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Tortona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 78-87
27-25 23-24 11-22 17-16
Position#6
Record10-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#2
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game77.3
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tortona v Olimpia Milano
22 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TOR78
MIL87
27 Apr 2025
TOR68
MIL85
22 Oct 2023
TOR75
MIL79
30 Apr 2023
TOR75
MIL77
06 Mar 2022
TOR64
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 79
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
81-91
81
91
-10
67avg 79
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
70avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
113avg 79
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 79
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 79
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
87avg 79
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 79
A11/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-25
31-24
19-15
29-15
14-26
18-23
20-27
23-15
25-21
24-26
22-28
22-22
25-30
17-22
26-24
20-20
15-28
22-32
20-12
27-15
20-17
22-27
19-29
22-20
23-16
19-14
12-21
14-17
22-14
23-19
22-17
19-27
27-17
16-18
23-17
23-24
23-18
17-24
23-26
175.8Avg total
87.8Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.687.4176.0+1.267%
Season at home (7)97.390.9188.1+6.486%
Season away (8)81.084.4165.4-3.450%
Last 10 (10)87.888.0175.8-0.260%
Last 5 (5)89.284.4173.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.286.5163.7-9.317%
vs Similar (10)86.587.7174.2-1.240%
vs Weaker (14)91.483.7175.1+7.686%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 79
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 79
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 79
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 79
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
85-84
85
84
+1
75avg 79
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 79
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 79
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
65avg 79
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
96-104
96
104
-8
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
21-21
23-16
17-31
29-22
25-25
15-23
25-19
20-31
29-25
22-16
21-27
27-12
16-19
29-19
19-24
27-14
20-33
19-30
19-20
15-21
24-19
15-23
31-21
15-20
23-23
23-15
26-16
16-27
22-22
24-8
25-17
15-23
17-15
20-17
25-16
25-27
30-17
27-26
14-34
171.9Avg total
86.6Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.177.3163.4+8.773%
Season at home (8)85.477.8163.1+7.675%
Season away (7)86.976.9163.7+10.071%
Last 10 (10)86.685.3171.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)86.481.4167.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.390.7183.0+1.767%
vs Similar (14)86.286.6172.8-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.179.5166.6+7.577%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
TortonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A12/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A11/01
Lega A
84.3Avg total
43.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.084.1+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.440.484.8+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.841.683.4+0.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.084.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.743.283.8-2.550%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.185.5-0.750%-
vs Weaker (14)44.638.683.2+6.186%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H18/12
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A20/12
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A23/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/01
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H04/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H09/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H15/01
Euroleague
86.2Avg total
42.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.286.2+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.641.085.6+3.659%-
Last 30 away (13)43.043.886.8-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.586.2-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.883.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.345.393.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (14)43.643.186.6+0.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.340.683.9+2.754%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.0
54.1%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.1
31.4%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.7
80.1%
76.1%17.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
54.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.3
40.7%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.016.6
83.0%
76.1%16.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWWWWLLWLW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWLWLWL
#6
League position
#2
-0.3
Net rating
+3.7
113.3
Offensive rating
112.8
113.6
Defensive rating
109.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.4%
3-point %
40.7%
59.8%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 112.8Defence113.6 · 109.1Shooting51.1% · 54.7%3-point %31.4% · 40.7%Ball care13.9% · 14.7%Off. rebounds32.9% · 27.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Tortona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tortona wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ABrescia86-92
04/01/26ACantu85-79
28/12/25HReggiana81-67
21/12/25ACremona76-71
14/12/25HSassari118-113 OT
08/12/25AVirtus Bologna77-92
23/11/25HVenezia90-98
15/11/25AUdine94-90
12/11/25ATrieste81-91
09/11/25HVarese90-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HCrvena zvezda96-104
12/01/26ABasket Napoli77-71
09/01/26HAnadolu Efes87-74
06/01/26APanathinaikos87-74
04/01/26HUdine85-84
02/01/26AVirtus Bologna85-97
29/12/25HCremona91-74
23/12/25ADubai92-99
20/12/25ACantu94-89
18/12/25HFenerbahce72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game88.697.381.0
Allowed / game87.490.984.4
Point differential+1.2+6.4-3.4
Avg total176.0188.1165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game86.185.486.9
Allowed / game77.377.876.9
Point differential+8.7+7.6+10.0
Avg total163.4163.1163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%81.172.5+8.7
2 Brescia1512380%90.183.7+6.3
3 Olimpia Milano1511473%86.177.3+8.7
4 Venezia1510567%92.186.4+5.7
5 Tortona1510567%88.687.4+1.2
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trento157847%80.878.3+2.5
8 Trieste157847%84.088.3-4.3
9 Udine156940%80.680.9-0.3
10 Basket Napoli156940%85.586.2-0.7
11 Cremona156940%82.183.8-1.7
12 Sassari156940%85.588.4-2.9
13 Varese156940%82.386.3-4.0
14 Reggiana1541127%79.782.7-3.0
15 Cantu1531220%82.891.2-8.4
16 Treviso1531220%82.791.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona2723111778
Olimpia Milano2524221687
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