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Olimpia Milano vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-85
27-24 20-21 25-18 16-22
Position#5
Record1-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game93.5
ItalyLega ARound 3· Rossi M.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Brescia
05 Jun 2026
MIL91
BRE86
03 Jun 2026
MIL93
BRE68
01 Feb 2026
MIL81
BRE90
13 Oct 2024
MIL88
BRE85
27 May 2024
MIL77
BRE66
25 May 2024
MIL95
BRE89
28 Apr 2024
MIL83
BRE77
15 Feb 2023
MIL72
BRE75
02 Oct 2022
MIL78
BRE77
19 Feb 2022
MIL69
BRE63
12 Dec 2021
MIL76
BRE62
08 Nov 2020
MIL87
BRE56
04 Sep 2020
MIL81
BRE67
29 Sep 2019
MIL65
BRE73
25 Dec 2018
MIL87
BRE75
29 Sep 2018
MIL81
BRE59
26 May 2018
MIL89
BRE68
24 May 2018
MIL82
BRE85
26 Dec 2017
MIL74
BRE71
12 Feb 2017
MIL93
BRE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
86-75 OT
86
75
+11
73avg 75
A06/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 75
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 75
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 75
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
73-62
73
62
+11
67avg 75
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
74avg 75
A29/09
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
72avg 75
A03/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
100-75
100
75
+25
104avg 75
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 75
H11/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
11-14
29-15
14-20
17-12
14-20
20-23
13-17
29-25
17-19
16-15
19-19
22-23
24-13
20-14
19-23
20-12
19-12
20-16
14-22
17-26
19-21
28-22
20-15
22-21
18-26
12-17
26-20
10-22
16-25
23-19
31-27
23-14
34-17
19-23
24-21
20-18
15-21
23-18
21-17
160.6Avg total
82.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.079.5168.5+9.550%
Season at home (1)100.075.0175.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)82.478.2160.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)87.084.4171.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.093.0173.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.479.9163.3+3.571%
vs Weaker (11)88.278.7166.9+9.591%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 81
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
94-75
94
75
+19
97avg 81
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 81
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 81
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 81
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
81avg 81
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 81
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 81
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
118-94
118
94
+24
111avg 81
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
91avg 81
A06/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
19-13
21-23
16-19
22-20
25-19
22-21
25-15
23-12
25-16
13-27
18-15
30-19
16-15
25-17
26-24
31-13
28-17
16-25
23-22
29-34
20-27
21-16
19-18
14-22
15-11
20-25
17-19
21-32
18-24
25-21
22-19
29-24
28-28
36-23
25-19
21-24
14-20
33-23
27-26
173.4Avg total
89.9Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)106.593.5200.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)118.094.0212.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)95.093.0188.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.983.5173.4+6.460%
Last 5 (5)90.891.0181.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.088.0141.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.283.7160.8-6.517%
vs Weaker (21)90.281.0171.3+9.276%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Olimpia MilanoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A06/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A29/09
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/10
Euroleague
76.1Avg total
38.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.482.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.439.584.9+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.739.479.1+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.076.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.047.073.0-21.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.739.982.6+2.859%-
vs Weaker (11)44.739.584.2+5.364%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
59-30
59
30
+29
A17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H30/05
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H29/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
44.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.383.8+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.783.1+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.784.3-1.131%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.886.7+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.849.291.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)22.548.571.0-26.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.244.582.7-6.317%-
vs Weaker (21)46.240.086.2+6.157%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.6
53.1%
52.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.3
39.6%
35.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
76.8%16.3
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.9
52.4%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.8
42.7%
35.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.116.7
79.1%
76.8%16.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWWWWLW
Brescia
WWLLLWWWWL
#5
League position
#2
+7.1
Net rating
+8.8
115.8
Offensive rating
122.8
108.7
Defensive rating
114.0
55.6%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.6%
3-point %
42.7%
50.2%
Assist %
56.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 122.8Defence108.7 · 114.0Shooting55.6% · 57.0%3-point %39.6% · 42.7%Ball care17.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 29.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/24HParis79-74
06/10/24HSassari100-75
03/10/24AMonaco80-93
29/09/24ATrieste78-84
22/09/24HVirtus Bologna98-96 OT
21/09/24HVenezia73-62
13/06/24HVirtus Bologna85-73
11/06/24HVirtus Bologna81-78
08/06/24AVirtus Bologna64-72
06/06/24AVirtus Bologna86-75 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AScafati95-93
29/09/24HVarese118-94
30/05/24HOlimpia Milano86-96
27/05/24AOlimpia Milano66-77
25/05/24AOlimpia Milano89-95
17/05/24APistoia98-77
14/05/24HPistoia97-75
12/05/24HPistoia79-70
05/05/24HBrindisi94-75
28/04/24AOlimpia Milano77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game89.0100.078.0
Allowed / game79.575.084.0
Point differential+9.5+25.0-6.0
Avg total168.5175.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game106.5118.095.0
Allowed / game93.594.093.0
Point differential+13.0+24.0+2.0
Avg total200.0212.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia220100%106.593.5+13.0
2 Trento330100%93.382.0+11.3
3 Virtus Bologna330100%83.074.7+8.3
4 Trieste330100%87.081.0+6.0
5 Tortona32167%89.082.7+6.3
6 Reggiana32167%80.376.7+3.7
7 Olimpia Milano21150%89.079.5+9.5
8 Trapani21150%87.580.0+7.5
9 Scafati21150%95.090.5+4.5
10 Pistoia21150%78.083.0-5.0
11 Sassari31233%85.091.0-6.0
12 Treviso31233%71.083.3-12.3
13 Cremona2020%71.078.5-7.5
14 Venezia3030%71.078.7-7.7
15 Basket Napoli3030%80.391.3-11.0
16 Varese3030%96.3109.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2720251688
Brescia2421182285
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