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Scafati vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-83
14-21 23-15 18-26 23-21
Position#15
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game81.3
ItalyLega ARound 4· Pala Mangano
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Scafati v Olimpia Milano
31 Jan 2027
SKA v MIL
upcoming
20 Oct 2024
SKA78
MIL83
12 Nov 2023
SKA77
MIL68
09 Oct 2022
SKA66
MIL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
L
76-84
76
84
-8
74avg 76
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 76
A30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
63-68
63
68
-5
49avg 76
A07/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
102-90
102
90
+12
102avg 76
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 76
A21/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
74-99
74
99
-25
72avg 76
H28/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
92-102
92
102
-10
83avg 76
A05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 76
A28/09
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
86avg 76
H06/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
87-101
87
101
-14
80avg 76
A13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
28-19
14-21
13-20
22-20
20-16
17-19
20-29
17-18
13-17
12-15
21-18
27-17
23-30
23-24
29-19
20-28
18-21
19-21
20-29
19-23
16-26
17-26
22-24
25-25
21-31
26-29
20-17
22-21
19-16
22-23
34-26
24-21
20-14
23-33
26-27
30-25
24-29
12-22
21-25
174.8Avg total
84.0Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.394.0186.3-1.733%
Season at home (1)93.095.0188.0-2.00%
Season away (2)92.093.5185.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)84.090.8174.8-6.820%
Last 5 (5)88.696.6185.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.589.7170.1-9.227%
vs Similar (15)87.688.0175.6-0.453%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 75
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
73-62
73
62
+11
67avg 75
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
74avg 75
A29/09
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
72avg 75
A03/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
100-75
100
75
+25
104avg 75
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 75
H11/10
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 75
H13/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
63avg 75
A15/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
82-85
82
85
-3
74avg 75
H17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
24-13
20-14
19-23
20-12
19-12
20-16
14-22
17-26
19-21
28-22
20-15
22-21
18-26
12-17
26-20
10-22
16-25
23-19
31-27
23-14
34-17
19-23
24-21
20-18
15-21
23-18
21-17
27-24
20-21
25-18
16-22
17-23
10-16
21-24
20-26
24-17
25-14
17-17
16-37
164.7Avg total
83.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
Season at home (2)94.080.0174.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)83.181.6164.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)83.481.6165.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
vs Similar (16)83.880.9164.7+2.969%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.278.7166.9+9.591%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
ScafatiOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A21/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H28/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A05/05
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/09
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A13/10
Lega A
87.0Avg total
42.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.584.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.239.985.1+5.379%-
Last 30 away (16)40.842.983.7-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.187.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.290.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.541.082.5+0.553%-
vs Similar (15)44.242.086.2+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A29/09
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/10
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A15/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H17/10
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
40.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.281.4+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.939.585.4+6.476%-
Last 30 away (13)37.338.876.1-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.678.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.080.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.543.069.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (16)42.639.582.1+3.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.739.584.2+5.364%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.9
50.8%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.110.1
41.9%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.514.7
71.7%
76.8%14.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.3
55.0%
52.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.97.3
36.7%
35.8%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.716.1
81.7%
76.8%16.1
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LLWLLLWLLL
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWLLWWW
#15
League position
#5
-9.7
Net rating
+2.9
111.2
Offensive rating
115.4
120.9
Defensive rating
112.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.9%
3-point %
36.7%
56.9%
Assist %
53.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 115.4Defence120.9 · 112.6Shooting55.5% · 55.0%3-point %41.9% · 36.7%Ball care19.4% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Scafati   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Scafati wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Olimpia Milano v Scafati99-77
12/11/23Scafati v Olimpia Milano77-68
05/03/23Olimpia Milano v Scafati89-80
09/10/22Scafati v Olimpia Milano66-75
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24ATrapani87-101
06/10/24HBrescia93-95
28/09/24ASassari97-86
05/05/24ABasket Napoli92-102
28/04/24HSassari74-99
21/04/24AOlimpia Milano77-99
14/04/24HVarese102-90
07/04/24ACremona63-68
30/03/24ATrento79-84
24/03/24HBrindisi76-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas82-85
15/10/24AOlympiacos68-89
13/10/24HBrescia88-85
11/10/24HParis79-74
06/10/24HSassari100-75
03/10/24AMonaco80-93
29/09/24ATrieste78-84
22/09/24HVirtus Bologna98-96 OT
21/09/24HVenezia73-62
13/06/24HVirtus Bologna85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game92.393.092.0
Allowed / game94.095.093.5
Point differential-1.7-2.0-1.5
Avg total186.3188.0185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game88.794.078.0
Allowed / game81.380.084.0
Point differential+7.3+14.0-6.0
Avg total170.0174.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento330100%93.382.0+11.3
2 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
3 Trieste330100%87.081.0+6.0
4 Trapani43175%96.286.8+9.5
5 Brescia43175%98.090.5+7.5
6 Olimpia Milano32167%88.781.3+7.3
7 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
8 Reggiana32167%80.376.7+3.7
9 Pistoia32167%74.077.0-3.0
10 Scafati31233%92.394.0-1.7
11 Treviso31233%71.083.3-12.3
12 Cremona41325%73.576.0-2.5
13 Sassari41325%85.591.8-6.2
14 Venezia3030%71.078.7-7.7
15 Basket Napoli4040%80.590.2-9.8
16 Varese4040%97.2109.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati1423182378
Olimpia Milano2115262183
← all games of the day
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