PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-75
19-20 23-18 17-20 22-17
Position#10
Record4-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game85.6
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Sassari
30 Jan 2027
PES v SAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
PES69
SAS79
27 Nov 2022
PES81
SAS75
10 Apr 2022
PES75
SAS73
27 Sep 2020
PES85
SAS95
05 Sep 2020
PES71
SAS86
19 Jan 2020
PES82
SAS107
20 Apr 2019
PES81
SAS88
13 Jan 2018
PES88
SAS85
26 Feb 2017
PES76
SAS71
13 Mar 2016
PES86
SAS65
09 Mar 2015
PES71
SAS75
17 Nov 2013
PES77
SAS82
28 Oct 2012
PES90
SAS100
22 Apr 2012
PES89
SAS81
21 Nov 2010
PES79
SAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 74
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 74
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
102avg 74
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 74
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 74
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
98-97
98
97
+1
90avg 74
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
102-74
102
74
+28
94avg 74
A20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
14-21
18-17
22-20
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
27-18
20-26
25-16
28-14
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
14-24
15-23
26-17
18-17
26-20
23-22
22-22
16-23
22-26
29-20
26-27
21-24
18-11
21-30
12-25
20-19
19-10
33-24
33-21
17-19
163.9Avg total
81.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.185.6175.7+4.657%
Season at home (3)86.091.0177.0-5.033%
Season away (4)93.281.5174.8+11.875%
Last 10 (10)81.382.6163.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.084.2161.2-7.238%
vs Similar (14)86.684.3170.9+2.364%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A02/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#2
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 79
H05/10
Champions League
Verona
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
105avg 79
H09/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 79
A16/10
Lega A
PAOK
#32
L
68-88
68
88
-20
67avg 79
A19/10
Champions League
Trento
#7
W
81-76
81
76
+5
85avg 79
H23/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
64avg 79
H29/10
Lega A
Dijon
#22
L
80-88
80
88
-8
80avg 79
A01/11
Champions League
Trieste
#15
L
69-75
69
75
-6
57avg 79
A06/11
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
88avg 79
H20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
21-18
17-29
26-17
23-19
18-28
22-22
13-18
26-24
27-20
24-12
24-23
17-20
20-21
15-12
19-26
14-18
29-17
9-28
16-25
24-17
21-17
18-23
18-19
20-18
20-14
11-23
18-19
21-31
23-14
15-19
21-24
14-23
20-15
12-19
23-18
22-13
24-23
23-15
17-25
159.1Avg total
78.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.778.0157.7+1.743%
Season at home (4)84.276.2160.5+8.075%
Season away (3)73.780.3154.0-6.70%
Last 10 (10)78.280.9159.1-2.730%
Last 5 (5)77.077.8154.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.582.8162.2-3.225%
vs Similar (11)84.284.5168.6-0.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.079.3165.3+6.770%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
PesaroSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A29/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A20/11
Lega A
81.6Avg total
41.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.181.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.683.0-0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)40.340.680.9-0.356%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.281.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.640.880.4-1.238%-
vs Similar (14)42.241.483.6+0.957%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A02/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/10
Champions League
Verona
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/10
Lega A
PAOK
#32
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A19/10
Champions League
Trento
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H29/10
Lega A
Dijon
#22
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A01/11
Champions League
Trieste
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/11
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/11
Lega A
81.4Avg total
42.1Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.785.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.941.687.6+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.883.9+0.336%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.381.4+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.078.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.842.287.0+2.562%-
vs Similar (11)43.242.085.2+1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.740.785.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.4
49.5%
51.3%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.9
34.8%
36.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.912.4
73.4%
76.1%12.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.1
54.4%
51.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
76.1%14.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWLLWWLLL
Sassari
WLLLWLLWLL
#10
League position
#5
-3.4
Net rating
-3.5
106.7
Offensive rating
101.5
110.1
Defensive rating
105.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
22.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.8%
3-point %
34.2%
49.1%
Assist %
73.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 101.5Defence110.1 · 105.1Shooting50.5% · 53.1%3-point %34.8% · 34.2%Ball care15.8% · 22.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 26.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
10/04/22Pesaro v Sassari75-73
26/09/21Sassari v Pesaro75-73
12/02/21Sassari v Pesaro110-115 OT
17/01/21Sassari v Pesaro99-74
27/09/20Pesaro v Sassari85-95
14/09/20Sassari v Pesaro78-81
05/09/20Pesaro v Sassari71-86
19/01/20Pesaro v Sassari82-107
29/09/19Sassari v Pesaro99-79
20/04/19Pesaro v Sassari81-88
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22ABrindisi102-74
06/11/22HOlimpia Milano71-85
29/10/22ABrescia98-97
23/10/22HBasket Napoli97-99 OT
15/10/22ATortona73-81
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
02/10/22ATrieste100-74
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70
15/05/22AVirtus Bologna76-82
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22HScafati86-76
06/11/22ATrieste69-75
01/11/22ADijon80-88
29/10/22HVirtus Bologna69-74
23/10/22HTrento81-76
19/10/22APAOK68-88
16/10/22ATreviso71-79
09/10/22HVerona101-79
05/10/22HUnicaja76-87
02/10/22AVarese81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game90.186.093.2
Allowed / game85.691.081.5
Point differential+4.6-5.0+11.8
Avg total175.7177.0174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game79.784.273.7
Allowed / game78.076.280.3
Point differential+1.7+8.0-6.7
Avg total157.7160.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna880100%84.869.2+15.5
2 Olimpia Milano87188%82.473.5+8.9
3 Tortona86275%76.470.6+5.8
4 Varese75271%89.987.4+2.4
5 Trento85362%76.275.2+1.0
6 Pesaro74357%90.185.6+4.6
7 Venezia84450%80.877.5+3.2
8 Brescia84450%86.484.9+1.5
9 Sassari73443%79.778.0+1.7
10 Basket Napoli83538%79.982.9-3.0
11 Brindisi83538%80.588.8-8.2
12 Reggiana72529%72.472.6-0.1
13 Verona72529%76.687.1-10.6
14 Treviso82625%76.483.5-7.1
15 Trieste82625%79.189.8-10.6
16 Scafati71614%77.983.7-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1923172281
Sassari2018201775
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.