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Pesaro vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-95
26-18 16-22 27-29 16-26
Position#10
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Sassari
30 Jan 2027
PES v SAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
PES69
SAS79
27 Nov 2022
PES81
SAS75
10 Apr 2022
PES75
SAS73
27 Sep 2020
PES85
SAS95
05 Sep 2020
PES71
SAS86
19 Jan 2020
PES82
SAS107
20 Apr 2019
PES81
SAS88
13 Jan 2018
PES88
SAS85
26 Feb 2017
PES76
SAS71
13 Mar 2016
PES86
SAS65
09 Mar 2015
PES71
SAS75
17 Nov 2013
PES77
SAS82
28 Oct 2012
PES90
SAS100
22 Apr 2012
PES89
SAS81
21 Nov 2010
PES79
SAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
18-21
19-17
20-15
26-18
23-26
19-27
17-9
12-24
23-7
28-20
25-13
28-20
24-16
20-9
23-19
22-12
23-20
9-24
18-28
20-12
23-28
25-22
17-15
16-13
165.4Avg total
82.6Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.682.8165.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.072.8155.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.592.1170.6-13.74%
vs Similar (4)76.279.8156.0-3.550%
vs Weaker (2)96.558.0154.5+38.5100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A07/03
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
114-71
114
71
+43
H03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
99-76
99
76
+23
A12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
18-19
26-27
24-18
24-20
20-14
20-19
18-30
24-19
30-16
19-27
20-26
29-21
39-17
30-18
16-15
26-23
27-19
9-17
24-12
24-20
15-28
24-17
28-24
28-25
29-21
20-24
18-26
35-22
26-15
21-13
17-26
28-23
22-25
15-17
13-16
24-19
18-21
17-22
17-26
173.4Avg total
90.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.183.3173.4+6.850%
Last 5 (5)87.886.0173.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)86.683.2169.8+3.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.275.2163.4+13.080%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
PesaroSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
84.2Avg total
42.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.984.3-5.517%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.644.180.7-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)42.245.787.9-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.184.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.746.284.9-7.512%-
vs Similar (4)39.846.286.0-6.50%-
vs Weaker (2)47.526.073.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A07/03
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
68-38
68
38
+30
H03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
61-37
61
37
+24
A12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
91.8Avg total
50.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.639.084.6+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.886.4+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)45.537.182.6+8.471%-
Last 10 (10)50.541.391.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.893.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)44.943.188.0+1.870%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.937.082.9+8.970%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
75.8%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.410.5
44.9%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.420.5
77.7%
75.8%20.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWWLWLLLW
Sassari
LLWLWWWWLL
#10
League position
#5
-16.6
Net rating
+12.4
103.9
Offensive rating
123.1
120.5
Defensive rating
110.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
59.6%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.46
31.9%
3-point %
44.9%
51.4%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 123.1Defence120.5 · 110.7Shooting47.0% · 59.6%3-point %31.9% · 44.9%Ball care15.5% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 36.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
14/09/20Sassari v Pesaro78-81
05/09/20Pesaro v Sassari71-86
19/01/20Pesaro v Sassari82-107
29/09/19Sassari v Pesaro99-79
20/04/19Pesaro v Sassari81-88
26/12/18Sassari v Pesaro114-73
09/05/18Sassari v Pesaro112-81
13/01/18Pesaro v Sassari88-85
26/02/17Pesaro v Sassari76-71
30/10/16Sassari v Pesaro86-59
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/20ASassari81-78
12/09/20HBrindisi70-84
10/09/20AVirtus Roma89-56
07/09/20HVirtus Roma104-60
05/09/20HSassari71-86
03/09/20ABrindisi83-71
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/09/20HVirtus Bologna76-88
14/09/20HPesaro78-81
12/09/20AVirtus Roma99-76
10/09/20ABrindisi95-96
07/09/20HBrindisi91-89
05/09/20APesaro86-71
03/09/20HVirtus Roma114-71
07/03/20AVirtus Roma93-88
02/02/20ATrieste82-83
25/01/20HTrento87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sassari
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trieste110100%102.077.0+25.0
2 Olimpia Milano110100%87.071.0+16.0
3 Varese110100%94.089.0+5.0
4 Virtus Roma110100%81.076.0+5.0
5 Treviso110100%84.080.0+4.0
6 Trento1010%80.084.0-4.0
7 Brescia1010%89.094.0-5.0
8 Fortitudo Bologna1010%76.081.0-5.0
9 Reggiana1010%71.087.0-16.0
10 Cremona1010%77.0102.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2616271685
Sassari1822292695
← all games of the day
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