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Pesaro vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 69-79
20-13 8-28 14-27 27-11
Position#16
Record5-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record5-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game84.1
ItalyLega ARound 15· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Sassari
30 Jan 2027
PES v SAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
PES69
SAS79
27 Nov 2022
PES81
SAS75
10 Apr 2022
PES75
SAS73
27 Sep 2020
PES85
SAS95
05 Sep 2020
PES71
SAS86
19 Jan 2020
PES82
SAS107
20 Apr 2019
PES81
SAS88
13 Jan 2018
PES88
SAS85
26 Feb 2017
PES76
SAS71
13 Mar 2016
PES86
SAS65
09 Mar 2015
PES71
SAS75
17 Nov 2013
PES77
SAS82
28 Oct 2012
PES90
SAS100
22 Apr 2012
PES89
SAS81
21 Nov 2010
PES79
SAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 70
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 70
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 70
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 70
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 70
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
63avg 70
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
65avg 70
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 70
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
51avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
15-28
23-19
25-18
25-19
12-28
18-24
22-26
20-29
28-16
16-27
32-20
17-26
16-27
23-20
13-23
26-21
22-18
28-13
19-24
18-29
20-22
14-19
16-31
12-19
22-17
13-25
27-26
17-23
30-15
17-14
10-21
21-18
24-19
21-24
15-27
19-15
13-26
16-17
18-25
166.5Avg total
79.0Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.886.2166.0-6.436%
Season at home (7)84.389.0173.3-4.729%
Season away (7)75.383.4158.7-8.143%
Last 10 (10)79.087.5166.5-8.540%
Last 5 (5)72.686.4159.0-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.289.2165.4-13.025%
vs Similar (10)83.985.8169.7-1.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
80-97
80
97
-17
72avg 77
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
79-76
79
76
+3
84avg 77
H25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 77
H03/12
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-110
79
110
-31
72avg 77
A05/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
65-110
65
110
-45
56avg 77
A10/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
87avg 77
H17/12
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 77
H20/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
59-77
59
77
-18
47avg 77
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
62-73
62
73
-11
48avg 77
H30/12
Lega A
Cholet
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
102avg 77
A03/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
23-30
11-21
28-22
14-21
21-12
19-21
25-22
20-14
21-16
24-28
24-25
18-31
17-24
24-26
20-29
17-29
8-33
13-26
27-22
22-25
28-26
14-16
20-14
23-25
22-20
28-15
24-21
21-18
13-18
14-18
11-23
18-18
10-16
18-19
16-20
25-16
27-18
25-17
16-21
164.7Avg total
78.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.684.1158.7-9.636%
Season at home (8)79.883.4163.1-3.662%
Season away (6)67.785.2152.8-17.50%
Last 10 (10)78.786.0164.7-7.350%
Last 5 (5)79.076.8155.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.788.5162.2-14.817%
vs Similar (18)80.780.2160.9+0.556%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.8-0.8
PesaroSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/12
Lega A
83.6Avg total
40.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.682.1-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.179.3-3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)38.946.184.9-7.220%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.145.482.5-8.215%-
vs Similar (10)41.240.081.2+1.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/12
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A05/12
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
25-62
25
62
-37
A10/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H17/12
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H20/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Cholet
#14
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A03/01
Champions League
82.0Avg total
38.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.980.9-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.639.379.9+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)37.544.582.0-6.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.482.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.081.8+1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.142.878.9-6.833%-
vs Similar (18)41.141.282.3-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.0
37.0%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
76.3%13.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.1
54.4%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.116.5
82.1%
76.3%16.5
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLLWLWLW
Sassari
WLLWWLLWWL
#16
League position
#8
-11.2
Net rating
-9.8
103.2
Offensive rating
103.6
114.5
Defensive rating
113.4
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
22.1%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.0%
3-point %
35.0%
65.7%
Assist %
72.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 103.6Defence114.5 · 113.4Shooting50.6% · 53.6%3-point %37.0% · 35.0%Ball care16.8% · 22.1%Off. rebounds23.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Sassari v Pesaro110-74
27/11/22Pesaro v Sassari81-75
10/04/22Pesaro v Sassari75-73
26/09/21Sassari v Pesaro75-73
12/02/21Sassari v Pesaro110-115 OT
17/01/21Sassari v Pesaro99-74
27/09/20Pesaro v Sassari85-95
14/09/20Sassari v Pesaro78-81
05/09/20Pesaro v Sassari71-86
19/01/20Pesaro v Sassari82-107
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AVirtus Bologna66-83
23/12/23HVarese81-88
17/12/23APistoia74-73
10/12/23HTrento74-87
02/12/23AReggiana68-101
26/11/23HTreviso95-76
19/11/23ACremona69-96
12/11/23HTortona96-92
04/11/23HBasket Napoli77-97
29/10/23AOlimpia Milano90-82
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24ACholet93-72
30/12/23HVenezia62-73
23/12/23AReggiana59-77
20/12/23HSzczecin97-81
17/12/23HBrindisi84-81
10/12/23ABrescia65-110
05/12/23AAEK Athens79-110
03/12/23HOlimpia Milano89-83
25/11/23HScafati79-76
22/11/23HLudwigsburg80-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%29%43%
Points / game79.884.375.3
Allowed / game86.289.083.4
Point differential-6.4-4.7-8.1
Avg total166.0173.3158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL36%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%62%0%
Points / game74.679.867.7
Allowed / game84.183.485.2
Point differential-9.6-3.6-17.5
Avg total158.7163.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1411379%86.374.7+11.6
2 Venezia1411379%81.476.3+5.1
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%87.776.9+10.8
4 Trento149564%84.681.6+3.0
5 Olimpia Milano148657%78.774.6+4.1
6 Basket Napoli148657%85.782.4+3.3
7 Reggiana148657%84.682.9+1.8
8 Cremona147750%81.979.3+2.6
9 Pistoia147750%79.781.6-1.9
10 Scafati157847%84.186.8-2.7
11 Tortona156940%77.980.8-2.9
12 Varese156940%86.390.3-4.0
13 Pesaro145936%79.886.2-6.4
14 Sassari145936%74.684.1-9.6
15 Treviso1541127%81.084.3-3.3
16 Brindisi1421214%71.982.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro208142769
Sassari1328271179
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