26-28
15-16
15-21
19-13
20-23
16-21
27-21
23-15
26-24
16-21
26-20
20-25
19-17
19-12
22-22
22-30
14-23
22-25
18-21
31-18
23-25
21-33
16-22
24-23
28-15
30-28
169.5Avg total
86.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.381.4164.7+1.953%
Season at home (8)82.278.8161.0+3.562%
Season away (7)84.684.4169.0+0.143%
Last 10 (10)86.283.3169.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)89.488.0177.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.992.8176.6-8.921%
vs Similar (13)79.378.9158.2+0.454%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
SassariPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/11
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A06/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/12
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A20/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A06/01
Champions League
Cantu
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H10/01
Lega A
84.4Avg total
42.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.186.5+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.841.586.3+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)45.940.786.7+5.253%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.344.587.8-1.233%-
vs Similar (7)47.347.194.4+0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.337.582.8+7.859%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/01
Lega A
81.8Avg total
41.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.583.1+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.980.1-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)44.142.086.1+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.489.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)44.645.490.0-0.943%-
vs Similar (13)37.840.378.1-2.523%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.0
53.8%
51.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.0
40.4%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.417.8
79.5%
75.8%17.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.1
52.5%
51.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.6
38.1%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
75.8%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLWWWLLWWW
Pesaro
WLLWWLLWWW
#5
League position
#10
-2.9
Net rating
+4.7
112.9
Offensive rating
116.9
115.8
Defensive rating
112.2
56.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.4%
3-point %
38.1%
58.7%
Assist %
50.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 116.9Defence115.8 · 112.2Shooting56.2% · 54.5%3-point %40.4% · 38.1%Ball care19.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.6% · 31.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sassari wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
27/09/20Pesaro v Sassari85-95
14/09/20Sassari v Pesaro78-81
05/09/20Pesaro v Sassari71-86
19/01/20Pesaro v Sassari82-107
29/09/19Sassari v Pesaro99-79
20/04/19Pesaro v Sassari81-88
26/12/18Sassari v Pesaro114-73
09/05/18Sassari v Pesaro112-81
13/01/18Pesaro v Sassari88-85
26/02/17Pesaro v Sassari76-71
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HCantu98-92
06/01/21ATenerife85-115
03/01/21AReggiana85-78 OT
27/12/20HBrescia100-87
23/12/20ACremona95-75
20/12/20AOlimpia Milano86-102
16/12/20HBakken Bears71-93
13/12/20HTreviso97-93
06/12/20AVirtus Bologna83-78
18/11/20ABakken Bears91-84
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/21HBrescia98-88
03/01/21AOlimpia Milano93-97
30/12/20AVirtus Bologna80-100
27/12/20HTrieste84-74
19/12/20ABrindisi92-81
12/12/20HFortitudo Bologna70-78
06/12/20ATreviso81-91
22/11/20HReggiana84-63
08/11/20HVarese85-78
01/11/20HCremona95-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game90.292.488.2
Allowed / game86.387.785.1
Point differential+3.9+4.7+3.1
Avg total176.5180.1173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game83.382.284.6
Allowed / game81.478.884.4
Point differential+1.9+3.5+0.1
Avg total164.7161.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1514193%89.972.9+17.0
2 Brindisi1511473%85.980.0+5.9
3 Virtus Bologna1510567%85.077.5+7.5
4 Sassari1510567%90.286.3+3.9
5 Venezia1610662%80.276.8+3.4
6 Pesaro158753%83.381.4+1.9
7 Trieste147750%77.477.4+0.0
8 Trento146843%78.679.7-1.1
9 Cremona146843%83.686.3-2.6
10 Treviso146843%84.490.1-5.7
11 Reggiana156940%76.180.5-4.4
12 Fortitudo Bologna1551033%78.982.6-3.7
13 Brescia1551033%79.483.3-3.9
14 Cantu1651131%78.183.1-5.1
15 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2321282799
Pesaro1922201374
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