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Brescia vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-86
24-23 18-23 24-17 26-23
Position#4
Record11-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game83.6
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record10-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game87.1
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Tortona
11 Jan 2026
BRE92
TOR86
12 Feb 2025
BRE86
TOR79
19 Jan 2025
BRE98
TOR106
06 Apr 2024
BRE72
TOR65
23 Sep 2023
BRE86
TOR63
20 Nov 2022
BRE83
TOR68
03 Oct 2021
BRE77
TOR79
26 May 2016
BRE97
TOR72
18 May 2016
BRE92
TOR86
16 May 2016
BRE108
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 82
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
50-75
50
75
-25
no box
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 82
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
53-92
53
92
-39
no box
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 82
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 82
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
104-93
104
93
+11
106avg 82
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
79avg 82
A04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
21-18
18-16
27-15
23-15
21-18
12-16
29-23
23-21
14-19
22-14
24-18
0-0
18-43
0-0
32-32
25-29
26-17
20-20
22-21
0-0
21-50
0-0
32-42
29-18
21-29
25-18
27-29
21-18
17-23
15-25
23-20
25-18
29-24
21-31
29-20
19-22
26-21
16-18
20-20
166.9Avg total
83.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.983.6173.5+6.479%
Season at home (7)94.483.3177.7+11.1100%
Season away (7)85.483.9169.3+1.657%
Last 10 (10)83.083.9166.9-0.960%
Last 5 (5)84.291.6175.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.287.2156.5-18.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.684.0168.6+0.660%
vs Weaker (10)95.184.0179.1+11.190%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 79
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 79
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 79
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
70avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
113avg 79
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 79
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 79
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
87avg 79
A04/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
20-22
22-14
22-21
23-23
17-25
31-24
19-15
29-15
14-26
18-23
20-27
23-15
25-21
24-26
22-28
22-22
25-30
17-22
26-24
20-20
15-28
22-32
20-12
27-15
20-17
22-27
19-29
22-20
23-16
19-14
12-21
14-17
22-14
23-19
22-17
19-27
27-17
16-18
23-17
174.3Avg total
87.9Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.887.1175.9+1.771%
Season at home (7)97.390.9188.1+6.486%
Season away (7)80.383.3163.6-3.057%
Last 10 (10)87.986.4174.3+1.570%
Last 5 (5)87.484.4171.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.286.5163.7-9.317%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.687.2173.8-0.744%
vs Weaker (15)91.783.3175.0+8.587%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
BresciaTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
18-43
18
43
-25
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/01
Lega A
84.0Avg total
41.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.286.3-0.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.243.290.4+3.969%-
Last 30 away (17)40.143.183.2-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.984.0-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.845.280.0-10.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.943.186.0-0.153%-
vs Weaker (10)47.942.390.2+5.690%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H02/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/01
Lega A
83.9Avg total
43.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.984.2+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.840.385.1+4.575%-
Last 30 away (14)41.541.683.1-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.983.9+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.280.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.743.283.8-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.043.285.2-1.244%-
vs Weaker (15)45.138.683.7+6.587%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.4
55.9%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.6
38.7%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.219.5
84.1%
76.1%19.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.3
54.1%
54.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.9
30.4%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
76.1%17.8
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWLWLWWW
Tortona
WWWWLLWLWW
#4
League position
#6
+7.9
Net rating
+2.2
120.0
Offensive rating
113.4
112.1
Defensive rating
111.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.7%
3-point %
30.4%
64.5%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 113.4Defence112.1 · 111.2Shooting56.7% · 50.4%3-point %38.7% · 30.4%Ball care15.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
3
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25Brescia v Tortona86-79
19/01/25Brescia v Tortona98-106 OT
17/11/24Tortona v Brescia78-85
06/04/24Brescia v Tortona72-65
05/11/23Tortona v Brescia59-87
23/09/23Brescia v Tortona86-63
16/04/23Tortona v Brescia77-90 OT
20/11/22Brescia v Tortona83-68
13/04/22Tortona v Brescia81-74
03/10/21Brescia v Tortona77-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ASassari86-93 OT
28/12/25HVenezia104-93
22/12/25AVirtus Bologna76-86
14/12/25HVarese102-94
10/12/25ANorthern Kentucky53-92
06/12/25AReggiana93-87
26/11/25AUT Martin50-75
21/11/25HCremona83-72
16/11/25ABasket Napoli85-72
09/11/25HTrieste98-75
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ACantu85-79
28/12/25HReggiana81-67
21/12/25ACremona76-71
14/12/25HSassari118-113 OT
08/12/25AVirtus Bologna77-92
23/11/25HVenezia90-98
15/11/25AUdine94-90
12/11/25ATrieste81-91
09/11/25HVarese90-87
02/11/25HBasket Napoli87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%100%57%
Points / game89.994.485.4
Allowed / game83.683.383.9
Point differential+6.4+11.1+1.6
Avg total173.5177.7169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%29%
Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game88.897.380.3
Allowed / game87.190.983.3
Point differential+1.7+6.4-3.0
Avg total175.9188.1163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%81.172.5+8.7
2 Brescia1411379%89.983.6+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%86.777.8+8.9
4 Tortona1410471%88.887.1+1.7
5 Venezia1510567%92.186.4+5.7
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trento157847%80.878.3+2.5
8 Trieste157847%84.088.3-4.3
9 Basket Napoli146843%86.686.9-0.3
10 Udine156940%80.680.9-0.3
11 Cremona156940%82.183.8-1.7
12 Sassari156940%85.588.4-2.9
13 Varese156940%82.386.3-4.0
14 Reggiana1541127%79.782.7-3.0
15 Cantu1531220%82.891.2-8.4
16 Treviso1531220%82.791.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2418242692
Tortona2323172386
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