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Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 74-87
12-19 22-17 13-25 27-26
Position#16
Record4-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record7-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game81.4
ItalyLega ARound 11· Vitrifrigo Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
78avg 73
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
49avg 73
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
81-68
81
68
+13
74avg 73
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
90-82
90
82
+8
89avg 73
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
77-97
77
97
-20
73avg 73
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 73
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
69-96
69
96
-27
60avg 73
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 73
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
63avg 73
A02/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
21-21
22-15
16-19
19-23
9-18
17-19
19-16
24-15
18-15
18-18
21-20
14-34
16-13
31-20
25-19
27-17
15-28
23-19
25-18
25-19
12-28
18-24
22-26
20-29
28-16
16-27
32-20
17-26
16-27
23-20
13-23
26-21
22-18
28-13
19-24
18-29
20-22
14-19
16-31
169.8Avg total
82.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.287.6169.8-5.440%
Season at home (5)87.089.6176.6-2.640%
Season away (5)77.485.6163.0-8.240%
Last 10 (10)82.287.6169.8-5.440%
Last 5 (5)81.092.4173.4-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.590.8167.2-14.325%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.285.8172.0+0.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 71
H05/11
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
84-75
84
75
+9
73avg 71
A08/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 71
A12/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
60-98
60
98
-38
47avg 71
H15/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
78avg 71
H18/11
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
86avg 71
A21/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#9
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
no box
A26/11
Lega A
Aris
#11
W
69-67
69
67
+2
64avg 71
H29/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
106-79
106
79
+27
99avg 71
H03/12
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
76avg 71
H06/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
22-20
22-20
26-29
19-16
17-23
21-16
27-20
22-15
6-30
24-27
21-8
14-34
19-11
8-26
19-27
19-9
28-21
13-20
21-21
22-20
23-24
20-17
20-24
19-24
19-19
18-22
15-6
17-17
15-15
21-11
16-24
33-17
27-21
21-26
25-15
13-21
29-22
21-20
20-22
165.4Avg total
83.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.781.4167.1+4.370%
Season at home (5)90.282.4172.6+7.880%
Season away (5)81.280.4161.6+0.860%
Last 10 (10)83.082.4165.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)86.882.4169.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.487.3166.7-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (20)83.082.7165.6+0.355%
vs Weaker (3)79.371.0150.3+8.367%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A01/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/10
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H22/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A19/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/12
Lega A
83.2Avg total
38.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.444.583.0-6.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.441.079.4-2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.548.186.5-9.613%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.583.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.087.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.047.083.9-10.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.140.281.3+0.967%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/11
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A12/11
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H15/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H18/11
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#9
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A26/11
Lega A
Aris
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H29/11
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H03/12
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H06/12
Eurocup
80.9Avg total
41.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.081.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.281.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)38.343.081.3-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.880.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.083.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.343.684.9-2.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.740.980.6-1.145%-
vs Weaker (3)41.036.077.0+5.067%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.8
38.6%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.5
77.6%
76.3%13.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.5
54.3%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.7
34.5%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
76.3%13.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLWLWLWLL
Trento
LWWLLWLLWW
#16
League position
#6
-8.7
Net rating
+2.6
107.4
Offensive rating
110.5
116.1
Defensive rating
107.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.6%
3-point %
34.5%
64.0%
Assist %
64.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 110.5Defence116.1 · 107.9Shooting53.9% · 53.1%3-point %38.6% · 34.5%Ball care17.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds22.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Trento wins
DateGameScore
02/04/23Pesaro v Trento70-84
04/12/22Trento v Pesaro79-75
23/04/22Trento v Pesaro82-83
31/10/21Pesaro v Trento75-79
07/02/21Trento v Pesaro70-81
17/10/20Pesaro v Trento57-71
09/11/19Pesaro v Trento95-101 OT
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AReggiana68-101
26/11/23HTreviso95-76
19/11/23ACremona69-96
12/11/23HTortona96-92
04/11/23HBasket Napoli77-97
29/10/23AOlimpia Milano90-82
22/10/23HScafati103-107 OT
14/10/23ABrindisi81-68
08/10/23HVenezia64-76
01/10/23ABrescia79-81
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HUlm83-85
03/12/23HVenezia106-79
29/11/23HAris69-67
26/11/23ATortona80-83 OT
21/11/23ABuducnost96-98 OT
18/11/23HBrindisi81-71
15/11/23HCluj-Napoca60-98
12/11/23ASassari73-80
08/11/23ASlask Wroclaw84-75
05/11/23HReggiana98-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game82.287.077.4
Allowed / game87.689.685.6
Point differential-5.4-2.6-8.2
Avg total169.8176.6163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game85.790.281.2
Allowed / game81.482.480.4
Point differential+4.3+7.8+0.8
Avg total167.1172.6161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia119282%89.875.1+14.7
2 Virtus Bologna118373%88.277.8+10.4
3 Venezia118373%81.477.4+4.0
4 Trento107370%85.781.4+4.3
5 Basket Napoli117464%85.580.5+4.9
6 Reggiana117464%85.982.5+3.4
7 Olimpia Milano116555%80.977.4+3.5
8 Pistoia116555%80.481.0-0.6
9 Cremona115645%85.382.8+2.5
10 Tortona115645%79.083.1-4.1
11 Pesaro104640%82.287.6-5.4
12 Scafati114736%85.588.0-2.5
13 Sassari114736%76.386.1-9.8
14 Varese103730%83.892.4-8.6
15 Treviso112918%78.684.5-5.8
16 Brindisi101910%68.481.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1222132774
Trento1917252687
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