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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-85
24-17 25-14 17-17 16-37
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.3
Olimpia Milano
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#13
Record2-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game69.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Unipol Forum
European cup2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas
12 Nov 2026
MIL83
ZAL86
22 Jan 2026
MIL82
ZAL86
17 Oct 2024
MIL82
ZAL85
30 Nov 2023
MIL70
ZAL83
13 Jan 2023
MIL61
ZAL66
28 Jan 2022
MIL65
ZAL58
20 Nov 2020
MIL98
ZAL92
24 Jan 2019
MIL80
ZAL70
09 Nov 2017
MIL62
ZAL94
29 Dec 2016
MIL70
ZAL78
24 Oct 2013
MIL82
ZAL75
07 Dec 2012
MIL65
ZAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 75
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 75
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
73-62
73
62
+11
67avg 75
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
74avg 75
A29/09
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
72avg 75
A03/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
100-75
100
75
+25
104avg 75
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 75
H11/10
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 75
H13/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
63avg 75
A15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
17-19
16-15
19-19
22-23
24-13
20-14
19-23
20-12
19-12
20-16
14-22
17-26
19-21
28-22
20-15
22-21
18-26
12-17
26-20
10-22
16-25
23-19
31-27
23-14
34-17
19-23
24-21
20-18
15-21
23-18
21-17
27-24
20-21
25-18
16-22
17-23
10-16
21-24
20-26
163.9Avg total
83.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.785.3161.0-9.733%
Season at home (1)79.074.0153.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)83.080.9163.9+2.170%
Last 5 (5)83.083.2166.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.091.0165.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.580.3163.8+3.275%
vs Weaker (11)88.278.7166.9+9.591%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
94-104 OT
94
104
-10
87avg 80
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
81avg 80
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
74avg 80
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
91-63
91
63
+28
92avg 80
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
88avg 80
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
89-76
89
76
+13
83avg 80
A29/09
LKL
Barcelona
#6
W
74-67
74
67
+7
63avg 80
H03/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
72avg 80
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
49avg 80
A11/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
71-68
71
68
+3
63avg 80
A15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
20-25
17-27
20-16
25-15
22-21
19-20
25-25
24-23
24-28
17-19
22-18
17-19
23-15
28-16
23-13
22-20
24-16
26-19
21-17
27-19
24-19
20-23
18-15
21-14
22-17
7-17
24-19
18-22
17-28
25-23
28-18
6-21
18-14
19-17
25-22
16-15
28-15
16-22
11-16
163.0Avg total
84.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.069.7140.7+1.367%
Season at home (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)69.571.0140.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)84.678.4163.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)78.075.2153.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.068.3136.3-0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.680.7167.3+5.960%
vs Weaker (17)92.675.5168.1+17.282%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.8+3.8
Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trieste
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A29/09
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/10
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A15/10
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
39.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.481.3+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.539.885.4+5.776%-
Last 30 away (13)37.338.876.1-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.979.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.543.069.5-16.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.239.882.0+2.462%-
vs Weaker (11)44.739.584.2+5.364%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A29/09
LKL
Barcelona
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H03/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/10
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A11/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A15/10
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
42.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.138.281.3+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.836.781.5+8.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.439.781.1+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.581.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.876.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.732.363.0-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.940.483.3+2.550%-
vs Weaker (17)45.437.983.4+7.576%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.2
53.4%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.6
36.9%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.915.4
81.5%
78.0%15.4
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
54.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
36.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.516.7
71.1%
78.0%16.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#13
+1.6
Net rating
+7.4
112.7
Offensive rating
115.9
111.1
Defensive rating
108.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.9%
3-point %
32.8%
51.8%
Assist %
53.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 115.9Defence111.1 · 108.5Shooting54.1% · 51.6%3-point %36.9% · 32.8%Ball care17.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 34.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
28/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano87-73
30/11/23Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas70-83
13/01/23Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas61-66
18/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano71-62
08/02/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano70-74
28/01/22Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas65-58
05/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano64-69
20/11/20Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas98-92
24/01/19Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas80-70
29/11/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano83-78
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AOlympiacos68-89
13/10/24HBrescia88-85
11/10/24HParis79-74
06/10/24HSassari100-75
03/10/24AMonaco80-93
29/09/24ATrieste78-84
22/09/24HVirtus Bologna98-96 OT
21/09/24HVenezia73-62
13/06/24HVirtus Bologna85-73
11/06/24HVirtus Bologna81-78
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AVirtus Bologna71-68
11/10/24AOlympiacos68-74
06/10/24ARytas88-91
03/10/24HBarcelona74-67
29/09/24ANevezis89-76
25/09/24AJonava93-72
22/09/24ASiauliai91-63
12/06/24ARytas87-88
10/06/24HRytas91-81
07/06/24ARytas94-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game75.779.074.0
Allowed / game85.374.091.0
Point differential-9.7+5.0-17.0
Avg total161.0153.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game71.074.069.5
Allowed / game69.767.071.0
Point differential+1.3+7.0-1.5
Avg total140.7141.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda330100%78.068.3+9.7
2 Fenerbahce43175%75.074.0+1.0
3 Barcelona32167%80.372.7+7.7
4 Panathinaikos32167%87.080.0+7.0
5 Olympiacos32167%78.072.7+5.3
6 Monaco32167%83.081.7+1.3
7 Zalgiris Kaunas32167%71.069.7+1.3
8 Baskonia32167%78.377.3+1.0
9 Partizan42250%86.284.5+1.8
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%85.087.2-2.2
11 Anadolu Efes31233%81.781.0+0.7
12 Paris31233%78.379.7-1.3
13 Real Madrid31233%84.786.3-1.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%82.786.0-3.3
15 Bayern31233%84.789.7-5.0
16 Olimpia Milano31233%75.785.3-9.7
17 Alba Berlin41325%76.283.0-6.8
18 Virtus Bologna3030%73.378.0-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2425171682
Zalgiris Kaunas1714173785
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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